Realized P&L
+$119
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
80.7%
Resolved
11
Trades
505
lifetime
Volume
$3.39K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$54
10 positions
First seen
2026-04-27
last 06-10 00:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
74% 62% +$116
Other
22% 0% $-2
Sports
3% 100% +$4
Crypto
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +28 $16 76¢ $21 +$5 06-01 17:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $17 46¢ $11 $-5 06-05 15:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +8 $6 94¢ $7 +$1 06-07 20:03
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +20 $4 24¢ $5 +$1 06-09 20:09
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes -8 $-5 36¢ $-3 +$2 05-30 18:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +19 $4 10¢ $2 $-2 06-03 20:46
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes -6 $-2 28¢ $-2 +$0 05-31 14:37
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -3 $-0 38¢ $-1 $-1 06-04 20:21
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -10 $-1 10¢ $-1 $-0 06-03 17:31
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Yes -10 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-01 02:51