Identical-Transition 0x8bc054…df47e5
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Realized P&L (7d)
-$429
Unrealized P&L
+$58
Hit rate
48.7%
Resolved (7d)
9
Trades (7d)
25
425 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$488
$6.93K lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$440
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 10-26 20:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 67 days
Categories
Sports
58% 48% +$379
Other
21% 35% -$464
Politics
21% 59% -$112
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +185 $162 100¢ $185 +$23 08-21 01:11
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +270 $77 44¢ $117 +$40 10-25 18:02
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No +30 $28 97¢ $29 +$1 09-24 20:25
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +30 $25 84¢ $25 $0 09-17 03:34
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No +20 $18 97¢ $19 +$1 08-22 03:58
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +260 $18 7¢ $18 +$0 10-07 11:38
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +18 $14 84¢ $15 +$1 05-03 14:14
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +85 $21 16¢ $14 -$7 09-18 13:12
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 +$0 08-07 01:07
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +49 $5 9¢ $4 -$1 05-03 14:13
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +10 $4 32¢ $3 $0 10-04 06:46