Alienated-Antigen-Alteration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.5%

Resolved

Trades

194

lifetime

Volume

$735

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-29

last 07-24 23:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 39% -$13

Sports

18% 37% -$16

Other

15% 19% +$7

Politics

4% 20% +$3

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-24).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	3	$64	55	55	+0	Up	+$44	05-29 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$51	40	40	+0	Up	+$1	05-29 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	4	$34	22	22	+0	Up	+$4	05-29 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	16	$34	39	39	+0	Down	+$2	05-31 01:55
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$33	92	92	+0	No	+$17	06-27 19:43
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	3	$25	40	10	+30	Ciryl Gane	-$15	06-07 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	3	$19	16	9	+8	Up	-$1	06-02 19:49
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 3 2026	2	$18	102	102	+0	Yes	+$8	06-03 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	3	$15	1,500	0	+1,500	Down	-$15	05-29 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	5	$15	43	43	+0	Down	-$3	05-30 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	4	$15	116	9	+107	Up	-$7	06-02 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	6	$14	41	8	+33	Up	+$2	05-31 01:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Down	+$3	05-30 19:44
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	1	$13	23	0	+23	Yes	+$10	06-24 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	4	$12	19	5	+15	Up	-$5	05-31 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$12	23	6	+17	Up	$0	06-02 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	4	$11	14	14	+0	Down	-$1	05-31 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-29 10:35
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$11	27	0	+27	Spain	-$11	07-18 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	3	$11	10	6	+4	Up	-$1	06-02 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-30 17:25
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?	1	$10	40	0	+40	Yes	+$30	06-25 21:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Down	-$10	05-29 12:11
ufc bry1 san6 2026 06 06	2	$10	21	0	+21	Bryce Mitchell	-$10	06-07 00:16
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	2	$10	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	05-29 10:54
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	2	$9	127	127	+0	Yes	-$1	06-06 23:54
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$9	12	12	+0	Yes	+$5	07-18 23:02
ufc bel gab3 2026 06 06	3	$9	16	6	+10	Gabriel Bonfim	+$2	06-07 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$8	160	0	+160	Down	-$8	05-30 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$8	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-30 20:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 23:06:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0xdcfaa3…
07-24 23:06:07	SBF released from custody in 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	5¢	$2	0x7a95d5…
07-24 23:06:00	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0xc57ff5…
07-18 23:03:49	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	27	40¢	$11	0x594264…
07-18 23:02:57	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0x1ade94…
07-18 23:02:52	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	12	59¢	$7	0x85376d…
06-27 19:43:26	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x8d88ea…
06-25 21:46:50	Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x1fb3f0…
06-25 21:45:56	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0xf49060…
06-25 11:43:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x16dc2a…
06-24 22:15:59	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0xf4c624…
06-24 16:33:38	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xdefc11…
06-24 16:26:19	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xa4f2de…
06-24 13:37:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x624141…
06-17 21:13:19	Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xdf1b74…
06-17 21:07:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x12b5e0…
06-17 21:07:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x9fe4db…
06-17 21:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2c0a20…
06-17 21:01:52	Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x1c4a39…
06-17 21:01:10	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x51899f…
06-17 21:00:10	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xe4a3f5…
06-17 12:57:58	DR Congo to score first vs. Portugal?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xb802e9…
06-17 12:45:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x52a185…
06-17 12:42:34	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xfaaed2…
06-17 12:40:10	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x624b7d…
06-17 12:39:40	Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x0d61ea…
06-17 12:38:37	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	71	24¢	$17	0xd7c4fd…
06-14 01:13:30	Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xa903a8…
06-13 01:10:46	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb33897…
06-10 16:45:42	Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xc9c4d4…
06-10 16:42:57	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	71	4¢	$3	0x10851f…
06-10 16:42:06	Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xfe9371…
06-10 16:27:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 16:25 UTC	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xb15808…
06-10 16:27:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 16:25 UTC	Down	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0xe37c32…
06-10 16:27:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x1d8c0d…
06-10 16:27:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x2a3e0b…
06-10 16:20:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4465b3…
06-10 16:19:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5c42bb…
06-10 16:18:39	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	Derrick Lewis	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x514405…
06-10 16:17:57	will trump say nuke this week 20260605142537480	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa4a540…
06-10 16:15:15	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xd66a4b…
06-08 20:41:37	SBF released from custody in 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x752c99…
06-08 20:33:30	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	SELL	18	19¢	$3	0x4e5dc6…
06-07 18:27:57	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xb74347…
06-07 13:04:06	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x56b100…
06-07 02:44:25	ufc bel gab3 2026 06 06	Belal Muhammad	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x557a89…
06-07 00:17:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x851581…
06-07 00:16:00	ufc bry1 san6 2026 06 06	Santiago Luna	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x73d7bc…
06-07 00:15:36	ufc jun4 iwo 2026 06 06	Junior Tafa	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xbf7079…
06-07 00:15:18	ufc far tom14 2026 06 06	Farés Ziam	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xaa041c…
06-07 00:13:42	ufc bry1 san6 2026 06 06	Santiago Luna	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x7ab082…
06-07 00:10:43	ufc bel gab3 2026 06 06	Gabriel Bonfim	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5f533d…
06-07 00:06:21	ufc bel gab3 2026 06 06	Belal Muhammad	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x048ec3…
06-07 00:04:24	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6c42fc…
06-07 00:02:48	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xd3fc32…
06-07 00:02:10	Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	197	1¢	$1	0xca65df…
06-07 00:00:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xd30b2b…
06-06 23:57:19	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x3f45dc…
06-06 23:56:36	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score below 1480	No	BUY	66	2¢	$1	0xb3ce81…
06-06 23:55:13	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	46	4¢	$2	0x8abc54…
06-06 23:54:42	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	No	SELL	127	3¢	$4	0xf7167a…
06-03 22:40:40	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xf1e4f0…
06-03 22:38:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 22:35 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x51e184…
06-03 22:37:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xfb1e09…
06-03 22:36:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x5d60f1…
06-03 22:34:16	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	No	BUY	127	4¢	$5	0x5fc98c…
06-03 22:33:00	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0x950844…
06-03 19:41:45	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 3 2026	No	SELL	102	12¢	$13	0xe1d220…
06-02 20:15:36	will starmer say european union during the next prime ministers questions event 20260602155554504	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xe008c3…
06-02 20:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xa972e5…
06-02 20:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x3bc71f…
06-02 20:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9660dd…
06-02 20:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xfd8caf…
06-02 20:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x462ab4…
06-02 20:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x43bc71…
06-02 19:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf9c1f7…
06-02 19:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0x18ca73…
06-02 19:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x00a8bc…
06-02 19:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x546355…
06-02 19:56:53	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0xf8bcbd…
06-02 19:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x87e70b…
06-02 19:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0e03fe…
06-02 19:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x66ad01…
06-02 19:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xde0ddd…
06-02 19:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xeba70a…
06-02 19:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x382ef7…
06-02 19:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x196ff8…
06-02 19:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6cbbd2…
06-02 19:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5d157c…
05-31 02:44:02	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x105cc5…
05-31 02:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xdeb122…
05-31 02:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xde9ae9…
05-31 02:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xdfb3f9…
05-31 02:33:46	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0x8a2b86…
05-31 02:33:07	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x3d846c…
05-31 02:32:58	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x4d89bf…
05-31 02:31:19	Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x5278e8…
05-31 02:28:36	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x609bdd…
05-31 02:27:26	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x082ba1…
05-31 02:26:28	UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)	Conor McGregor	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x2a4829…