Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$51.8K

Unrealized P&L

-$4.63K

Hit rate

80.0%

Resolved

231

Trades

2,700

lifetime

Volume

$395.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$147

Open exposure

$5.27K

8 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 10-28 19:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 97 days

Categories

Politics

77% 52% +$42,402

Other

18% 31% +$6,065

Sports

5% 56% +$3,366

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+3,777	$3,168	72¢	$2.7K	-$468	09-20 13:06
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	+2,198	$793	60¢	$1.3K	+$526	10-28 19:58
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+13,332	$1,067	4¢	$533	-$533	10-27 19:53
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+16,201	$503	2¢	$373	-$130	10-27 20:14
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	+1,726	$963	16¢	$285	-$678	10-18 17:43
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+5,142	$874	1¢	$33	-$841	10-23 11:17
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+29,999	$140	0¢	$30	-$110	10-25 20:09
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	No	+0	$2,393	3¢	$0	-$2,393	10-19 17:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran strike israel on march 10	134	$20.1K	32,558	30,568	+1,990	Yes	+$10,786	03-14 20:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	60	$16.8K	16,462	16,462	+0	Yes	+$6,045	06-14 23:28
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	57	$16.2K	26,708	26,708	+0	Yes	+$5,309	02-28 06:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	61	$16.1K	29,896	29,879	+17	Yes	+$3,243	06-15 14:35
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	192	$15.7K	35,906	32,314	+3,592	Yes	+$4,749	03-07 01:14
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	26	$14.9K	41,676	41,676	+0	open	—	10-22 16:52
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	12	$13.4K	8,652	7,806	+846	No	+$679	03-23 11:57
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	48	$10.2K	15,982	15,982	+0	open	—	10-19 17:05
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	39	$10.2K	12,156	12,424	-268	Yes	+$5,389	02-28 07:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	56	$9.4K	26,000	19,000	+7,000	Yes	+$997	06-14 21:35
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	5	$9.2K	6,666	6,666	+0	open	—	10-14 21:41
will iran strike israel on march 6	3	$9.2K	5,406	5,406	+0	No	+$1,611	03-10 16:21
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	47	$8.5K	11,110	9,384	+1,726	open	—	10-18 17:43
us strikes iraq by february 28	26	$7.7K	8,747	8,522	+225	Yes	+$5,311	03-03 22:13
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	4	$7.3K	4,444	4,444	+0	Yes	+$622	10-23 16:52
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	21	$6.5K	5,250	5,098	+152	Yes	+$992	05-10 12:23
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	19	$5.9K	10,411	6,202	+4,210	Yes	-$960	09-13 23:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	5	$5.6K	3,333	3,333	+0	Yes	+$805	10-21 18:31
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	62	$5.5K	22,639	19,333	+3,306	No	+$1,133	07-15 20:38
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	28	$4.9K	3,199	3,199	+0	Yes	-$191	03-06 05:54
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	37	$4.5K	8,230	8,230	+0	Yes	+$2,705	09-22 18:55
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	79	$4.5K	7,357	7,101	+256	Knicks	+$2,622	06-11 03:33
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	13	$4.4K	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	+$1,261	02-28 20:20
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$4.4K	5,100	0	+5,100	No	+$688	10-25 23:12
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	17	$4.4K	2,609	3,501	-892	No	+$690	03-25 01:26
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	14	$4.2K	7,324	7,324	+0	No	+$3,426	04-15 17:03
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	34	$4.0K	27,546	5,493	+22,053	Yes	-$2,566	09-20 17:09
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	11	$3.9K	3,320	2,655	+665	Yes	-$339	09-14 00:02
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	65	$3.8K	25,000	25,000	+0	No	+$45	07-19 18:37
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	100	$3.8K	7,706	1,445	+6,261	No	-$2,987	06-22 01:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 19:58:23	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x96e19f…
10-28 19:58:23	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	39	31¢	$12	0x2de757…
10-28 19:22:34	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	59	31¢	$18	0x9296e7…
10-28 19:17:43	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x174d7e…
10-28 18:18:52	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	344	31¢	$107	0x4cafb5…
10-28 18:07:20	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	1,706	38¢	$640	0xc2f609…
10-27 23:01:21	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	2,222	84¢	$1,867	0x4984d9…
10-27 20:23:35	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	794	58¢	$461	0x9f022b…
10-27 20:15:35	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xafb16a…
10-27 20:15:30	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	3	58¢	$1	0x88b04d…
10-27 20:15:30	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x1252aa…
10-27 20:15:27	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0xb48354…
10-27 20:14:33	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0xcd5c46…
10-27 20:07:41	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	485	58¢	$281	0x617818…
10-27 20:07:38	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0x7686be…
10-27 20:07:36	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	183	58¢	$106	0x55d16c…
10-27 20:07:17	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	517	58¢	$300	0x01e6bf…
10-27 20:06:21	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x340d59…
10-27 20:05:35	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	556	1¢	$8	0x93e0ee…
10-27 20:04:32	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xf7c4dd…
10-27 20:04:05	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,596	19¢	$303	0x4ccf25…
10-27 20:03:57	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$1	0xccd28b…
10-27 20:03:02	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,150	1¢	$16	0x138ae3…
10-27 20:02:17	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	167	79¢	$132	0xbd3969…
10-27 20:02:11	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	309	79¢	$244	0xcc6b00…
