Realized P&L
+$119
Unrealized P&L
+$14
Hit rate
80.7%
Resolved
11
Trades
1,239
lifetime
Volume
$13.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$96
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-27
last 07-01 21:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
80% 62% +$116
Other
19% 0% $-2
Sports
1% 100% +$4
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +42 $34 100¢ $42 +$8 06-28 05:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +62 $23 29¢ $18 $-5 07-01 20:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +15 $13 86¢ $13 $-1 06-14 23:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $17 42¢ $11 $-6 06-05 15:11
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No -10 $-8 97¢ $-10 $-1 06-30 16:23
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes -45 $-23 $-1 +$22 06-28 07:24
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes -6 $-2 23¢ $-1 +$0 05-31 14:37
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -3 $-0 18¢ $-1 $-0 06-04 20:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -38 $3 $-0 $-3 06-18 02:28