Cheery-Temporariness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.7%

Resolved

101

Trades

138

lifetime

Volume

$45.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$330

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 09-03 08:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 92% +$7

Sports

21% 77% +$9

Other

14% 96% +$16

Politics

7% 0% -$2

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	5	$3.3K	1,642	1,635	+7	No	-$2	02-26 11:11
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$3.2K	1,641	1,636	+5	No	-$2	02-27 11:15
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on february 25	2	$3.0K	1,546	1,500	+46	No	+$0	02-25 07:33
bitcoin above 72k on february 23	2	$2.9K	1,444	1,440	+4	No	-$1	02-23 11:01
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	2	$2.6K	1,336	1,310	+26	No	-$1	02-25 02:29
nba bos sas 2026 03 10	2	$1.7K	1,668	0	+1,668	Spurs	+$2	03-11 02:32
will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on march 1	1	$1.7K	1,657	0	+1,657	No	+$2	03-01 10:36
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 0 39	1	$1.6K	1,647	0	+1,647	No	+$2	03-08 14:33
nba dal cha 2026 03 03	2	$1.6K	1,643	0	+1,643	Hornets	+$3	03-04 02:13
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 0 39	1	$1.6K	1,613	0	+1,613	No	+$2	02-27 11:16
will ethereum dip to 1800 march 2 8	1	$1.6K	1,605	0	+1,605	No	+$5	03-09 02:07
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	1	$1.6K	1,599	0	+1,599	No	+$2	02-28 08:52
bitcoin above 60k on march 9	1	$1.6K	1,578	0	+1,578	Yes	+$2	03-09 13:43
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 40 64	1	$1.5K	1,508	0	+1,508	No	+$9	02-25 07:33
nba uta hou 2026 02 23	1	$1.4K	1,444	0	+1,444	Rockets	+$1	02-24 04:29
bitcoin above 74k on february 23	1	$1.4K	1,439	0	+1,439	No	+$1	02-23 11:01
bitcoin above 76k on march 7	1	$1.4K	1,402	0	+1,402	No	+$1	03-07 05:10
bitcoin above 74k on march 3	3	$1.4K	1,400	0	+1,400	No	+$7	03-03 06:05
will the price of solana be between 100 110 on march 4	1	$1.3K	1,254	0	+1,254	No	+$1	03-04 06:26
nba nyk lac 2026 03 09	12	$1.2K	1,221	0	+1,221	Clippers	+$13	03-10 04:37
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 260 279	1	$1.1K	1,135	0	+1,135	No	+$2	02-26 11:02
will solana reach 110 february 16 22	1	$1.0K	1,031	0	+1,031	No	+$1	02-22 05:30
will bitcoin dip to 69000 on march 5	2	$998	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$2	03-06 04:41
bitcoin above 74k on march 4	8	$746	435	335	+100	No	-$20	03-04 14:44
will solana dip to 50 february 16 22	1	$629	630	0	+630	No	+$1	02-22 05:31
will bitcoin dip to 70000 on march 5	2	$500	500	0	+500	No	+$0	03-06 05:00
bitcoin above 76k on march 4	1	$401	402	0	+402	No	+$1	03-04 16:17
xrp above 1pt8 on february 24	3	$220	222	0	+222	No	+$2	02-23 07:57
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 74000 on march 3	1	$205	206	0	+206	No	+$1	03-03 05:55
bitcoin above 74k on march 7	1	$204	204	0	+204	No	+$0	03-07 10:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-03 08:45:58	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9ff643…
09-03 08:45:49	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x750efe…
09-03 08:45:39	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6a430c…
08-04 08:23:32	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0ca680…
08-04 08:21:56	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd0deed…
08-04 08:21:47	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5c98e3…
07-13 15:36:58	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0xb0c73d…
07-12 14:48:53	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xc37569…
07-12 14:48:40	will solana dip to 10 in july 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc8fe76…
07-12 14:48:32	will solana reach 160 in july 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x38380a…
07-12 14:48:08	will ethereum dip to 700 in july 2026 526	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa62574…
06-03 14:38:28	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x362ab8…
06-03 14:21:08	Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xacee75…
06-03 14:20:50	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x71b74e…
06-03 14:20:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbfa302…
