Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$352

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,869

lifetime

Volume

$240.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$129

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 07-24 15:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

84% — —

Other

12% 100% +$992

Sports

4% 0% $-640

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 125 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran strike israel on march 10	134	$20.1K	32,558	30,568	+1,990	open	—	03-14 20:26
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	57	$16.2K	26,708	26,708	+0	open	—	02-28 06:49
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	192	$15.7K	35,906	32,314	+3,592	open	—	03-07 01:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	56	$14.7K	29,806	28,071	+1,735	open	—	06-15 14:35
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	12	$13.4K	8,652	7,806	+846	open	—	03-23 11:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	57	$12.2K	10,442	14,548	-4,106	open	—	06-14 23:28
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	39	$10.2K	12,156	12,424	-268	open	—	02-28 07:17
will iran strike israel on march 6	3	$9.2K	5,406	5,406	+0	open	—	03-10 16:21
us strikes iraq by february 28	26	$7.7K	8,747	8,522	+225	open	—	03-03 22:13
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	21	$6.5K	5,250	5,098	+152	Yes	+$992	05-10 12:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	43	$6.0K	8,032	19,000	-10,968	open	—	06-14 21:35
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	28	$4.9K	3,199	3,199	+0	open	—	03-06 05:54
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	79	$4.5K	7,357	7,101	+256	open	—	06-11 03:33
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	13	$4.4K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	02-28 20:20
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	17	$4.4K	2,609	3,501	-892	open	—	03-25 01:26
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	14	$4.2K	7,324	7,324	+0	open	—	04-15 17:03
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	16	$3.7K	3,456	3,456	+0	open	—	02-28 07:18
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	17	$3.6K	4,421	4,421	+0	open	—	03-03 22:11
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	16	$3.2K	5,519	5,519	+0	open	—	04-07 23:19
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	24	$2.9K	2,101	1,801	+301	open	—	03-01 15:22
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	22	$2.8K	2,222	2,707	-485	open	—	02-28 07:03
will israel strike gaza on february 9 2026	64	$2.6K	2,513	2,404	+110	open	—	02-09 19:40
will iran strike israel on march 8	8	$2.5K	2,546	0	+2,546	open	—	03-08 12:34
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	31	$2.5K	17,722	7,977	+9,745	open	—	02-28 06:19
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	8	$2.5K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	03-08 15:43
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	14	$2.4K	4,229	1,500	+2,729	open	—	03-04 05:23
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	4	$2.3K	2,475	2,475	+0	open	—	02-18 20:10
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	9	$2.3K	1,776	1,776	-0	open	—	05-26 17:44
us strikes iraq by march 7	9	$2.2K	4,937	2,554	+2,383	open	—	03-08 04:50
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	3	$2.1K	6,783	6,783	+0	open	—	03-03 19:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 15:56:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	BUY	1,800	16¢	$288	0x896576…
07-24 15:30:25	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	4,231	2¢	$68	0x3a72d2…
07-24 15:29:52	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x17b519…
07-24 15:29:49	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	2,000	2¢	$32	0x920d3c…
07-24 13:58:52	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	996	5¢	$50	0xffb8c7…
07-24 13:58:18	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x99d5fb…
07-24 13:34:31	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xd2faca…
07-24 13:28:19	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	76	5¢	$4	0x7663bf…
07-24 13:26:58	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	75	5¢	$4	0xf92a21…
07-24 13:25:04	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0xb47a70…
07-24 13:24:16	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	2,101	5¢	$105	0x087e41…
07-24 10:34:51	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x70ec21…
07-24 10:32:13	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$5	0x3e6d6f…
07-24 10:09:39	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x50f3b4…
07-24 10:01:54	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x8894b9…
07-24 09:59:58	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	Yes	BUY	7,742	6¢	$480	0x21c623…
07-24 09:57:18	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	700	8¢	$56	0x3c66b2…
07-24 09:56:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	2,500	6¢	$150	0x5c20c4…
07-24 09:53:12	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xc84d85…
07-24 09:51:42	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	35	2¢	$1	0x530c87…
07-24 09:46:09	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x561891…
07-24 09:43:54	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xf6e628…
07-23 16:57:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	933	22¢	$205	0xa7e608…
07-23 16:57:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	103	22¢	$23	0x43bd38…
07-23 16:46:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	33	22¢	$7	0xadd702…
07-23 16:38:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	51	22¢	$11	0x0e4f27…
07-23 16:37:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	17	22¢	$4	0xba3a50…
07-23 16:34:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0x6a5569…
07-23 16:32:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x804768…
07-23 16:30:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xde23a8…
07-23 16:29:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	648	22¢	$143	0x264ba5…
