Loose-Observatory — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.6%

Resolved

106

Trades

214

lifetime

Volume

$253

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-28 08:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

71% 69% +$3

Crypto

16% 53% -$4

Sports

12% 73% +$0

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-28).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5	2	$12	6	6	+0	Over	+$0	05-07 04:19
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 28?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-28 08:57
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 24?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-24 16:41
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	9	$9	11	11	+0	No	-$1	05-06 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	7	$7	13	8	+5	Up	$0	05-07 04:29
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17?	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$3	05-17 12:01
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	3	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-25 01:13
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lilli Tagger vs Maria Sakkari	2	$3	2	2	+0	Maria Sakkari	+$1	05-06 16:19
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marco Trungelliti vs Zachary Svajda	2	$3	2	2	+0	Zachary Svajda	+$1	05-06 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	4	$3	6	6	+0	Down	-$1	05-07 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	3	$3	3	1	+2	Up	-$1	05-06 21:09
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	3	$3	4	2	+2	Down	-$1	05-07 03:07
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 10?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	05-10 13:02
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	2	$3	2	2	+0	Manchester City FC	+$1	05-09 18:29
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 25?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	05-25 05:39
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-05-10?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	05-10 05:52
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 8?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$1	05-08 13:35
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5	2	$3	2	2	+0	Over	+$1	05-12 05:19
NBA Playoffs: Cavaliers vs. Pistons Total Games O/U 5.5	2	$3	2	2	+0	Over 5.5	+$1	05-12 05:04
Peristeri vs. PAOK	2	$3	2	2	+0	PAOK	+$1	05-06 18:27
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 24?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$1	05-24 10:56
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 26?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-26 18:19
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-24 17:02
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on May 13?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-13 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 16:24
Meta (META) Up or Down on May 26?	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-26 19:55
FC Bayern Munchen vs. EWE Baskets Oldenburg	2	$2	1	1	+0	FC Bayern Munchen	+$0	05-10 16:14
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-09?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-09 18:30
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	2	$2	2	2	+0	Spurs	+$0	05-07 01:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 08:57:47	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x99cc9f…
05-28 06:29:47	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 28?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x588d90…
05-28 04:14:46	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x906524…
05-27 10:37:32	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 27?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7698db…
05-27 10:37:17	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 27?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7c0ea0…
05-27 06:45:43	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 27?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd3df0a…
05-26 19:55:07	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0x751b9d…
05-26 19:45:42	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2b87a2…
05-26 19:42:29	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xfc4eb1…
05-26 18:19:24	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x0fb6fe…
05-26 09:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 26?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x289076…
05-26 08:45:59	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 26?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2783d8…
05-26 08:41:50	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xcf62dd…
05-25 07:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on May 25?	Yes	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0xd79f04…
05-25 05:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 25?	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x1e668a…
05-25 05:39:02	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1dafaa…
05-25 04:50:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x681bd9…
05-25 01:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x0051c0…
05-25 01:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x89c923…
05-25 01:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x847dd5…
05-24 17:02:04	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb6ef6c…
05-24 16:44:03	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x116dc8…
05-24 16:42:14	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xedf5ba…
05-24 16:41:01	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 24?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x31b217…
05-24 12:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9c09b4…
05-24 10:56:28	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 24?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7331ad…
05-24 07:49:53	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 24?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xbf9350…
05-17 15:56:39	Will Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x8e2434…
05-17 15:56:34	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x6a4284…
05-17 15:45:46	Will Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x4e32ee…
05-17 15:44:59	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x2b66eb…
05-17 13:59:17	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x809702…
05-17 13:59:03	Will PSV win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0ea3a9…
05-17 13:55:45	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on May 17?	Yes	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0x605bd5…
05-17 13:44:40	Will PSV win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb53ff6…
