Rotten-Reasoning — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 07-01 00:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

75% 50% $-4

Crypto

25% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc che can 2026 06 24 btts	3	$220	400	0	+400	open	—	06-24 07:43
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 btts	1	$200	345	0	+345	open	—	06-26 18:46
fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 first half total 0pt5	1	$150	341	0	+341	open	—	06-23 03:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	4	$55	40	40	+0	open	—	05-23 18:05
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 first half total 1pt5	1	$50	89	0	+89	open	—	06-15 12:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	4	$40	43	0	+43	open	—	05-16 05:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	8	$40	41	0	+41	open	—	05-16 05:34
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 first half total 1pt5	1	$40	62	0	+62	open	—	06-14 12:33
btc updown 15m 1781329500	7	$35	50	50	+0	open	—	06-13 05:59
fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 btts	1	$30	71	0	+71	open	—	06-14 18:02
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	1	$29	100	0	+100	open	—	06-29 17:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$25	21	21	+0	open	—	05-23 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	3	$15	28	0	+28	open	—	05-16 06:47
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	2	$11	12	0	+12	Up	+$1	05-11 16:48
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 1pt5	1	$10	45	0	+45	open	—	06-29 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$10	33	0	+33	open	—	05-23 17:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	2	$10	32	0	+32	open	—	05-16 05:23
btc updown 5m 1781331900	3	$10	50	0	+50	open	—	06-13 06:27
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	2	$10	12	12	+0	open	—	05-16 05:33
btc updown 5m 1781340000	1	$9	22	0	+22	open	—	06-13 08:44
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	1	$8	21	0	+21	open	—	07-01 00:19
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 on May 15?	1	$8	11	0	+11	open	—	05-15 16:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$5	25	0	+25	open	—	05-23 18:11
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals erling haaland gte1	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	06-30 09:22
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$5	17	0	+17	open	—	06-02 15:06
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals kylian mbappe gte2	1	$5	24	0	+24	open	—	06-26 18:54
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals erling haaland gte1	1	$5	38	0	+38	open	—	06-26 19:38
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 12?	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	$-5	05-12 17:50
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	1	$4	13	0	+13	open	—	06-02 15:10
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	06-30 02:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 00:19:19	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Ecuador	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0x729234…
06-30 09:22:14	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x0cc7ca…
06-30 02:56:13	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xdb07d5…
06-29 17:49:34	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x629160…
06-29 17:17:19	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Japan	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x2244fd…
06-26 19:38:13	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xc01ef0…
06-26 18:54:43	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x4c4f2d…
06-26 18:46:35	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	BUY	345	58¢	$200	0xa90029…
06-24 07:43:02	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 btts	Yes	BUY	332	55¢	$182	0x406878…
06-24 07:41:10	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 btts	Yes	BUY	28	55¢	$15	0xebb59b…
06-24 07:37:55	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 btts	Yes	BUY	41	55¢	$22	0xc5e26f…
06-23 03:17:22	fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 first half total 0pt5	Under	BUY	341	44¢	$150	0x188118…
06-15 12:36:43	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x7ac683…
06-14 18:02:03	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 btts	Yes	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0x7731df…
06-14 12:33:27	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0xb645a4…
06-13 08:44:00	btc updown 5m 1781340000	Down	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0xf60c91…
06-13 06:27:00	btc updown 5m 1781331900	Down	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0xfa20f4…
06-13 06:27:00	btc updown 5m 1781331900	Down	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0xd37061…
06-13 06:27:00	btc updown 5m 1781331900	Down	BUY	18	20¢	$4	0x640507…
06-13 05:59:54	btc updown 15m 1781329500	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xc9991f…
06-13 05:59:52	btc updown 15m 1781329500	Up	SELL	9	50¢	$5	0xfbb717…
06-13 05:59:52	btc updown 15m 1781329500	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xad38f3…
06-13 05:59:52	btc updown 15m 1781329500	Up	SELL	17	50¢	$8	0xa21eab…
06-13 05:59:52	btc updown 15m 1781329500	Up	SELL	17	50¢	$9	0x68bae8…
06-13 05:51:55	btc updown 15m 1781329500	Up	BUY	27	20¢	$5	0xa65209…
06-13 05:51:55	btc updown 15m 1781329500	Up	BUY	23	20¢	$5	0x5c8151…
06-02 15:10:47	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0xe48e18…
06-02 15:06:21	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x27b77a…
05-23 18:11:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x390307…
05-23 18:05:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x18d793…
05-23 18:02:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xcad27c…
05-23 18:02:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x10dcbb…
05-23 18:02:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xe491e5…
05-23 18:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x89520f…
05-23 17:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x683c2c…
05-23 17:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x9d7836…
05-23 17:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2a7f81…
05-16 06:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x8a2079…
05-16 06:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xe94890…
05-16 06:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xdf7633…
05-16 05:39:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xd088af…
05-16 05:37:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x38513b…
05-16 05:37:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x285529…
05-16 05:37:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xb1d0d6…
05-16 05:34:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x949aff…
05-16 05:34:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x606005…
05-16 05:34:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x422e7e…
05-16 05:34:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0b1da6…
05-16 05:34:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfe3805…
05-16 05:34:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6c4070…
05-16 05:34:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x34da74…
05-16 05:34:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x331a0a…
05-16 05:33:27	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	No	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0x3c29e3…
05-16 05:23:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xbd6228…
05-16 05:23:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xafd5da…
05-15 16:50:38	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 on May 15?	No	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x7999cb…
05-15 16:47:11	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	No	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x56a979…
05-12 17:50:19	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xe2cf14…
05-11 16:48:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xee2220…
05-11 16:47:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x386c48…