Wide-Eyed-Dependent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

6.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$93

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 05-14 07:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 20% +$12

Other

13% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 15?	Yes	-25	$-1	2¢	$-1	+$0	05-14 05:01
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	+216	$2	0¢	$0	$-2	05-13 09:25
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 14?	Yes	+172	$5	0¢	$0	$-5	05-13 09:24
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 14?	Yes	+42	$5	0¢	$0	$-5	05-13 09:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 07:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xea45b3…
05-14 06:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xc970e8…
05-14 05:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x06b043…
05-14 05:01:05	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$1	0x51feae…
05-14 05:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x22f83d…
05-13 09:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	216	1¢	$2	0x5f0910…
05-13 09:24:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	172	3¢	$5	0xbc02ab…
05-13 09:24:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x1f8291…
05-13 09:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x174bc1…
05-13 08:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x4abe42…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	6	$2.36K	62	05-14 07:13
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	5	$1.01K	14	05-14 07:14
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	3	$836	22	05-14 07:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$45	0	45	-45	Down	$-0	05-14 05:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$16	0	16	-16	Up	$-0	05-14 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$5	125	0	+125	open	—	05-14 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	$-5	05-13 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 14?	1	$5	42	0	+42	open	—	05-13 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$5	42	0	+42	Down	$-5	05-13 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$5	28	0	+28	Down	+$23	05-14 06:07
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 14?	1	$5	172	0	+172	open	—	05-13 09:24
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on May 14?	1	$2	216	0	+216	open	—	05-13 09:25
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 15?	1	$1	0	25	-25	open	—	05-14 05:01