Fumbling-Bargain — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$92

Hit rate

—

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

265 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$50.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$190

Open exposure

$3.10K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 05-30 11:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

80% 85% -$1,070

Politics

15% 69% -$86

Sports

4% 0% -$5

Crypto

2% 80% -$627

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-30).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		-3,117	-$3,004	99¢	$-3096	-$92	04-28 13:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	2	$5.0K	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$22	05-04 12:15
Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	5	$4.4K	2,189	2,189	+0	No	+$12	05-15 12:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	2	$3.6K	2,104	2,104	-0	open	—	05-30 11:54
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	14	$3.3K	7,258	10,375	-3,117	open	—	05-25 07:08
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	2	$2.8K	2,710	136	+2,575	No	+$5	05-02 15:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	2	$2.0K	1,002	1,002	+0	No	+$1	04-29 21:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$2.0K	1,030	1,030	+0	No	-$4	04-30 06:24
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	5	$1.6K	789	789	+0	No	+$0	04-29 13:56
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	8	$1.5K	1,114	433	+681	No	$0	05-19 15:58
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	35	$1.5K	746	746	+0	No	+$7	05-01 07:33
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$1.5K	784	784	+0	No	-$1	01-25 01:47
Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	4	$1.2K	601	601	+0	No	+$0	05-01 14:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	4	$1.0K	583	583	+0	No	+$37	05-26 09:31
trump out as president by march 31	2	$1.0K	531	531	+0	No	+$0	01-03 07:44
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$1.0K	501	501	+0	No	+$1	05-22 14:37
Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$1000	500	500	+0	No	+$0	05-12 09:36
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	3	$950	559	559	+0	No	-$119	05-09 21:36
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	26	$936	493	493	+0	No	+$9	05-02 17:45
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	16	$808	887	62	+824	Yes	-$164	05-01 05:24
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	5	$663	339	339	+0	No	+$14	05-15 16:10
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$630	631	0	+631	Yes	-$630	05-10 17:09
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	4	$625	626	0	+626	No	+$1	05-19 15:58
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$578	307	307	+0	No	-$22	05-09 21:36
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	1	$562	618	0	+618	No	-$562	04-25 09:57
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	1	$560	562	0	+562	No	+$2	04-24 13:42
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	8	$518	260	260	+0	No	+$1	05-22 11:19
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$499	501	0	+501	No	+$2	05-12 09:38
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	5	$468	236	236	+0	No	+$3	05-22 15:53
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	4	$464	266	202	+64	Yes	+$0	05-19 16:01
Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$457	457	0	+457	No	+$0	05-10 17:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 11:54:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	2,104	85¢	$1,789	0x0424bf…
05-27 11:05:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	2,104	85¢	$1,789	0xe62e0d…
05-26 09:31:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	217	94¢	$204	0x9e88aa…
05-25 10:21:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0x9f5b76…
05-25 07:55:42	Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc6fede…
05-25 07:55:20	Will Khamenei post 50-54 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x5c4362…
05-25 07:54:48	Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	345	100¢	$344	0x6f1130…
05-25 07:08:36	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	208	2¢	$4	0x6aacc3…
05-25 07:08:36	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,397	2¢	$29	0x379101…
05-25 07:08:34	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,034	2¢	$22	0x7d9b2d…
05-25 07:08:34	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	790	2¢	$17	0x3f0cfa…
05-25 07:08:34	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,084	2¢	$23	0x39b8a2…
05-25 07:08:34	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	943	2¢	$20	0x22c137…
05-25 07:08:34	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,210	2¢	$25	0x158697…
05-25 07:07:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	366	91¢	$333	0x5a4271…
05-25 07:07:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	135	75¢	$101	0x552109…
05-23 14:49:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xbf70a2…
05-23 14:49:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	366	82¢	$300	0x4317f5…
05-22 15:53:59	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x3e06b8…
05-22 15:44:59	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x53ce05…
05-22 15:43:10	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x152170…
05-22 15:42:53	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0xb018e4…
05-22 14:37:17	Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	501	100¢	$501	0x237572…
05-22 11:19:21	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	202	100¢	$202	0x59e2c8…
05-22 10:50:31	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8e77c7…
05-22 07:32:30	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x53713d…
05-22 06:26:21	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,081	2¢	$40	0xbc930b…
05-22 02:10:58	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x52a6d0…
05-22 00:11:14	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xec01f7…
