Somber-Otter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.3%

Resolved

114

Trades

259

lifetime

Volume

$1.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 08-31 02:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

95% 58% -$20

Politics

5% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$1	05-19 15:54
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	2	$27	14	14	+0	No	+$0	05-30 15:54
Will MrBeast's next video get between 51.5 and 52 million views on day 5?	2	$27	14	14	+0	No	+$1	06-18 12:11
Will Huh Tae-jung win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?	2	$25	13	13	+0	Yes	+$1	06-04 01:32
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?	2	$25	13	13	+0	Yes	+$1	05-31 08:52
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	06-29 02:49
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	1	$22	22	0	+22	Yes	+$0	06-21 05:35
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-25 12:56
Will Joe Reagan be the Democratic nominee for CO-05?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-01 01:49
Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 19:38
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 29?	2	$19	38	0	+38	No	$0	05-29 09:17
Will gas hit $3.25 (Low) by August 31?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	08-31 02:34
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on May 10?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-09 16:21
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 11?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-11 07:41
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 8?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-08 00:00
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C or higher on May 16?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-16 02:25
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-07 05:02
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 9?	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-09 05:12
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-07 05:28
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 27?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-26 16:33
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 8?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-07 12:48
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-07 06:00
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 13?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-12 16:41
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 14?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-14 03:14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 23?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-23 07:25
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 16?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-16 07:00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 1?	4	$14	28	0	+28	No	$0	05-31 23:09
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 28?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	$0	05-27 16:59
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on June 11?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	06-10 14:18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 12?	4	$14	28	0	+28	No	$0	05-12 09:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 02:34:15	Will gas hit $3.25 (Low) by August 31?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xaf1ce3…
07-28 06:16:19	will hyperliquid reach 88 in july	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe7929c…
07-01 01:49:22	Will Joe Reagan be the Democratic nominee for CO-05?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x24fe7c…
06-30 05:28:43	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xf706d3…
06-30 05:11:52	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x904b4d…
06-30 05:09:22	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x15f0e3…
06-29 19:38:37	Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x24b6f6…
06-29 12:03:44	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 30?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x4c76a7…
06-29 02:49:02	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa06c19…
06-29 00:04:38	Will Joe Reagan be the Democratic nominee for CO-05?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x073bf1…
06-28 12:00:31	Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x44cb49…
06-28 06:35:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xe10006…
06-27 19:20:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 28?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x32bf99…
06-26 16:33:47	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x989f18…
06-26 13:54:58	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 27?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x5d7541…
06-25 12:56:28	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x14b5b2…
06-25 09:32:41	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xd3bedb…
06-25 09:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 25?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x24130a…
06-25 07:09:17	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x216289…
06-25 06:46:41	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x5b9bf1…
06-24 12:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on June 25?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xac56f5…
06-23 07:25:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xe31bb0…
06-23 07:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 23?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe6b9b7…
06-22 11:48:50	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 22?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xf816ec…
06-22 04:10:32	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 22?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x6a6427…
06-21 05:35:47	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x6c6d43…
06-20 19:04:02	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on June 21?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x44dd2a…
06-20 18:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on June 21?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf6ac23…
06-20 05:17:11	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x9c9fad…
06-20 03:50:50	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 20?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc40050…
06-18 12:11:55	Will MrBeast's next video get between 51.5 and 52 million views on day 5?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xe6968c…
06-18 06:47:23	Will MrBeast's next video get between 51.5 and 52 million views on day 5?	No	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x7d14d0…
06-16 07:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 16?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x96c19f…
06-16 06:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 16?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x5343e7…
06-16 06:23:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 16?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xdc5016…
06-15 05:38:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x847e9f…
06-15 05:37:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 15?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x1f6de2…
06-14 03:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xe7e4df…
06-14 01:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 14?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3092c2…
06-13 08:49:10	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x56dc16…
06-13 08:43:13	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on June 13?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xec16b0…
06-12 13:44:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x787706…
06-12 12:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 13?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3b60ec…
06-11 18:21:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x685017…
06-11 13:15:51	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 12?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x543157…
06-10 14:18:43	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on June 11?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xf29743…
06-10 14:10:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on June 11?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x7d7649…
06-09 03:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x9525a0…
06-09 03:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x6935da…
06-08 18:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 9?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xe5299b…
06-08 00:00:25	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x13105a…
06-07 20:59:12	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 8?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3bda86…
06-07 06:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 7?	No	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x2dc8c8…
06-07 05:59:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x3bbb57…
06-06 15:37:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x2b51c9…
06-06 15:34:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x1670c3…
06-06 12:55:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 7?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x23090d…
06-06 07:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x310c67…
06-06 01:52:07	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 6?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf38edc…
06-05 08:35:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xbe63d5…
06-05 08:31:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 5?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xaade42…
06-04 15:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xe946aa…
06-04 14:54:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x73e59c…
06-04 12:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on June 5?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x1ed454…
06-04 01:32:13	Will Huh Tae-jung win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x97a240…
06-03 06:45:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x72969c…
06-03 06:43:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 3?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xaefbc4…
06-02 12:51:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xf82db8…
06-02 12:04:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 3?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xc4afc3…
06-02 00:29:59	Will Huh Tae-jung win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0x9ca862…
06-01 12:16:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xda650d…
06-01 12:15:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 2?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x49da02…
05-31 23:09:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x1babd9…
05-31 23:09:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xdff8f1…
05-31 23:08:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x9b1327…
05-31 22:28:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 1?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xd9bf3e…
05-31 13:28:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x50f217…
05-31 12:27:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xd3e504…
05-31 12:06:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xff72b9…
05-31 12:06:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x12c899…
05-31 12:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 1?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x718bb6…
05-31 08:52:36	Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xa00420…
05-31 07:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xd03473…
05-31 05:46:44	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x086798…
05-30 18:17:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 31?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x280383…
05-30 15:54:33	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x39a4b6…
05-30 07:25:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xceced5…
05-30 07:16:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 30?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x201233…
05-29 09:17:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x11b062…
05-29 08:57:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 29?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x3e7969…
05-29 00:04:52	Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?	Yes	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x43f358…
05-28 17:27:31	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x73c345…
05-28 13:03:36	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on May 29?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x638402…
05-28 06:16:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xe2f29a…
05-28 06:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 28?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x34d509…
05-27 16:59:09	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x35083d…
05-27 12:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 28?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xf5e8d4…
05-27 05:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x39bd57…
05-27 03:50:26	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C or below on May 27?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x3e0b7f…
05-27 02:58:26	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C or below on May 27?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xa172f3…