Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$132

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-09

last 10-15 01:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

78% 53% +$4

Politics

19% 53% -$3

Tech

3% 33% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-09 11:33
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $105 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-14 06:40
will xauusd dip to 4300 by august 10 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-11 23:39
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-08 17:54
will pltr dip to 177 by august 31 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	09-01 01:06
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	09-12 16:39
will abnb dip to 178 by august 17 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$2	08-17 10:58
will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-16 00:41
will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-17 19:35
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-22 03:04
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $191 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	-$2	09-13 22:00
will warsh say good morning during jackson hole speech on august 28	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-21 15:34
Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-09 19:33
next mythos class model released by september 4 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-01 01:05
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-20 22:44
xagusd up or down on august 20 2026	1	$2	2	+2	Up	-$2	08-20 12:44
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	09-23 08:21
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-24 08:01
will nvda reach 220 by september 7 2026	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-10 23:49
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-10 05:30
spy up or down on september 23 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Down	-$2	09-23 00:17
us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-10 21:20
will ewy dip to 173 by september 14 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$2	09-16 22:57
spy closes above 760 on september 17 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-17 07:11
spy closes above 770 on august 18 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-18 11:47
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-13 22:17
Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	09-24 03:09
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-21 07:03
will apple release a foldable iphone by september 15 877 292	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	09-02 20:20
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $165 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	09-10 15:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 01:14:32	will the tesla roadsters 0 60 time be less than 1 second	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x0828b5…
10-14 13:09:51	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xefcdf6…
10-14 04:43:16	spy closes above 775 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd35dee…
10-13 20:32:58	will msft dip to 540 by october 12 2026 from october 13	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x76d090…
10-11 11:39:14	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3bb30a…
10-11 02:54:30	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc94a5e…
10-10 06:24:46	Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q3 net interest income be above $1.1B?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x17309e…
10-09 09:45:09	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x6d0486…
10-09 00:59:50	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $66 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6b5091…
10-08 03:59:34	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2ad222…
10-07 17:18:31	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf85fd1…
10-05 16:13:35	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb22003…
10-05 00:47:55	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9c2d23…
10-02 12:53:48	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x73cb16…
10-02 03:06:02	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xefd7dd…
10-01 16:52:56	will the next claude haiku 4pt6 model be released by october 7 2026	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1e2953…
10-01 08:52:09	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xcea75c…
09-30 23:01:59	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0ca31c…
09-30 12:09:32	spy up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc2d9c9…
09-27 03:14:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x52e776…
09-26 07:29:45	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x02a3c7…
09-25 08:53:54	spy up or down on september 25 2026	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1066d7…
09-24 23:12:42	Trump renames AI by September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x106a6d…
09-24 03:09:37	Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0x330808…
09-23 18:01:02	will ewy reach 188 by september 21 2026 from september 23	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x8ea322…
09-23 09:58:50	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0x132e2d…
09-23 08:21:53	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xfa225f…
09-23 00:17:01	spy up or down on september 23 2026	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x593493…
09-22 03:04:11	Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xf1fc21…
09-21 07:03:26	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x5d0ba9…
09-20 22:44:23	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x2d56cb…
09-19 09:39:07	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x4b037f…
09-17 07:11:19	spy closes above 760 on september 17 2026	No	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xee3535…
09-16 22:57:33	will ewy dip to 173 by september 14 2026	No	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x142c4d…
09-16 00:41:54	will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xe2136d…
09-15 15:37:06	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0xdbc0eb…
09-14 06:40:22	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $105 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xa98e4b…
09-13 22:17:51	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x06601f…
09-13 22:00:39	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $191 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x52f0ff…
09-12 16:39:31	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x577ca2…
09-10 23:49:51	will nvda reach 220 by september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x4e2253…
09-10 15:23:51	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $165 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x968505…
09-10 05:30:36	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xf0f49e…
09-09 19:33:45	Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x644aef…
09-09 11:33:09	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xfd0b8b…
09-08 17:54:39	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	No	BUY	4	36¢	$2	0x9b8b17…
09-07 16:14:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x6c803c…
09-03 14:33:13	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0x10a542…
09-02 20:20:21	will apple release a foldable iphone by september 15 877 292	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xdb577e…
09-02 11:41:39	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 11	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1d57fd…
09-02 11:04:21	spx up or down on september 2 2026	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0x7efcb1…
09-01 17:26:30	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	4	37¢	$2	0x753cf1…
09-01 09:14:43	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0x4eb3b0…
09-01 01:06:48	will pltr dip to 177 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x8ce27e…
09-01 01:05:34	next mythos class model released by september 4 2026	No	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x8a67e9…
08-30 03:46:34	next mythos class model released by september 1 2026	No	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x6aec35…
08-29 18:55:12	will spy reach 770 in august 2026 from august 29	No	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x66bc2b…
08-29 10:36:46	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xea1168…
08-25 01:24:18	GitHub.com critical incident by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x6dfc81…
08-24 16:10:10	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x038d8f…
08-24 08:01:31	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xe2e6a6…
08-23 23:55:34	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x3a0e77…
08-23 05:26:16	will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x3eb650…
08-22 00:55:18	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x4d5a7a…
08-21 15:34:10	will warsh say good morning during jackson hole speech on august 28	No	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x3617e5…
08-21 05:35:43	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	37¢	$2	0xad9de9…
08-20 21:01:45	spx up or down on august 21 2026	Down	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xc9db8a…
08-20 12:44:21	xagusd up or down on august 20 2026	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x2432fd…
08-19 14:13:01	spx up or down on august 19 2026	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x05c935…
08-18 19:49:22	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x80d51c…
08-18 11:47:04	spy closes above 770 on august 18 2026	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0xfbf447…
08-18 03:37:49	will nvda dip to 216 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0x4ffeb0…
08-17 19:35:40	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xf81338…
08-17 10:58:39	will abnb dip to 178 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xfe4e31…
08-17 02:49:03	will rklb dip to 76 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x405645…
08-16 07:45:12	hd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 18 2026 4pt73	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xc13726…
08-14 17:31:07	will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x555268…
08-14 08:56:48	will trump say maga or make america great again during remarks in new york 20260811183234692	No	BUY	4	36¢	$2	0xca6b0c…
08-14 00:27:30	spx up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x645f0e…
08-13 16:24:30	will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x071387…
08-13 07:44:01	spy up or down on august 13 2026	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xbbab6f…
08-12 23:43:27	will mu reach 960 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xc63cbb…
08-12 15:41:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x13f7a1…
08-12 07:39:57	will trump say zohran or mamdani during remarks in new york 20260811183234694	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x5ee97b…
08-11 23:39:27	will xauusd dip to 4300 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xee23b5…
08-11 13:28:36	spx up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xd6740f…
08-11 05:22:01	will tsla reach 337 50 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x816697…
08-10 21:20:42	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x1b4102…
08-10 13:19:52	will mu reach 930 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0x241fd0…
08-10 05:17:27	will pltr dip to 165 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	3	46¢	$2	0x20fca2…
08-09 21:16:54	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xfe6621…
08-09 11:16:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0x6954f3…