05-21 22:47:23	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xb10e58…
05-21 20:14:31	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	117	97¢	$113	0xdd46a8…
05-21 16:09:42	Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0x6e8ff2…
05-21 16:06:38	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	99¢	$48	0xb01bcf…
05-21 16:05:16	Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x191701…
05-21 16:04:53	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x7adc40…
05-21 16:04:39	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	134	99¢	$132	0x37407d…
05-21 11:32:58	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x9457c6…
05-21 05:38:26	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2fc2ff…
05-21 03:22:02	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x0c8efd…
05-21 03:00:58	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xed0bac…
05-21 01:28:50	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xa10625…
05-21 01:28:46	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x359bb4…
05-21 00:47:34	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x7acd16…
05-21 00:45:56	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x1d3b38…
05-21 00:45:54	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xa2bf69…
05-21 00:38:50	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0xd11f62…
05-20 23:10:21	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa8bf21…
05-20 13:38:18	Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xffe5da…
05-20 13:36:59	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x9b1dc4…
05-20 13:17:22	Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0x9f5d3e…
05-20 13:16:55	Will Khamenei post 40-44 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x10352d…
05-20 13:16:40	Will Khamenei post 35-39 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	280	100¢	$280	0x5a6645…
05-20 13:16:20	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0x94a6d3…
05-20 13:16:05	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xa5feb6…
05-20 13:15:19	Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8df565…
05-20 13:14:39	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x0130eb…
05-19 16:07:18	Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0x114ba6…
05-19 16:03:57	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc7e109…
05-19 16:01:54	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x86f0bd…
05-19 15:58:38	Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0xb7e762…
05-19 15:58:03	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	681	100¢	$680	0xce5561…
05-19 15:57:49	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x677f3f…
05-19 15:55:19	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$56	0xf901f9…
05-19 15:55:19	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x049aff…
05-19 15:55:15	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x511659…
05-19 15:51:15	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6292ba…
05-19 15:50:33	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x978477…
05-19 15:41:06	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	59	99¢	$59	0x07dad1…
05-19 15:12:12	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$52	0xd3379d…
05-19 14:38:52	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	202	99¢	$200	0xcafc2e…
05-19 14:00:24	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,391	2¢	$25	0x0659dd…
05-19 11:50:17	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	113	100¢	$113	0xae409b…
05-19 10:59:00	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xe71de5…
05-19 10:52:42	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x4521f4…
05-19 09:21:27	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xae1caf…
05-19 09:20:48	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0x042d1b…
05-19 09:20:22	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x79a629…
05-18 19:37:54	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	207	98¢	$202	0x432705…
05-18 13:50:40	Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x4d211c…
05-18 10:20:54	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,316	2¢	$25	0x945e8e…
05-18 10:02:31	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	181	100¢	$180	0x0f1c44…
05-18 10:02:05	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	170	98¢	$167	0x28fd2e…
05-18 10:01:07	Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x20467c…
05-18 10:00:22	Will Khamenei post 35-39 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xad65fc…
05-17 20:56:39	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x1906cc…
05-17 18:07:26	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	207	97¢	$200	0xda337a…
05-17 18:06:12	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x09b994…
05-17 18:05:48	Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0xf940cf…
05-17 18:04:59	Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x3054ed…
05-17 18:02:13	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xf800c3…
05-15 16:10:33	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	204	100¢	$204	0xb557b8…
05-15 16:10:14	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	134	100¢	$134	0x065fb3…
05-15 12:17:08	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1,732	100¢	$1,730	0x4c9e40…
05-15 12:09:45	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	427	2¢	$10	0x443c6e…
05-15 12:08:44	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	593	2¢	$12	0x8a9b8e…
05-15 08:49:05	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,732	100¢	$1,725	0x52544a…
05-14 17:08:07	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	457	100¢	$456	0xc82c74…
05-14 05:35:35	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	254	98¢	$249	0xcf0dff…
05-14 05:34:16	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	209	96¢	$200	0x2e42d8…
05-14 05:33:03	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	27	91¢	$24	0xdd7ad2…