Able-Cellar — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$26

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

62.8%

Resolved (7d)

219

Trades (7d)

300

18,331 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$450

$2.96M lifetime

Avg / trade

$161

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-10

last 10-30 11:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 110 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 76% +$69,707

Other

0% 0% -$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	—	+2	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	10-30 12:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 13:30 UTC	6	$9.9K	7,160	7,049	+111	Up	+$3,158	03-11 13:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 03:05 UTC	8	$7.8K	7,843	0	+7,843	Up	+$78	03-11 03:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 02:55 UTC	2	$6.9K	7,000	0	+7,000	Up	+$130	03-06 03:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 16:10 UTC	3	$6.7K	7,010	0	+7,010	Down	+$350	03-08 16:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 11:00 UTC	9	$6.0K	6,060	0	+6,060	Up	+$61	03-11 11:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 01:40 UTC	2	$6.0K	6,050	0	+6,050	Down	+$60	03-17 01:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 20:50 UTC	10	$6.0K	6,050	0	+6,050	Down	+$74	03-13 20:55
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 02:00 UTC	5	$5.7K	5,918	0	+5,918	Down	+$224	03-11 02:05
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 03:50 UTC	4	$5.5K	5,605	0	+5,605	Up	+$106	03-11 03:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 21:55 UTC	3	$5.4K	5,500	0	+5,500	Down	+$78	03-10 22:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 05:45 UTC	6	$5.4K	5,406	0	+5,406	Up	+$54	03-11 05:50
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 16:15 UTC	45	$5.3K	5,553	0	+5,553	Up	-$55	03-23 16:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 10:50 UTC	3	$5.3K	6,137	0	+6,137	Up	+$860	03-11 10:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 00:30 UTC	4	$5.2K	5,270	0	+5,270	Down	+$53	03-05 00:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 15:25 UTC	15	$5.1K	5,185	0	+5,185	Down	+$52	03-14 15:30
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 00:55 UTC	4	$5.1K	5,183	0	+5,183	Down	+$64	03-16 01:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 07:20 UTC	2	$5.1K	5,167	0	+5,167	Down	+$52	03-11 07:25
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 02:50 UTC	4	$5.1K	5,307	0	+5,307	Up	+$50	03-17 02:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 02:00 UTC	6	$5.1K	5,165	0	+5,165	Down	+$74	03-11 02:05
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 07:30 UTC	17	$5.0K	5,206	0	+5,206	Down	+$18	03-17 07:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 00:10 UTC	6	$5.0K	5,076	0	+5,076	Down	+$51	03-12 00:15
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 05:05 UTC	11	$5.0K	5,250	0	+5,250	Down	+$31	03-12 05:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 07:35 UTC	8	$5.0K	5,206	0	+5,206	Up	+$36	03-17 07:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 02:25 UTC	15	$5.0K	5,206	0	+5,206	Up	-$4,845	03-17 02:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 13:45 UTC	16	$5.0K	5,050	0	+5,050	Up	+$50	03-16 14:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 19:15 UTC	18	$5.0K	5,050	0	+5,050	Down	+$50	03-13 19:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 20:35 UTC	1	$5.0K	5,050	0	+5,050	Down	+$50	03-12 20:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 08:45 UTC	6	$5.0K	5,050	0	+5,050	Down	+$51	03-14 08:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 02:00 UTC	3	$5.0K	5,050	0	+5,050	Up	+$50	03-12 02:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 09:15 UTC	1	$5.0K	5,050	0	+5,050	Down	+$50	03-14 09:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 12:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x263e3e…
10-30 12:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0xf8e18f…
10-30 11:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xf99ac3…
10-30 09:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x163832…
10-30 09:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x9d95dc…
10-30 09:03:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x99b076…
10-30 08:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x7c317f…
10-30 08:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x4bdb19…
10-30 08:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x345b27…
10-30 08:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x4123c6…
10-30 07:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xbda6d2…
10-30 07:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xdc0529…
10-30 07:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x91f71f…
10-30 07:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x9e23fb…
10-30 07:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x6093a1…
10-30 07:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x73aac7…
10-30 07:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x145026…
10-30 07:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x46882e…
10-30 07:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xf2c7bf…
10-30 07:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xfd9ef1…
10-30 05:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x93d7f6…
10-30 05:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x9d6d59…
10-30 05:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x706e2d…
10-30 05:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x40454e…
10-30 04:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x04fbb6…
10-30 04:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xbde7eb…
10-30 04:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x4b053c…
10-30 04:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0x7f307f…
10-30 04:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x5e53cb…
10-30 03:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x199c01…
10-30 03:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x208cf1…
10-30 03:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x8e19aa…
10-30 03:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x15c64d…
10-30 02:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0x917122…
10-30 01:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x7b01e9…
10-30 01:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x8dc945…
10-30 01:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xcf8997…
10-30 01:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0xb2a5bd…
10-30 01:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x4e3b01…
10-30 01:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x4508de…
10-30 01:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x31eb1c…
10-30 01:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xe0d4cc…
10-30 01:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x5b8722…
10-30 00:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0xefa8bd…
10-30 00:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x761f34…
10-30 00:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xd627fc…
10-30 00:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x098214…
10-29 23:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xea7401…
10-29 22:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xa42d69…
10-29 22:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x6b3d21…
10-29 22:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x9eb77e…
10-29 22:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x5c4e2e…
10-29 22:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x4aea87…
10-29 22:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc65955…
10-29 22:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x42cce7…
10-29 22:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xe94d1d…
10-29 21:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x822364…
10-29 21:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x0b2957…
10-29 21:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x60fe28…
10-29 21:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0xcf82c0…
10-29 21:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x3f2c9b…
10-29 21:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x88c1ec…
10-29 20:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x900ca6…
10-29 20:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0x90ca63…
10-29 20:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x02a03e…
10-29 20:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xdfc600…
10-29 19:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x33ac7a…
10-29 19:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x2c7908…
10-29 19:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0xb0e48b…
10-29 17:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x263ccf…
10-29 17:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x61acc6…
10-29 17:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf153bb…
10-29 15:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xb1fc6a…
10-29 15:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x7b99f2…
10-29 15:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xf60c1f…
10-29 14:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xb47825…
10-29 14:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xd009f9…
10-29 14:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0x638696…
10-29 14:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x8d01cf…
10-29 13:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0xe768f0…
10-29 13:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x7a010d…
10-29 13:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xe65552…
10-29 12:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x5b4130…
10-29 12:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x696d74…
10-29 12:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xbf50e9…
10-29 12:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0x8cf119…
10-29 12:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x40f1e2…
10-29 12:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x84fe17…
10-29 11:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0xedba4f…
10-29 11:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x257927…
10-29 11:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0xf4f590…
10-29 10:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xfc9d38…
10-29 10:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$2	0x89d37d…
10-29 10:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x176634…
10-29 10:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x0a23f2…
10-29 09:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x833e91…
10-29 09:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xd3b936…
10-29 09:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x0fc4d4…
10-29 08:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x1f7242…
10-29 08:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xba69aa…