10-27 20:02:11	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	165	79¢	$130	0xc7d978…
10-27 20:01:02	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x6c1231…
10-27 20:01:02	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	32	1¢	$0	0x48c4be…
10-27 19:59:54	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,052	21¢	$217	0x41b49e…
10-27 19:53:18	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5,555	6¢	$333	0x9befc5…
10-27 16:27:29	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	890	8¢	$71	0x21fcb7…
10-27 16:25:06	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	381	8¢	$30	0xcbb245…
10-27 16:25:02	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4,284	8¢	$343	0xcef65d…
10-27 13:56:06	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0xe9bfdc…
10-26 22:28:26	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	868	72¢	$628	0xeade3f…
10-26 22:28:26	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xc3bcdd…
10-26 22:27:27	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x28b7b4…
10-26 22:26:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	19	71¢	$14	0xe2d3ef…
10-26 22:26:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x98d00b…
10-26 22:26:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	43	71¢	$31	0x3b435b…
10-26 22:26:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x37f205…
10-26 22:26:21	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0xaeda25…
10-26 22:26:21	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x2132a6…
10-26 22:26:20	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xa97fba…
10-26 22:26:18	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	280	71¢	$199	0xad8a87…
10-26 22:26:18	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x711041…
10-26 22:26:17	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	333	71¢	$237	0xd38735…
10-26 22:26:17	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	29	71¢	$21	0xc44fd0…
10-26 22:26:17	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	32	71¢	$23	0x5ceb84…
10-26 22:26:15	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	72	71¢	$51	0xa5b36e…
10-26 14:16:26	Will Yashar win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0x1d1536…
10-26 12:11:56	Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x164514…
10-26 12:00:26	Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$2	0x640334…
10-26 12:00:26	Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x4a9974…
10-26 12:00:08	Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	105	1¢	$1	0x9722d2…
10-26 12:00:08	Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	395	1¢	$4	0x881a63…
10-26 12:00:08	Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x581c27…
10-26 12:00:06	Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	127	1¢	$1	0x73eb24…
10-26 11:52:02	Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	104	1¢	$1	0xa8554e…
10-26 11:41:18	Will Yashar win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0x836b79…
10-26 11:25:33	Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0xfdb3e7…
10-26 11:23:44	Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xf0e47f…
10-26 11:23:24	Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x469ce9…
10-26 11:20:24	Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	48	1¢	$1	0xf4369b…
10-26 10:59:59	Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xc672c1…
10-26 10:59:42	Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0x515b9c…
10-26 10:51:33	Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x6cb243…
10-26 10:51:33	Will Yashar win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x51b6a3…
10-25 23:12:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5,100	86¢	$4,411	0x1bf8d6…
10-25 21:25:56	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	131	23¢	$30	0x121cdb…
10-25 21:25:45	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	646	23¢	$149	0x8dd8ee…
10-25 21:22:06	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	363	25¢	$91	0x2429e6…
10-25 21:22:03	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	81	25¢	$20	0xd5433a…
10-25 21:03:23	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	2,222	33¢	$733	0x308150…
10-25 21:03:03	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	1,000	43¢	$430	0x73a246…
10-25 20:44:26	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x4c66da…
10-25 20:44:24	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	504	81¢	$408	0x41a76c…
10-25 20:44:23	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	150	81¢	$122	0xd56a63…
10-25 20:44:23	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x79f3cd…
10-25 20:44:23	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	571	81¢	$463	0x576329…
10-25 20:31:33	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	777	62¢	$482	0x7c64d1…
10-25 20:29:08	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	1,644	18¢	$296	0xa56cf4…
10-25 20:28:57	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	1,000	24¢	$240	0x45a517…
10-25 20:09:21	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	4,299	0¢	$13	0x6b3ce1…
10-25 20:09:20	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	158	0¢	$0	0xe249df…
10-25 20:09:20	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0xddcf14…
10-25 20:09:20	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	161	0¢	$0	0xa0394f…
10-25 20:09:20	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x7b1a18…
10-25 20:09:20	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	62	0¢	$0	0x6c71d4…
10-25 20:09:20	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0x43857b…
10-25 20:09:20	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0x2a74f4…
10-25 20:09:20	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	201	0¢	$1	0x21376b…
10-25 20:09:20	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	450	0¢	$1	0x1d3241…
10-25 20:09:20	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	160	0¢	$0	0x13ab43…
10-25 19:31:12	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	351	0¢	$1	0xab17a0…
10-25 18:17:11	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	2,299	0¢	$7	0xd67d1a…
10-25 18:17:11	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,890	0¢	$6	0xc6955f…
10-25 18:17:09	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	686	0¢	$2	0xff70f5…
10-25 18:17:09	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,870	0¢	$6	0xf3f4f0…
10-25 18:17:09	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	2,146	0¢	$6	0xa3b6e9…