Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$116.2K

Unrealized P&L

-$5.50K

Hit rate

9.6%

Resolved

Trades

2,076

lifetime

Volume

$365.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$176

Open exposure

$3.19K

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 10-25 21:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 50% -$33,440

Politics

43% 21% -$65,972

Other

10% 14% -$16,747

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-52,106	-$1,065	4¢	$-2162	-$1,097	10-07 23:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+7,760	$3,833	10¢	$737	-$3,095	05-02 09:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+3,900	$1,599	8¢	$293	-$1,306	05-02 01:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	421	$105.1K	141,442	117,769	+23,674	No	-$12,591	04-30 01:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	276	$61.0K	98,722	113,923	-15,201	No	-$17,942	04-23 13:07
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	189	$27.0K	161,298	8,839	+152,459	No	-$16,118	04-21 15:53
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	261	$17.3K	57,742	57,742	+0	No	-$7,383	03-30 20:59
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	133	$13.7K	26,737	29,135	-2,398	Yes	-$8,467	04-18 10:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	243	$12.0K	40,982	40,890	+92	No	-$3,792	04-18 10:04
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	133	$11.3K	116,823	17	+116,806	No	-$11,342	03-23 02:43
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	13	$11.2K	6,135	6,135	+0	No	+$432	03-13 15:29
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	25	$10.0K	15,419	18,544	-3,125	Yes	-$5,536	04-17 10:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$9.1K	34,504	0	+34,504	No	-$9,090	04-21 14:10
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	24	$8.7K	8,200	8,200	+0	No	-$1,339	04-21 22:33
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	21	$8.1K	7,721	7,793	-72	Yes	+$284	03-29 22:00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	51	$7.9K	20,394	20,434	-40	Yes	-$5,821	04-18 10:50
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	14	$7.7K	10,851	12,051	-1,200	No	-$2,912	04-07 23:31
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	6	$6.1K	4,632	4,632	+0	Yes	+$773	03-13 14:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	42	$5.9K	8,778	8,823	-45	Yes	-$2,406	04-19 13:32
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	7	$5.3K	7,237	0	+7,237	Yes	-$5,333	10-25 21:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	68	$5.3K	5,318	5,318	+0	No	-$872	04-17 09:51
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	36	$3.9K	13,689	13,689	+0	Yes	-$1,737	04-19 19:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	26	$3.9K	9,418	9,330	+89	No	-$2,434	04-19 19:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	11	$3.8K	7,760	0	+7,760	open	—	05-02 09:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	15	$3.8K	5,854	6,983	-1,130	No	-$1,850	04-19 20:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	12	$2.8K	3,200	55,306	-52,106	open	—	10-07 23:27
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	3	$2.4K	1,397	1,397	+0	No	+$394	03-30 21:00
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$2.2K	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	-$205	03-15 16:14
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	7	$2.1K	3,200	3,200	+0	Yes	+$97	03-18 13:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	3	$2.1K	2,564	2,452	+113	Yes	+$216	04-24 21:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$1.6K	3,900	0	+3,900	open	—	05-02 01:06
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	3	$1.6K	5,234	5,234	+0	No	+$210	04-20 22:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	4	$1.3K	3,111	0	+3,111	Yes	-$1,320	04-13 16:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 21:15:48	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	741	68¢	$503	0xacee0c…
10-25 21:15:24	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1,478	68¢	$1,000	0x27e628…
10-25 20:49:03	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1,231	65¢	$800	0xca631a…
10-25 13:16:02	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	188	80¢	$150	0x126616…
10-25 13:13:45	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	2,500	80¢	$2,000	0xc959ee…
10-25 13:10:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1,000	80¢	$800	0x58a92b…
10-25 13:09:26	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xbf55d5…
10-07 23:27:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,656	3¢	$118	0x06fbd4…
10-07 23:26:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x67a231…
10-07 23:24:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51,644	4¢	$1,809	0x778fc9…
05-02 20:36:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,700	26¢	$442	0x1ebe90…
05-02 09:33:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	470	49¢	$230	0x6c7496…
05-02 08:00:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	49¢	$49	0xa1d1c5…
05-02 07:23:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x972e6a…
05-02 06:24:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	173	49¢	$85	0x0a9b9a…
05-02 03:21:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,176	49¢	$576	0x08b5e7…
05-02 03:20:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	49¢	$32	0x62fe62…
05-02 03:17:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	50¢	$1,000	0x0b551c…
05-02 01:06:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,300	40¢	$520	0x7af9a6…
05-02 01:06:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	51¢	$1,020	0xcfe06e…
05-01 20:52:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,300	41¢	$533	0x821087…
05-01 18:59:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,300	42¢	$546	0x2441cb…
04-30 01:55:58	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xc87016…
04-30 01:54:54	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	132	4¢	$5	0x918a20…
04-30 01:54:16	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	5,282	4¢	$211	0x19373a…
04-30 01:54:00	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x761c3a…
