Illustrious-Aglet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.16K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

31.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,718

lifetime

Volume

$171.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$100

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 07-11 21:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

42% 50% +$2,183

Other

34% — —

Crypto

18% 67% $-22

Sports

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	27	$25.3K	15,087	15,087	+0	open	—	04-12 18:49
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	16	$11.2K	10,745	10,745	+0	open	—	07-07 19:34
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	6	$7.0K	9,855	9,855	+0	open	—	04-15 14:44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	27	$6.3K	6,758	6,758	+0	open	—	04-25 15:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	40	$6.0K	14,409	14,461	-52	open	—	05-23 16:50
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	4	$5.4K	6,368	6,368	+0	open	—	04-15 04:48
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	9	$4.6K	3,869	3,869	+0	open	—	04-03 11:19
will iran strike israel on march 10	9	$3.4K	4,119	4,119	+0	open	—	03-15 19:43
btc updown 15m 1776228300	42	$3.3K	7,114	0	+7,114	open	—	04-15 04:55
netanyahu out by march 31 854	12	$3.0K	62,494	62,494	+0	open	—	03-27 14:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	10	$3.0K	10,500	10,500	+0	open	—	05-26 17:24
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	12	$2.6K	1,918	1,918	+0	open	—	04-27 18:17
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	26	$2.6K	8,754	8,831	-77	open	—	05-13 12:36
iran leadership change by march 31	8	$2.5K	1,545	1,545	+0	open	—	03-23 05:18
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	22	$2.5K	3,447	0	+3,447	open	—	03-20 14:26
will mojtaba khamenei tweet again on march 20	3	$2.4K	1,391	1,391	+0	open	—	03-20 12:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	12	$2.1K	2,616	10,616	-8,000	open	—	05-15 02:07
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by march 20	2	$2.0K	1,077	1,077	+0	open	—	03-20 14:06
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	5	$2.0K	1,319	1,319	+0	open	—	04-28 09:46
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	10	$1.9K	2,249	2,249	+0	open	—	03-28 16:15
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 spread home 3pt5	2	$1.8K	2,432	2,432	+0	open	—	06-22 20:13
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	6	$1.6K	3,375	0	+3,375	open	—	03-07 17:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	11	$1.6K	6,641	4,738	+1,903	open	—	05-13 12:36
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 btts	5	$1.5K	1,095	1,095	+0	open	—	07-03 00:28
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	6	$1.5K	1,217	1,217	+0	open	—	07-03 01:06
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	8	$1.4K	2,255	2,107	+149	open	—	04-07 19:12
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	10	$1.3K	1,159	1,159	+0	open	—	03-07 17:08
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	9	$1.2K	791	791	+0	open	—	03-20 14:12
will iran strike israel on march 6	7	$1.2K	847	847	+0	open	—	03-09 03:14
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	2	$1.2K	1,313	1,313	+0	open	—	04-15 05:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 21:53:44	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	SELL	236	100¢	$235	0x65e144…
07-11 21:04:32	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	BUY	236	60¢	$141	0x836c02…
07-07 19:34:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	5,000	0¢	$5	0xe80177…
07-07 19:22:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1,284	67¢	$858	0x293ed9…
07-07 19:20:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	2	67¢	$2	0xf66ef5…
07-07 19:20:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	731	67¢	$493	0xe3dc70…
07-07 19:20:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	30	67¢	$20	0x0e571f…
07-07 19:20:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	33	67¢	$23	0xea333c…
07-07 19:19:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	2,465	67¢	$1,661	0x8deb88…
07-07 18:31:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	19	70¢	$13	0xc41701…
07-07 18:31:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	70	70¢	$49	0x0ab79d…
07-07 18:27:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	9,448	76¢	$7,181	0xec31f1…
07-07 18:27:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xb171da…
07-07 18:27:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x57fe35…
07-07 18:27:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	0	76¢	$0	0x490326…
07-07 17:26:47	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	SELL	2,000	6¢	$120	0xe17666…
07-07 13:38:38	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	2,000	48¢	$960	0x1c019e…
07-06 21:22:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	1,200	21¢	$252	0x5feccc…
07-06 21:08:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0xb004c5…
07-06 21:07:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0xdbc69e…
07-03 21:47:01	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 2pt5	Argentina	BUY	697	43¢	$300	0x15d034…
07-03 21:45:11	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 btts	No	BUY	441	68¢	$300	0x507907…
07-03 01:06:44	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	1,217	100¢	$1,214	0x1d7cca…
07-03 00:28:58	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 btts	Yes	SELL	1,095	99¢	$1,084	0x29ff60…
07-02 23:50:34	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 btts	Yes	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0x1c7f9e…
07-02 23:49:41	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	765	25¢	$189	0x1758bf…
07-02 23:49:40	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	84	25¢	$21	0x987312…
07-02 23:49:40	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1cd9a9…
07-02 23:49:38	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	84	25¢	$21	0x72178d…
07-02 23:49:38	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	280	25¢	$69	0x200591…
