Realized P&L
-$22.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$267
Hit rate
57.4%
Resolved
3,137
Trades
25,633
lifetime
Volume
$603.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$9.88K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 05:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 210 days
Categories
Other
68% 37% -$17,574
Politics
14% 37% -$1,428
Sports
9% 40% -$731
Crypto
7% 44% -$1,954
Tech
1% 26% -$186
Pop-Culture
1% 32% -$452
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 292 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,750 $2,741 100¢ $2.7K -$1 10-27 10:49
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,258 $1,213 92¢ $1.2K -$50 10-17 02:54
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1,126 $1,080 95¢ $1.1K -$6 10-27 12:20
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? No +3,454 $517 22¢ $770 +$253 10-27 09:15
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 No +719 $659 98¢ $702 +$43 10-17 02:53
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No +572 $538 95¢ $541 +$4 10-27 01:54
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,145 $347 30¢ $349 +$2 10-09 04:42
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +356 $266 80¢ $283 +$17 10-27 23:04
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? No +496 $302 54¢ $270 -$32 10-11 14:02
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +337 $231 74¢ $248 +$17 10-08 23:50
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? No +220 $217 99¢ $218 +$1 10-26 17:17
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +186 $160 79¢ $147 -$13 09-23 02:06
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? No +141 $75 95¢ $134 +$59 10-20 14:08
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +430 $127 30¢ $129 +$1 10-10 09:07
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +176 $154 72¢ $127 -$27 09-23 02:07
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +140 $125 88¢ $124 -$1 10-27 01:17
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +2,007 $121 6¢ $117 -$3 10-26 02:14
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +240 $96 38¢ $90 -$6 10-11 08:54
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +1,158 $104 8¢ $87 -$17 10-08 10:51
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +104 $72 78¢ $81 +$9 10-25 03:58
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North? No +88 $61 76¢ $66 +$5 10-05 20:47
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? Yes +494 $55 13¢ $62 +$8 10-27 04:47
Stripe IPO before 2027? Yes +969 $29 5¢ $50 +$21 10-28 00:13
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No +70 $51 70¢ $49 -$2 10-09 21:21
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,087 $76 4¢ $49 -$27 10-22 12:27
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October? No +48 $45 99¢ $48 +$3 10-08 17:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? No +61 $37 78¢ $47 +$10 10-20 03:55
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +318 $54 15¢ $46 -$8 10-27 10:25
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? No +120 $48 32¢ $38 -$10 10-27 01:13
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? No +32 $12 98¢ $31 +$19 10-05 14:08