Green-Introduction 0x8d6483…685deb Create alert
5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$13
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
96.5%
Resolved
12
Trades
28
lifetime
Volume
$319
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$154
13 positions
First seen
2026-05-18
last 10-12 14:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
53% 100% +$13
Other
39% 100% +$3
Crypto
6% 100% +$2
Tech
2% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027? Yes +54 $35 56¢ $30 -$5 10-05 16:29
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +22 $20 97¢ $21 +$1 09-29 13:54
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +21 $15 92¢ $19 +$4 05-19 10:18
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +16 $15 94¢ $15 $0 10-05 17:05
New pandemic in 2026? No +14 $13 98¢ $14 +$1 10-05 16:45
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 96¢ $11 +$1 10-05 16:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +11 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 10-04 18:21
Trump out as President before 2027? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 10-05 16:43
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +7 $5 99¢ $7 +$2 10-05 16:33
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-05 16:31
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 10-03 18:29
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 $0 10-04 18:14
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? Yes +33 $8 6¢ $2 -$6 10-05 17:08