Winding-Regime — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.21K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.7%

Resolved

223

Trades

998

lifetime

Volume

$40.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 10-09 23:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 55% -$919

Other

38% 48% -$3,491

Politics

4% 71% +$26

Sports

2% 83% +$177

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 161 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Argentina leading at halftime?	2	$2.9K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	+$60	07-03 22:52
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	12	$1.9K	2,700	2,700	+0	No	-$1,932	07-04 00:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?	21	$1.7K	2,600	2,600	+0	No	-$350	09-15 11:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 7?	8	$1.2K	776	776	+0	No	+$341	09-07 15:34
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 spread away 1pt5	3	$1.1K	1,900	0	+1,900	Paraguay	-$1,099	07-04 20:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	10	$969	1,164	1,164	+0	open	—	07-04 00:03
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	3	$928	525	525	+0	Argentina	+$121	07-04 00:51
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	3	$830	500	500	+0	No	+$30	03-16 14:04
ethereum above 2100 on february 9	12	$788	634	534	+100	No	+$182	02-09 16:59
fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	1	$770	1,100	0	+1,100	Morocco	+$330	07-04 04:22
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 September 7-13?	3	$764	900	0	+900	No	+$136	09-11 16:54
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	4	$666	388	388	+0	Yes	+$90	06-24 22:51
Argentina to win the second half?	5	$615	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$615	07-03 23:19
bitcoin above 64k on february 25	4	$578	362	362	+0	Yes	+$144	02-25 19:52
bitcoin above 70k on february 10	7	$534	400	400	+0	No	+$178	02-10 15:52
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	3	$484	300	300	+0	No	+$64	03-20 14:19
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	2	$474	300	300	+0	Yes	+$48	01-28 10:49
bitcoin above 68k on february 26	14	$458	601	248	+353	No	+$318	02-26 16:00
will ethereum reach 2500 march 16 22	3	$449	300	295	+5	No	+$129	03-19 15:18
ethereum above 2000 on february 11	9	$423	300	300	+0	No	+$175	02-11 17:11
f1 japanese grand prix winner piastri 2026 03 29	14	$417	500	500	+0	No	+$67	03-29 05:55
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	3	$406	469	469	+0	open	—	07-04 00:03
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	2	$403	600	0	+600	Yes	+$197	06-24 22:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 23:55 UTC	5	$392	400	400	+0	Up	+$108	09-15 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	33	$390	600	245	+355	Down	-$96	09-15 12:08
ethereum above 2100 on february 26	2	$389	300	200	+100	No	+$91	02-26 15:14
fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 first half total 1pt5	2	$366	600	0	+600	Under	+$234	07-04 02:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 15:15 UTC	9	$366	800	0	+800	Down	-$366	03-20 15:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 15:25 UTC	12	$358	480	80	+400	Up	-$275	03-20 15:28
bitcoin above 80k on september 5 2026	4	$357	210	210	+0	No	+$63	09-05 16:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 23:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbdd1a0…
10-09 23:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x1412d1…
10-09 23:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x5895ed…
10-09 23:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x2bbcb2…
10-09 23:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xb6f7d0…
09-28 00:25:05	will bitcoin reach 85k in september 2026 from september 27	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x4a5d6a…
09-28 00:20:15	will bitcoin reach 85k in september 2026 from september 27	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xf2b48b…
09-28 00:00:20	will bitcoin reach 85k in september 2026 from september 27	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x68abfa…
09-27 23:59:05	will bitcoin reach 85k in september 2026 from september 27	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x71b3ea…
09-19 01:50:51	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 September 14-20?	No	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0xb41475…
09-18 22:12:18	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	90	38¢	$34	0xda1571…
09-18 22:12:18	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x722a58…
09-18 22:11:16	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 14-20?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xf0d9e8…
09-15 18:34:00	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 14-20?	No	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0x4d5d70…
09-15 14:46:00	ethereum above 2400 on september 15 2026	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x3b9322…
09-15 14:41:06	bitcoin above 76k on september 15 2026	Yes	SELL	60	31¢	$19	0x03ce06…
09-15 13:33:13	bitcoin above 76k on september 15 2026	Yes	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xee5cac…
09-15 13:33:13	bitcoin above 76k on september 15 2026	Yes	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x424873…
09-15 13:31:58	bitcoin above 76k on september 15 2026	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xa2b6da…
09-15 12:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	16	20¢	$3	0x4587cf…
09-15 12:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	179	20¢	$36	0x66a7a7…
09-15 12:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x48a560…
09-15 12:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x0317b0…
09-15 12:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xe67c43…
09-15 12:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xbf089a…
09-15 12:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x6ec74e…
09-15 12:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	18	70¢	$13	0x0e29a7…