05-17 12:04:25	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xeafb17…
05-17 12:01:50	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x738ef5…
05-17 10:43:20	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x68521b…
05-17 10:42:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x39cdf3…
05-17 06:22:32	Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x90ac72…
05-16 22:29:06	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	4¢	$1	0xbf7491…
05-16 22:21:52	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xe30095…
05-16 17:31:48	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xc42105…
05-14 09:12:33	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x36636c…
05-14 07:14:05	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5f09c5…
05-13 13:09:05	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xf35f3d…
05-13 05:58:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7f5686…
05-13 05:17:04	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0d3e4b…
05-13 05:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xfbf2f0…
05-12 20:26:56	Will CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x21c329…
05-12 20:19:16	Will CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7f8da7…
05-12 16:17:34	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0xf4009d…
05-12 13:02:32	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbe9f70…
05-12 11:52:56	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xaa9026…
05-12 07:53:15	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x079843…
05-12 05:42:26	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x86afe9…
05-12 05:19:30	Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5	Over	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf91f89…
05-12 05:06:42	Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5	Over	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xeb126a…
05-12 05:04:55	NBA Playoffs: Cavaliers vs. Pistons Total Games O/U 5.5	Over 5.5	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x658693…
05-11 15:25:24	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x36dc99…
05-11 12:26:17	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x49aa09…
05-11 04:15:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 11?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5ffcf0…
05-10 19:50:25	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x3727bc…
05-10 16:42:16	Will FC Groningen win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd4ed53…
05-10 16:41:08	Will FC Groningen win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x5a6547…
05-10 16:16:15	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9bd4e6…
05-10 16:14:37	FC Bayern Munchen vs. EWE Baskets Oldenburg	FC Bayern Munchen	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd32ecf…
05-10 16:11:30	Gladiators Trier vs. Mitteldeutscher BC	Mitteldeutscher BC	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x3fb8b3…
05-10 16:11:05	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xab6c61…
05-10 15:07:20	FC Bayern Munchen vs. EWE Baskets Oldenburg	FC Bayern Munchen	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x471ce1…
05-10 15:06:36	Gladiators Trier vs. Mitteldeutscher BC	Mitteldeutscher BC	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xfd9e38…
05-10 13:28:29	Manisa BB vs. Turk Telekom	Turk Telekom	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x251849…
05-10 13:02:47	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 10?	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xc264f6…
05-10 11:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 10?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x98ed7e…
05-10 10:52:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 10?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x48923f…
05-10 06:22:13	Will Zweigen Kanazawa win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x523fe4…
05-10 05:56:43	Will Zweigen Kanazawa win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa1fa88…
05-10 05:52:40	Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0x55f289…
05-10 05:35:33	Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd21a75…
05-10 05:22:53	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9d6f8b…
05-10 05:14:19	Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x70e6ed…
05-10 05:11:36	Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe14cb3…
05-09 18:30:01	Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb7d726…
05-09 18:29:54	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc9cd85…
05-09 18:12:15	Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xab732c…
05-08 14:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x1ae70d…
05-08 14:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0ce545…
05-08 13:58:12	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x57dd9b…
05-08 13:42:31	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xac0f37…
05-08 13:35:19	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 8?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x81a3e2…
05-07 12:47:21	Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madrid	Real Madrid	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x95fe1a…
05-07 12:29:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 7?	No	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x097ef7…
05-07 12:06:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 7?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x963612…
05-07 11:25:22	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 8?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xee9877…
05-07 11:03:26	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Daniel Merida Aguilar	Daniel Merida Aguilar	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x3a172d…
05-07 10:47:04	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Panna Udvardy vs Elise Mertens	Elise Mertens	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7f508b…
05-07 10:33:04	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dalibor Svrcina vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Miomir Kecmanovic	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb34998…
05-07 10:31:52	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Daniel Merida Aguilar	Daniel Merida Aguilar	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x8bae39…
05-07 10:31:08	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dalibor Svrcina vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Miomir Kecmanovic	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe9ff30…
05-07 10:30:26	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Panna Udvardy vs Elise Mertens	Elise Mertens	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x82976f…