04-30 01:49:16	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	111	4¢	$4	0x91e86f…
04-30 01:46:20	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x51b0ae…
04-30 01:46:02	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x7ce82e…
04-30 01:44:20	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	37	4¢	$1	0x414846…
04-30 01:43:42	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	250	4¢	$10	0xf37cb2…
04-30 01:42:56	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0x2e57ca…
04-30 01:39:28	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	43	4¢	$2	0xd5f565…
04-30 01:36:32	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x54d8c5…
04-30 01:30:18	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	1,826	4¢	$73	0xe0da95…
04-30 01:26:54	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	360	4¢	$14	0x2d6bc3…
04-30 01:25:24	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	36	4¢	$1	0x60c4dc…
04-30 01:25:10	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x765b33…
04-30 01:24:34	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	230	4¢	$9	0x25feec…
04-30 01:20:34	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	180	4¢	$7	0x895629…
04-30 01:06:00	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x6fb92d…
04-30 01:02:40	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xbccb6b…
04-30 01:02:22	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x3a34b6…
04-30 01:02:18	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xeef287…
04-30 01:02:18	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x463073…
04-30 01:02:16	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x90c6b0…
04-29 21:47:22	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	1,199	3¢	$36	0xf635d3…
04-29 21:47:00	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0x0e936e…
04-29 21:46:58	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	8,768	3¢	$263	0x8f95c9…
04-29 14:53:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	47¢	$45	0x8aa2de…
04-29 14:45:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	221	28¢	$62	0x13d9f1…
04-29 14:43:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,105	47¢	$519	0x68dc6a…
04-29 03:53:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x7c317a…
04-29 03:53:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	28¢	$22	0x4acd44…
04-28 23:38:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	560	48¢	$269	0xa0ab7a…
04-28 23:12:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	28¢	$84	0x62bbeb…
04-28 23:04:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	28¢	$26	0xd07b96…
04-28 22:59:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	323	28¢	$90	0x081462…
04-28 22:45:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	327	28¢	$92	0x184393…
04-28 22:42:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	153	28¢	$43	0xb7425a…
04-27 17:57:58	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	4,400	25¢	$1,100	0xe9e978…
04-27 16:41:18	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	8,000	25¢	$2,000	0x8eb7e3…
04-27 15:32:10	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,643	31¢	$516	0x32c98f…
04-27 15:04:50	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	2,500	39¢	$975	0x72888b…
04-27 15:04:44	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,968	40¢	$787	0x4777e1…
04-27 15:04:42	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xb0cf9d…
04-27 15:04:42	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x3de776…
04-27 15:04:38	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x8b33b0…
04-27 15:04:34	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	500	40¢	$200	0x9ec390…
04-27 15:04:24	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x1e50f0…
04-27 15:04:22	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	2,500	42¢	$1,050	0x51347e…
04-27 15:04:22	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x38ffe3…
04-27 15:03:54	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xf4e535…
04-27 15:03:54	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xda2226…
04-27 15:03:52	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,475	43¢	$634	0x7b5f2b…
04-27 15:01:08	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x735fbe…
04-27 15:01:08	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x152c88…
04-27 15:01:08	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x0c7555…
04-27 14:04:46	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	164	42¢	$69	0x09824a…
04-27 14:04:40	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xe43330…
04-27 14:04:08	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x76b278…
04-27 14:04:06	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x9bbfbf…
04-27 14:02:56	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xfb1908…
04-27 14:02:18	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	118	42¢	$50	0x3d652a…
04-27 13:56:44	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	197	42¢	$83	0x692b7e…
04-27 13:54:46	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x918241…
04-27 13:53:10	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc0dd58…
04-27 13:51:48	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	140	42¢	$59	0x6fbe63…
04-27 13:50:50	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	350	42¢	$147	0xa8dc0c…
04-27 13:49:30	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	855	42¢	$359	0x42d703…
04-27 13:47:24	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa6be0e…
04-27 13:47:24	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0xa1cee8…
04-27 13:47:24	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x71fb16…
04-27 13:47:24	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0x4d4761…
04-27 13:31:34	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x210533…
04-27 13:31:32	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	2,419	43¢	$1,040	0x059314…
04-27 13:29:14	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xad902e…
04-27 13:27:08	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x962890…
04-27 13:22:24	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0xdb8ac4…
04-27 13:19:42	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x05a1c1…