07-02 23:38:55	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 btts	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x630247…
07-02 23:38:53	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 btts	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x681bb5…
07-02 23:37:58	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 btts	Yes	BUY	1,014	41¢	$416	0x668c28…
06-28 18:57:55	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	Yes	BUY	514	47¢	$242	0xf73700…
06-22 20:13:34	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 spread home 3pt5	France	SELL	2,432	37¢	$900	0x56448d…
06-22 20:03:47	btc updown 5m 1782158700	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x518655…
06-22 20:02:26	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	882	55¢	$485	0x6cb578…
06-22 20:02:07	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	946	51¢	$483	0xaa6c10…
06-22 19:59:29	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 spread home 3pt5	France	BUY	2,432	37¢	$900	0x77b93a…
06-14 16:56:36	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	205	3¢	$7	0xaee49b…
06-14 16:39:15	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	755	3¢	$26	0x4e7d5b…
06-01 15:11:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	46¢	$162	0x44811a…
06-01 15:11:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	500	15¢	$75	0x1f9b94…
06-01 15:11:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	458	20¢	$92	0x4f3804…
05-27 22:53:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	458	45¢	$206	0x5d2e5e…
05-27 21:38:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	139	40¢	$56	0xb63d31…
05-27 21:30:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf3ff79…
05-27 21:29:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x17e9da…
05-27 21:24:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	170	40¢	$68	0xef5206…
05-27 21:17:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xc377f3…
05-27 21:15:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	88	40¢	$35	0xdf9273…
05-27 10:35:39	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	3,038	0¢	$6	0xad5aef…
05-26 17:25:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	3,038	2¢	$60	0xd2d4d4…
05-26 17:24:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	10,500	1¢	$60	0x4d8af9…
05-24 09:14:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	137	12¢	$17	0x673fbe…
05-24 08:54:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x3bf6ea…
05-23 17:38:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,567	22¢	$353	0x92c37a…
05-23 16:52:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	763	24¢	$183	0x42f658…
05-23 16:50:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	591	31¢	$183	0x32c7d0…
05-23 13:45:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	591	20¢	$118	0x734c7f…
05-23 13:29:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	4,000	30¢	$1,196	0x3efc58…
05-23 13:29:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	22	29¢	$7	0x3c8804…
05-23 13:17:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	3,000	30¢	$900	0x4e46aa…
05-23 13:12:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	500	30¢	$150	0xfca316…
05-23 13:12:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	500	30¢	$150	0x09fb65…
05-23 12:24:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	2,000	27¢	$540	0x054fcf…
05-23 06:45:58	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	987	20¢	$197	0x556c8d…
05-23 06:45:35	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0xbf1bcb…
05-23 06:43:10	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x58217d…
05-23 06:42:26	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	1,000	20¢	$200	0x5243fd…
05-22 03:55:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7,500	19¢	$1,425	0x346576…
05-21 18:50:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,342	18¢	$242	0x620b8a…
05-21 18:50:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0xeb8619…
05-21 18:49:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,150	18¢	$207	0xfa48dd…
05-21 18:24:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,346	19¢	$256	0x2c9114…
05-21 18:23:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	19¢	$23	0xbbfb27…
05-21 18:23:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0xec16e3…
05-21 18:21:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0x337169…
05-21 18:21:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	19¢	$5	0x2d5f73…
05-21 18:20:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	802	19¢	$152	0xf262c8…
05-21 18:15:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,449	20¢	$490	0x7d9bfd…
05-21 18:14:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x9acdb8…
05-21 18:14:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xc2b701…
05-21 18:12:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x8af74b…
05-21 18:12:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x0457ac…
05-16 19:48:43	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,072	12¢	$129	0x2f5a92…
05-15 18:50:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,070	11¢	$668	0x9a9813…
05-15 02:07:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	5,744	7¢	$402	0x290ffc…
05-15 01:36:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x19ef06…
05-15 00:48:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0xaa6dde…
05-15 00:34:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	214	7¢	$15	0x975cc1…
05-15 00:33:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	33	7¢	$2	0x2939f6…
05-15 00:30:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xde03b6…
05-15 00:23:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0xaad44e…
05-15 00:19:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	205	7¢	$14	0xf71e64…
05-14 23:21:15	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,072	14¢	$150	0xd63d60…
05-14 23:13:34	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,157	14¢	$162	0xc5947e…
05-13 12:50:00	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	32¢	$12	0x492e26…
05-13 12:47:45	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	32¢	$15	0x047f0e…
05-13 12:47:33	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	96	32¢	$31	0x0c491b…