09-15 12:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	63	70¢	$44	0x33b843…
09-15 12:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x56b3ef…
09-15 12:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	62	49¢	$30	0x5e3c90…
09-15 12:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x80a94e…
09-15 12:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe29eb6…
09-15 12:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	132	49¢	$65	0xf7dab6…
09-15 12:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xdcba67…
09-15 12:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	77	60¢	$46	0xd14b7c…
09-15 12:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xd02f2a…
09-15 12:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xaecbd9…
09-15 12:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x9c6b97…
09-15 12:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x956590…
09-15 12:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	71	60¢	$43	0x8e296f…
09-15 12:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x8cf4ed…
09-15 12:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x8baffc…
09-15 12:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x8a0fdd…
09-15 12:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x737f34…
09-15 12:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x70d18f…
09-15 12:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	13	60¢	$8	0x5f95c6…
09-15 12:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0x4b53ce…
09-15 12:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x442915…
09-15 12:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x3e576b…
09-15 12:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x2ee2c5…
09-15 12:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x258ea8…
09-15 12:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x1e0935…
09-15 12:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x094ba6…
09-15 12:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xca0be7…
09-15 12:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	35	31¢	$11	0xbc9431…
09-15 12:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	115	31¢	$36	0x7c2ada…
09-15 12:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x3f623b…
09-15 12:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	35	50¢	$17	0xdb3a03…
09-15 12:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd265b2…
09-15 12:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xb90476…
09-15 12:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb15b81…
09-15 12:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa1219e…
09-15 12:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	96	50¢	$48	0x9d791a…
09-15 12:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x72f781…
09-15 12:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	96	50¢	$48	0x54eefa…
09-15 12:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	41	50¢	$21	0x453e30…
09-15 12:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	172	20¢	$34	0x619394…
09-15 12:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xb22703…
09-15 12:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xd4a31a…
09-15 12:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x9b3353…
09-15 12:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x86b0a9…
09-15 12:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x76e586…
09-15 12:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x0a8529…
09-15 11:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xcad1e8…
09-15 11:50:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?	Yes	SELL	600	12¢	$73	0x579e0a…
09-15 00:00:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 23:55 UTC	Up	SELL	170	99¢	$168	0x0751be…
09-14 23:59:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 23:55 UTC	Up	SELL	230	35¢	$81	0x3c1632…
09-14 23:58:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	156	56¢	$87	0xec8d70…
09-14 23:57:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x29fbb8…
09-14 23:54:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	144	56¢	$81	0x1dc1f2…
09-14 23:54:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x1d992a…
09-14 23:54:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	194	51¢	$99	0x92b0b5…
09-14 23:52:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?	No	SELL	1	43¢	$0	0xb57382…
09-14 23:32:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	300	62¢	$186	0x8376bf…
09-14 23:06:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?	No	SELL	999	35¢	$350	0x2fa9d9…
09-14 21:59:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?	No	SELL	952	25¢	$238	0x249e1f…
09-14 21:56:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x17a8ac…
09-14 21:53:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?	No	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x1f4b99…
09-14 21:36:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?	No	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x1c10a5…
09-14 21:02:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x91d2b5…
09-14 18:48:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?	No	BUY	600	17¢	$102	0x79093b…
09-14 14:20:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?	No	BUY	400	34¢	$138	0x7825a9…
09-14 14:03:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?	No	BUY	64	42¢	$27	0x2c5af9…
09-14 14:03:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?	No	BUY	361	42¢	$152	0x16265e…
09-14 14:03:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x2b1d48…
09-14 14:02:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?	No	BUY	31	42¢	$13	0xfed62f…
09-14 14:02:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?	No	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x5ddeda…
09-14 14:01:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?	No	BUY	416	44¢	$183	0xa18550…
09-14 14:01:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?	No	BUY	64	44¢	$28	0xd6bc44…
09-14 14:01:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xcc2c5d…