Measly-Toothbrush 0x8c948f…462e06
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Realized P&L
+$119
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
80.7%
Resolved
11
Trades
2,019
lifetime
Volume
$24.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$38
7 positions
First seen
2026-04-27
last 07-23 12:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
79% 62% +$116
Other
20% 0% $-2
Sports
1% 100% +$4
Crypto
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +100 $-0 16¢ $16 +$16 07-23 13:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +15 $13 70¢ $10 $-3 06-14 23:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $17 36¢ $9 $-8 06-05 15:11
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +6 $1 22¢ $1 +$0 07-13 11:39
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes -6 $-2 17¢ $-1 +$1 05-31 14:37
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -3 $-0 14¢ $-0 $-0 06-04 20:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +27 $18 1¢ $0 $-17 07-05 11:07