Realized P&L
-$448
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
58.4%
Resolved
228
Trades
542
lifetime
Volume
$7.53K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$1.16K
27 positions
First seen
2026-08-24
last 10-30 19:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Crypto
71% 44% -$305
Other
19% 50% -$16
Sports
7% 20% -$127
Politics
2% — —
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +200 $189 96¢ $192 +$3 10-05 19:29
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +144 $135 99¢ $142 +$7 09-16 07:30
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +154 $126 86¢ $133 +$8 10-25 14:07
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +112 $103 100¢ $111 +$8 09-22 17:39
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +113 $104 97¢ $110 +$6 10-17 13:48
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +219 $90 40¢ $88 -$1 09-29 15:46
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +100 $73 81¢ $81 +$8 10-04 09:43
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +71 $66 100¢ $71 +$5 09-14 08:26
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +70 $42 60¢ $42 $0 09-29 16:10
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +100 $9 29¢ $28 +$19 09-30 12:27
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +25 $24 100¢ $25 +$2 09-01 10:14
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +26 $24 94¢ $24 +$0 08-24 13:30
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +150 $24 14¢ $20 -$4 09-20 22:32
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +31 $25 55¢ $17 -$7 09-29 21:45
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +295 $19 4¢ $12 -$8 10-30 19:04
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +67 $19 18¢ $12 -$7 10-04 09:46
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +14 $8 79¢ $11 +$3 09-30 14:07
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +312 $16 3¢ $10 -$6 10-23 02:53
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +126 $7 6¢ $8 +$1 10-25 14:37
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +63 $9 12¢ $8 -$2 09-16 16:25
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +14 $7 21¢ $3 -$5 09-30 14:07
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes +166 $8 1¢ $2 -$5 10-23 17:46
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +65 $9 3¢ $2 -$7 08-31 21:47
another fed rate hike in 2026 No +6 $1 28¢ $2 +$0 10-05 16:08
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +22 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 08-28 04:40
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +190 $17 0¢ $1 -$16 09-07 14:19
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +26 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 08-30 11:42