07-23 15:32:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	1,566	25¢	$391	0x913740…
07-23 15:32:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	174	25¢	$44	0xfe2b3f…
07-23 13:43:18	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	Yes	BUY	677	2¢	$13	0xffb7c5…
07-23 09:50:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	43	26¢	$11	0x6b0c84…
07-23 09:50:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	1,957	26¢	$509	0xd23bcd…
07-22 20:14:00	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	257	14¢	$36	0x6360cb…
07-22 19:29:03	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xff0913…
07-22 19:29:00	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xfb4816…
07-22 19:28:22	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x529bb7…
07-22 19:28:19	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x2e3d68…
07-22 19:23:48	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	116	14¢	$16	0xf5e4a9…
07-22 19:22:22	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x8e85a5…
07-22 19:20:22	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	106	14¢	$15	0x384cd8…
07-18 23:34:30	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	2,000	3¢	$66	0xd15833…
07-18 23:31:54	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	3,124	4¢	$125	0x47d26c…
07-16 10:32:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,600	23¢	$368	0xc22c7a…
07-15 18:32:41	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0x6f0980…
07-15 18:15:58	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	599	5¢	$31	0x37bd10…
07-15 18:12:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	76	5¢	$4	0x927318…
07-15 18:11:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	376	5¢	$19	0xe7f4f9…
07-15 18:11:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	242	5¢	$12	0x762f0f…
07-15 17:40:01	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	605	5¢	$31	0xd11748…
07-15 17:38:41	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0xdcdb2d…
07-15 10:56:43	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	1,600	52¢	$832	0x84ba3b…
07-15 10:56:11	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	2,000	39¢	$780	0x062c32…
07-15 10:40:07	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2,000	39¢	$785	0x2f89d3…
07-15 10:39:16	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	900	58¢	$522	0xa56a1d…
07-14 20:51:49	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	3,102	1¢	$43	0xda3195…
07-14 20:51:31	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xd06588…
07-14 20:51:31	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$7	0x9085cc…
07-14 20:51:31	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x35d0e2…
07-14 20:51:16	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	53	1¢	$1	0xa73097…
07-14 20:51:13	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xafcb80…
07-14 20:50:52	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe78e6c…
07-14 20:50:52	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	144	1¢	$2	0x16449c…
07-14 20:50:31	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x604668…
07-14 20:50:11	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x71e366…
07-14 20:49:52	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x96ab9e…
07-14 20:49:28	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5efec7…
07-14 20:49:02	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x30c6a8…
07-14 20:48:46	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x17607d…
07-14 20:48:28	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x96f588…
07-14 20:48:08	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7d09b7…
07-14 20:47:49	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4fe279…
07-14 20:47:29	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x6ab20b…
07-14 20:47:23	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x29119a…
07-14 20:47:07	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcc0176…
07-14 20:47:04	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	556	1¢	$8	0x0442cc…
07-14 20:46:41	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4d2463…
07-14 20:46:25	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x13f2de…
07-14 20:46:07	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdfcebc…
07-14 20:45:52	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	53	1¢	$1	0x4b93c9…
07-14 20:45:46	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe6ffb0…
07-14 20:45:26	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x040b1c…
07-14 20:45:22	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	550	1¢	$8	0x1831bc…
07-14 20:45:04	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	406	1¢	$6	0xc67bde…
07-14 20:41:46	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x384ac8…
07-14 20:40:19	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	716	1¢	$10	0x13c1f8…
07-14 20:34:58	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	800	33¢	$264	0xa5e4fa…
07-14 20:26:17	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	123	10¢	$13	0x89075c…
07-14 20:26:17	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	527	10¢	$54	0x1b22c9…
07-13 14:28:17	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	988	11¢	$111	0xee865a…
07-01 02:33:22	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Ecuador	BUY	2,589	5¢	$129	0xe78081…
07-01 02:33:14	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Ecuador	BUY	53	5¢	$3	0x1a8904…
07-01 02:33:13	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Ecuador	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x94da5f…
07-01 02:33:11	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Ecuador	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0x5f3913…
07-01 02:33:10	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Ecuador	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x0a2115…
07-01 02:33:08	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Ecuador	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0x3c9bab…
07-01 02:33:07	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Ecuador	BUY	737	5¢	$37	0xe7e610…