Realized P&L
+$28
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
78.8%
Resolved
4
Trades
281
lifetime
Volume
$5.78K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$156
7 positions
First seen
2026-03-01
last 07-04 13:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
64% 100% +$11
Other
30% 50% +$8
Crypto
4% 100% +$9
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -34 $-24 78¢ $-27 $-3 06-14 21:42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -27 $-22 88¢ $-24 $-1 06-07 19:01
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No +36 $20 64¢ $23 +$3 06-08 21:37
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -25 $-20 86¢ $-22 $-2 06-14 18:42
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -31 $-19 68¢ $-21 $-2 06-08 15:29
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027? No +25 $20 82¢ $20 +$0 06-16 17:14
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? No +24 $20 86¢ $20 +$0 06-12 15:06