06-03 14:20:12	Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0e39ab…
05-08 14:30:28	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x1d2f9a…
05-08 14:29:30	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb8ca8d…
05-08 14:29:25	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7c2fc6…
05-08 14:29:02	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0x8c5bff…
04-06 07:13:05	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x1b5b4e…
04-06 07:12:57	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 580plus	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0a2a95…
04-06 07:12:39	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 480 499	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x73dc4a…
03-21 12:29:11	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xc0b607…
03-21 12:27:47	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd947e6…
03-21 12:27:23	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xfc5b36…
03-11 08:36:05	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 580plus	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xcbd9c9…
03-11 08:35:53	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7139a3…
03-11 08:34:37	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x6a8464…
03-11 05:34:29	elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 215 239	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x20163c…
03-11 02:32:27	nba bos sas 2026 03 10	Spurs	BUY	1,667	100¢	$1,665	0x7ecd62…
03-10 08:58:57	nba bos sas 2026 03 10	Spurs	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x580e90…
03-10 08:58:51	nba det bkn 2026 03 10	Pistons	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x932533…
03-10 08:58:37	nba mem phi 2026 03 10	76ers	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x3fc78d…
03-10 04:37:53	nba nyk lac 2026 03 09	Clippers	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xcc47be…
03-10 04:37:45	nba nyk lac 2026 03 09	Clippers	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x736340…
03-10 04:37:45	nba nyk lac 2026 03 09	Clippers	BUY	143	99¢	$141	0x24d5f0…
03-10 04:37:41	nba nyk lac 2026 03 09	Clippers	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xd2a6b7…
03-10 04:37:41	nba nyk lac 2026 03 09	Clippers	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8b6877…
03-10 04:37:33	nba nyk lac 2026 03 09	Clippers	BUY	470	99¢	$465	0xe96fca…
03-10 04:37:31	nba nyk lac 2026 03 09	Clippers	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x03e3da…
03-10 04:37:31	nba nyk lac 2026 03 09	Clippers	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x0145b8…
03-10 04:37:25	nba nyk lac 2026 03 09	Clippers	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0xe2391d…
03-10 04:37:13	nba nyk lac 2026 03 09	Clippers	BUY	333	99¢	$330	0x7b1dbe…
03-10 04:37:07	nba nyk lac 2026 03 09	Clippers	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x3ce03c…
03-10 02:28:55	nba nyk lac 2026 03 09	Clippers	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xdd69c2…
03-09 13:43:15	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	BUY	1,578	100¢	$1,576	0x854523…
03-09 13:43:05	elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 240plus	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8861c2…
03-09 09:30:39	nba phi cle 2026 03 09	Cavaliers	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x22177f…
03-09 09:30:29	nba den okc 2026 03 09	Thunder	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x34b58a…
03-09 02:10:19	nba hou sas 2026 03 08	Spurs	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0xdfb8c1…
03-09 02:07:37	will ethereum dip to 1800 march 2 8	No	BUY	1,605	100¢	$1,600	0x788b90…
03-08 14:33:03	elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 0 39	No	BUY	1,647	100¢	$1,645	0xc442c7…
03-08 14:11:37	nba nyk lal 2026 03 08	Knicks	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xd0565c…
03-08 14:11:25	nba hou sas 2026 03 08	Spurs	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x840a5b…
03-08 14:11:17	nba chi sac 2026 03 08	Bulls	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x52f9c0…
03-08 02:12:55	nba lac mem 2026 03 07	Clippers	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x710862…
