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whale
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Realized P&L (7d)
-$116
Unrealized P&L
-$338
Hit rate
86.7%
Resolved (7d)
57
Trades (7d)
402
26,416 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$3.78K
$612.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$3.31K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-11 22:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 224 days
Categories
Other
68% 37% -$18,374
Politics
14% 35% -$2,031
Sports
9% 40% -$726
Crypto
7% 43% -$1,925
Tech
1% 29% +$540
Pop-Culture
1% 32% -$452
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 292 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 No +719 $659 98¢ $703 +$45 10-17 02:53
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No +572 $538 98¢ $562 +$25 10-27 01:54
Will Green Bay Packers win the 2026 NFC North? No +508 $431 87¢ $442 +$11 11-09 00:18
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? No +496 $302 47¢ $233 -$69 10-11 14:02
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +242 $227 94¢ $229 +$1 11-06 01:17
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +140 $125 91¢ $127 +$3 10-27 01:17
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +225 $179 50¢ $114 -$66 11-06 14:54
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No +106 $103 97¢ $103 $0 11-09 04:42
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +176 $154 43¢ $75 -$79 09-23 02:07
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +77 $51 96¢ $74 +$22 11-05 18:35
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No +70 $51 97¢ $68 +$17 10-09 21:21
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? No +60 $57 96¢ $57 +$1 11-10 13:23
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No +55 $53 98¢ $54 +$0 11-05 07:34
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North? No +88 $61 60¢ $53 -$8 10-05 20:47
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +60 $42 73¢ $44 +$2 11-07 19:34
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +40 $37 94¢ $37 +$0 11-06 06:08
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +39 $34 88¢ $34 +$1 11-06 22:03
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? No +112 $45 26¢ $30 -$15 11-02 10:43
Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? No +36 $29 78¢ $28 -$1 11-06 04:02
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,345 $82 2¢ $28 -$53 11-11 16:27
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in November? No +39 $31 70¢ $27 -$4 11-05 23:18
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +2,105 $122 1¢ $26 -$96 11-11 13:37
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +318 $54 8¢ $24 -$30 10-27 10:25
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +192 $13 12¢ $23 +$10 11-11 02:46
Stripe IPO before 2027? Yes +969 $29 2¢ $21 -$8 10-28 00:13
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? No +23 $22 91¢ $21 -$1 11-11 22:48
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No +18 $17 98¢ $18 +$1 10-29 22:31
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? Yes +260 $63 6¢ $17 -$46 11-09 09:02
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +20 $17 82¢ $16 -$1 11-11 01:11
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T? No +20 $16 82¢ $16 $0 11-10 12:40