Realized P&L
+$28
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
78.8%
Resolved
4
Trades
231
lifetime
Volume
$4.78K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$235
10 positions
First seen
2026-03-01
last 06-12 15:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
62% 100% +$11
Other
33% 50% +$8
Crypto
3% 100% +$9
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +54 $41 90¢ $49 +$8 06-10 23:29
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +40 $33 84¢ $33 $-0 06-08 11:26
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? No -28 $-24 86¢ $-24 +$0 06-04 09:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -27 $-22 82¢ $-22 +$0 06-07 19:01
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No +36 $20 62¢ $22 +$2 06-08 21:37
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30? No -21 $-20 99¢ $-21 $-1 05-30 15:51
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -31 $-19 65¢ $-20 $-1 06-08 15:29
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? No +24 $20 77¢ $18 $-2 06-12 15:06
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026? No +24 $20 71¢ $17 $-3 06-12 15:07
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes -21 $-4 44¢ $-9 $-6 06-07 19:23