03-07 10:49:37	bitcoin above 74k on march 7	No	BUY	204	100¢	$204	0x1b0910…
03-07 10:47:23	nba gsw okc 2026 03 07	Thunder	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x6a7ff4…
03-07 10:47:13	nba bkn det 2026 03 07	Pistons	BUY	67	89¢	$60	0x6d1ef0…
03-07 05:10:55	bitcoin above 76k on march 7	No	BUY	1,402	100¢	$1,401	0xd57438…
03-07 05:10:37	nba ind lal 2026 03 06	Lakers	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x7cd1f2…
03-06 14:25:41	will bitcoin reach 78000 on march 6	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xfcb8b5…
03-06 14:25:21	will bitcoin reach 79000 on march 6	No	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0xabe3ea…
03-06 06:07:05	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 280 299	No	BUY	162	100¢	$162	0x733355…
03-06 06:06:45	nba por hou 2026 03 06	Rockets	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x00c248…
03-06 06:06:37	nba ind lal 2026 03 06	Lakers	BUY	13	82¢	$11	0x4333b9…
03-06 06:06:19	nba nyk den 2026 03 06	Nuggets	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xb6e0f3…
03-06 05:00:35	will bitcoin dip to 70000 on march 5	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2fce74…
03-06 04:59:17	will bitcoin dip to 70000 on march 5	No	BUY	400	100¢	$399	0xc4f804…
03-06 04:41:11	will bitcoin dip to 69000 on march 5	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x05d144…
03-06 04:36:07	will bitcoin dip to 68000 on march 5	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xeaa71e…
03-06 04:35:55	will bitcoin dip to 69000 on march 5	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xcd5523…
03-05 13:45:11	nba bkn mia 2026 03 05	Heat	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xf3f9d4…
03-05 13:44:59	nba lal den 2026 03 05	Nuggets	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xf42cb2…
03-05 13:44:53	nba det sas 2026 03 05	Spurs	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x9eb6f0…
03-04 16:17:43	bitcoin above 76k on march 4	No	BUY	402	100¢	$401	0xc11a25…
03-04 16:10:31	nba ind lac 2026 03 04	Clippers	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x499947…
03-04 16:10:17	nba okc nyk 2026 03 04	Thunder	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x701c7e…
03-04 14:44:03	bitcoin above 74k on march 4	No	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0x922bd2…
03-04 14:44:03	bitcoin above 74k on march 4	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x2ab25c…
03-04 14:42:23	bitcoin above 74k on march 4	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x149352…
03-04 14:36:13	bitcoin above 74k on march 4	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x63d4b0…
03-04 14:35:41	bitcoin above 74k on march 4	No	SELL	60	91¢	$54	0x72d894…
03-04 14:35:41	bitcoin above 74k on march 4	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x395fe8…
03-04 14:35:39	bitcoin above 74k on march 4	No	SELL	30	91¢	$27	0xab90f7…
03-04 06:29:03	bitcoin above 74k on march 4	No	BUY	435	99¢	$433	0x1ae232…
03-04 06:26:17	will the price of solana be between 100 110 on march 4	No	BUY	1,254	100¢	$1,253	0x58a20d…
03-04 02:13:03	nba dal cha 2026 03 03	Hornets	BUY	239	100¢	$239	0x2844de…
03-04 02:12:17	nba dal cha 2026 03 03	Hornets	BUY	1,404	100¢	$1,401	0x3c8d1a…
03-03 06:05:49	bitcoin above 74k on march 3	No	BUY	1,090	99¢	$1,085	0xa4bb81…
03-03 06:04:25	nba was orl 2026 03 03	Magic	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x4e535f…
03-03 05:55:45	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 74000 on march 3	No	BUY	206	99¢	$205	0x6c2abf…
03-03 05:55:07	bitcoin above 74k on march 3	No	BUY	300	100¢	$298	0x73b9ba…
03-03 05:52:49	nba nop lal 2026 03 03	Lakers	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xecfb0b…
03-03 05:52:05	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xc7012b…
03-03 05:50:35	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb924fa…
03-03 05:49:25	nba mem min 2026 03 03	Timberwolves	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x07e7c5…
03-03 05:48:57	nba okc chi 2026 03 03	Thunder	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xc35889…
03-03 05:48:35	bitcoin above 74k on march 3	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x365c92…