Able-Cellar — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.8%

Resolved (90d)

280

Trades (90d)

381

18,413 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$571

$2.96M lifetime

Avg / trade

$161

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 10-31 09:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 111 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 75% +$69,702

Other

0% 0% -$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 99 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 13:30 UTC	6	$9.9K	7,160	7,049	+111	Up	+$3,158	03-11 13:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 03:05 UTC	8	$7.8K	7,843	0	+7,843	Up	+$78	03-11 03:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 02:55 UTC	2	$6.9K	7,000	0	+7,000	Up	+$130	03-06 03:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 16:10 UTC	3	$6.7K	7,010	0	+7,010	Down	+$350	03-08 16:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 11:00 UTC	9	$6.0K	6,060	0	+6,060	Up	+$61	03-11 11:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 01:40 UTC	2	$6.0K	6,050	0	+6,050	Down	+$60	03-17 01:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 20:50 UTC	10	$6.0K	6,050	0	+6,050	Down	+$74	03-13 20:55
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 02:00 UTC	5	$5.7K	5,918	0	+5,918	Down	+$224	03-11 02:05
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 03:50 UTC	4	$5.5K	5,605	0	+5,605	Up	+$106	03-11 03:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 21:55 UTC	3	$5.4K	5,500	0	+5,500	Down	+$78	03-10 22:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 05:45 UTC	6	$5.4K	5,406	0	+5,406	Up	+$54	03-11 05:50
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 16:15 UTC	45	$5.3K	5,553	0	+5,553	Up	-$55	03-23 16:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 10:50 UTC	3	$5.3K	6,137	0	+6,137	Up	+$860	03-11 10:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 00:30 UTC	4	$5.2K	5,270	0	+5,270	Down	+$53	03-05 00:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 15:25 UTC	15	$5.1K	5,185	0	+5,185	Down	+$52	03-14 15:30
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 00:55 UTC	4	$5.1K	5,183	0	+5,183	Down	+$64	03-16 01:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 07:20 UTC	2	$5.1K	5,167	0	+5,167	Down	+$52	03-11 07:25
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 02:50 UTC	4	$5.1K	5,307	0	+5,307	Up	+$50	03-17 02:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 02:00 UTC	6	$5.1K	5,165	0	+5,165	Down	+$74	03-11 02:05
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 07:30 UTC	17	$5.0K	5,206	0	+5,206	Down	+$18	03-17 07:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 00:10 UTC	6	$5.0K	5,076	0	+5,076	Down	+$51	03-12 00:15
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 05:05 UTC	11	$5.0K	5,250	0	+5,250	Down	+$31	03-12 05:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 07:35 UTC	8	$5.0K	5,206	0	+5,206	Up	+$36	03-17 07:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 02:25 UTC	15	$5.0K	5,206	0	+5,206	Up	-$4,845	03-17 02:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 13:45 UTC	16	$5.0K	5,050	0	+5,050	Up	+$50	03-16 14:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 19:15 UTC	18	$5.0K	5,050	0	+5,050	Down	+$50	03-13 19:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 20:35 UTC	1	$5.0K	5,050	0	+5,050	Down	+$50	03-12 20:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 08:45 UTC	6	$5.0K	5,050	0	+5,050	Down	+$51	03-14 08:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 02:00 UTC	3	$5.0K	5,050	0	+5,050	Up	+$50	03-12 02:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 09:15 UTC	1	$5.0K	5,050	0	+5,050	Down	+$50	03-14 09:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 09:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0xf8f74f…
10-31 09:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x5dade7…
10-31 08:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x94b3cc…
10-31 07:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0x014959…
10-31 06:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xe2d47b…
10-31 06:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x4875a7…
10-31 05:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x7a1b61…
10-31 04:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x38e579…
10-31 04:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xdc5a87…
10-31 04:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x85c6f4…
10-31 04:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0xe98f37…
10-31 04:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xc709bb…
10-31 04:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xcc078e…
10-31 02:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xdf5e27…
10-31 02:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x62517c…
10-31 01:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x700eb3…
10-31 01:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0xe08e16…
10-31 01:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x7c773a…
10-31 01:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xdce277…
10-31 00:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x850b38…
10-31 00:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x7b99be…
10-31 00:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$2	0xd5ab24…
10-31 00:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x1700c6…
10-31 00:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xba4426…
10-31 00:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x697979…
10-31 00:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x7d03e8…
10-31 00:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0x2ccbe9…
10-31 00:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0xbd8ca5…
10-30 23:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xfaaf90…
10-30 23:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$2	0x9b1e4d…
10-30 23:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x80cf2a…
10-30 22:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xbe91b6…
10-30 22:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x3a8723…
10-30 22:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x33cfe5…
10-30 21:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x3a59b9…
10-30 21:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x2d4167…
10-30 21:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x1e7756…
10-30 21:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x4a0ae3…
10-30 21:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xb6bd7e…
10-30 21:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0x0b9cd0…
10-30 21:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x2a6619…
10-30 20:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0x019979…
10-30 20:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xfb4835…
10-30 19:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x18c6c2…
10-30 19:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x8b8f9e…
10-30 19:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$2	0x68494e…
10-30 18:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x31f1cf…
10-30 18:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x0dd2e9…
10-30 18:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$2	0x352273…
10-30 17:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf59de3…
10-30 17:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$2	0x19242b…
10-30 17:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xe4b579…
10-30 17:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x2be78d…
10-30 17:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x184dab…
10-30 17:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xc2451d…
10-30 17:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x73c478…
10-30 17:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0xd2577c…
10-30 17:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x7d5584…
10-30 16:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0xa655c3…
10-30 16:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0xfb321e…
10-30 16:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xf38b6f…
10-30 16:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x6f0d5a…
10-30 15:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x6a3f64…
10-30 14:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1066f4…
10-30 14:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xcecd98…
10-30 14:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$2	0x1ddf54…
10-30 14:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xce568a…
10-30 14:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x704550…
10-30 14:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x11a339…
10-30 14:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x742bb1…
10-30 14:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x2c2755…
10-30 13:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xdefb6e…
10-30 13:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x84ee45…
10-30 13:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xdd02ac…
10-30 13:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x2ea02a…
10-30 13:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x6b035d…
10-30 13:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x1ab8b5…
10-30 13:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x882749…
10-30 12:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1d57a2…
10-30 12:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x3cc5af…
10-30 12:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x263e3e…
10-30 12:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0xf8e18f…
10-30 11:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xf99ac3…
10-30 09:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x163832…
10-30 09:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x9d95dc…
10-30 09:03:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x99b076…
10-30 08:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x7c317f…
10-30 08:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x4bdb19…
10-30 08:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x345b27…
10-30 08:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x4123c6…
10-30 07:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xbda6d2…
10-30 07:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xdc0529…
10-30 07:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x91f71f…
10-30 07:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x9e23fb…
10-30 07:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x6093a1…
10-30 07:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x73aac7…
10-30 07:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x145026…
10-30 07:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x46882e…
10-30 07:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xf2c7bf…
10-30 07:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xfd9ef1…