Grumpy-Band — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

47.9%

Resolved

Trades

8,270

lifetime

Volume

$81.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-27

last 06-19 19:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 48% $-21

Other

14% — —

Sports

8% — —

Politics

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes		-96	$-14	10¢	$-9	+$5	05-28 04:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ufc cod1 xia 2026 03 07	66	$2.0K	1,666	1,666	+0	open	—	03-08 03:41
bun bay moe 2026 03 06 bay	71	$936	2,677	2,220	+457	open	—	03-06 19:03
cs2 tl1 gg5 2026 03 02	16	$657	601	498	+103	open	—	03-02 21:46
cs2 pssnua fut 2026 03 02	10	$527	626	539	+88	open	—	03-02 19:24
btc updown 5m 1773336600	5	$430	350	186	+164	open	—	03-12 17:34
nba den uta 2026 03 02	3	$407	259	259	+0	open	—	03-03 04:50
sol updown 5m 1772514600	2	$406	210	210	+0	open	—	03-03 05:15
eth updown 5m 1772514300	2	$385	200	199	+0	open	—	03-03 05:10
cs2 furia b8 2026 03 06	34	$376	359	359	+0	open	—	03-06 23:55
eth updown 5m 1772514000	2	$374	189	189	+0	open	—	03-03 05:05
xrp updown 5m 1772513700	2	$361	189	188	+0	open	—	03-03 05:00
btc updown 5m 1773274200	2	$347	391	0	+391	open	—	03-12 00:14
eth updown 15m 1773273600	2	$347	361	0	+361	open	—	03-12 00:14
xrp updown 15m 1773273600	2	$347	353	0	+353	open	—	03-12 00:14
eth updown 5m 1773273600	2	$322	371	0	+371	open	—	03-12 00:04
btc updown 15m 1773272700	2	$311	317	0	+317	open	—	03-11 23:59
ufc ric12 alb10 2026 03 07	58	$287	541	541	+0	open	—	03-08 00:45
xrp updown 5m 1772511300	2	$268	137	137	+0	open	—	03-03 04:20
btc updown 5m 1772511000	2	$264	133	133	+0	open	—	03-03 04:16
sol updown 5m 1772510700	2	$260	132	132	+0	open	—	03-03 04:11
solana up or down march 2 10pm et	2	$245	130	130	+0	open	—	03-03 04:00
cs2 pcy fa 2026 03 02 game2	9	$234	213	175	+38	open	—	03-02 23:58
btc updown 5m 1773722400	4	$233	274	0	+274	open	—	03-17 04:45
xrp updown 15m 1772508600	2	$226	117	117	+0	open	—	03-03 03:46
eth updown 5m 1773273300	2	$218	239	0	+239	open	—	03-11 23:59
sol updown 5m 1772508900	2	$214	110	110	+0	open	—	03-03 03:40
btc updown 5m 1773755700	43	$213	249	175	+75	open	—	03-17 13:56
btc updown 5m 1772508600	2	$209	106	106	+0	open	—	03-03 03:35
ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	75	$187	203	196	+6	open	—	03-08 04:44
btc updown 15m 1773278100	1	$185	208	0	+208	open	—	03-12 01:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 19:09:13	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 team total home 3pt5	Over	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x1ebc3a…
06-19 19:08:44	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 btts	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x61c748…
06-10 08:50:46	btc updown 5m 1781081400	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x1dca94…
06-02 09:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xaf0ef5…
06-02 09:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0x5ee834…
06-02 08:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xd6501f…
05-28 10:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x737d86…
05-28 10:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0xcd1ac5…
05-28 10:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x6639c9…
05-28 04:36:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	96	15¢	$14	0xc16713…
05-24 14:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xda30fe…
05-24 14:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xb29977…
05-24 14:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x79afbe…
05-24 14:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x689f4b…
05-24 11:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x1d7db4…
05-23 13:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xf9d802…
05-23 09:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2ef767…
05-23 09:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xc74ce7…
05-23 08:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xeb0c59…
05-23 08:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xe68638…
05-23 08:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x4505ab…
05-23 08:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa2e14f…
05-23 08:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x07eeef…
05-23 08:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x004e30…
05-22 14:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x30fd57…
05-22 14:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfa7580…
05-22 14:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe49bb8…
05-22 14:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0xdc4861…
05-22 14:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xc876ee…
05-22 14:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0xc03150…
05-22 14:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xa6eebe…
05-22 14:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x596fab…
05-22 14:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1bede5…
05-22 14:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x03f859…
05-22 14:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x009231…
05-22 12:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xb406e4…
05-22 12:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x07b289…
05-21 17:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	55¢	$0	0xe8ae32…
05-21 17:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xf9795d…
05-21 17:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xf8e09e…
05-21 17:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xda8888…
05-21 17:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xd7281d…
05-21 17:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5892b9…
05-21 17:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x48011e…
05-21 17:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x1d70b3…
05-21 17:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x97410c…
05-21 17:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	58	12¢	$7	0x305fb3…
05-21 17:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	71	22¢	$16	0x05fe5a…
05-21 00:06:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3,846	1¢	$38	0xc7bb05…
05-21 00:03:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3,846	1¢	$50	0xda2c0f…
05-20 16:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0xc0bb7a…
05-20 16:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0x334993…
05-20 08:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xbdb5cf…
05-19 08:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0x00b5cd…
05-18 12:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x18fe46…
05-18 12:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x8d45f4…
05-18 12:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x8c8f25…
05-18 12:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x6c66c4…
05-15 14:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x6218cf…
05-15 14:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x5bb53a…
05-15 13:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x1b7fbf…
05-15 13:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x5c77c9…
05-14 16:16:59	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	66	18¢	$12	0x59653c…
05-14 15:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	28¢	$3	0xb8b91b…
05-14 15:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x00089e…
05-14 14:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x36d087…
05-14 14:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf797c7…
05-14 14:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbce31a…
05-14 14:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0xa5a5e5…
05-14 14:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x495717…
05-14 14:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x698b69…
05-13 16:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x44c3d5…
05-13 15:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xf3c905…
05-13 13:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$5	0x1fb412…
05-13 12:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x3f44e7…
05-13 11:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xf6be64…
05-13 11:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x020a42…
05-12 13:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0x68f37c…
05-12 09:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x428f94…
05-12 01:52:57	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x192133…
05-11 17:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x79919f…
05-11 17:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x32016e…
05-11 16:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0x75dc07…
05-11 16:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0xa07d46…
05-11 16:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0x43f2ba…
05-11 13:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xaf6d67…
05-11 13:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x5fbfcf…
05-11 13:13:34	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0xf262b9…
05-11 13:13:04	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	22	79¢	$18	0x149812…
05-11 12:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8e34e5…
05-11 12:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe3853c…
05-11 11:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x019cab…
05-11 11:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x869f5f…
05-11 10:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf07388…
05-11 10:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1468be…
05-10 20:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0x843fc2…
05-10 20:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x4e6bf9…
05-10 17:29:20	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	Yes	SELL	18	54¢	$10	0x397475…
05-10 15:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd637de…
05-10 15:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x371746…