Able-Cellar — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

+$8

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

58.7%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

19,410 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$138

$2.96M lifetime

Avg / trade

$152

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 11-13 02:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 124 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 75% +$69,696

Other

0% 0% -$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	—	+2	$2	98¢	$2	+$0	11-13 03:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	—	+3	$2	2¢	$0	-$1	11-13 03:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 13:30 UTC	6	$9.9K	7,160	7,049	+111	Up	+$3,158	03-11 13:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 03:05 UTC	8	$7.8K	7,843	0	+7,843	Up	+$78	03-11 03:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 02:55 UTC	2	$6.9K	7,000	0	+7,000	Up	+$130	03-06 03:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 16:10 UTC	3	$6.7K	7,010	0	+7,010	Down	+$350	03-08 16:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 11:00 UTC	9	$6.0K	6,060	0	+6,060	Up	+$61	03-11 11:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 01:40 UTC	2	$6.0K	6,050	0	+6,050	Down	+$60	03-17 01:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 20:50 UTC	10	$6.0K	6,050	0	+6,050	Down	+$74	03-13 20:55
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 02:00 UTC	5	$5.7K	5,918	0	+5,918	Down	+$224	03-11 02:05
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 03:50 UTC	4	$5.5K	5,605	0	+5,605	Up	+$106	03-11 03:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 21:55 UTC	3	$5.4K	5,500	0	+5,500	Down	+$78	03-10 22:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 05:45 UTC	6	$5.4K	5,406	0	+5,406	Up	+$54	03-11 05:50
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 16:15 UTC	45	$5.3K	5,553	0	+5,553	Up	-$55	03-23 16:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 10:50 UTC	3	$5.3K	6,137	0	+6,137	Up	+$860	03-11 10:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 00:30 UTC	4	$5.2K	5,270	0	+5,270	Down	+$53	03-05 00:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 15:25 UTC	15	$5.1K	5,185	0	+5,185	Down	+$52	03-14 15:30
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 00:55 UTC	4	$5.1K	5,183	0	+5,183	Down	+$64	03-16 01:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 07:20 UTC	2	$5.1K	5,167	0	+5,167	Down	+$52	03-11 07:25
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 02:50 UTC	4	$5.1K	5,307	0	+5,307	Up	+$50	03-17 02:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 02:00 UTC	6	$5.1K	5,165	0	+5,165	Down	+$74	03-11 02:05
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 07:30 UTC	17	$5.0K	5,206	0	+5,206	Down	+$18	03-17 07:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 00:10 UTC	6	$5.0K	5,076	0	+5,076	Down	+$51	03-12 00:15
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 05:05 UTC	11	$5.0K	5,250	0	+5,250	Down	+$31	03-12 05:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 07:35 UTC	8	$5.0K	5,206	0	+5,206	Up	+$36	03-17 07:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 02:25 UTC	15	$5.0K	5,206	0	+5,206	Up	-$4,845	03-17 02:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 13:45 UTC	16	$5.0K	5,050	0	+5,050	Up	+$50	03-16 14:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 19:15 UTC	18	$5.0K	5,050	0	+5,050	Down	+$50	03-13 19:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 20:35 UTC	1	$5.0K	5,050	0	+5,050	Down	+$50	03-12 20:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 08:45 UTC	6	$5.0K	5,050	0	+5,050	Down	+$51	03-14 08:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 02:00 UTC	3	$5.0K	5,050	0	+5,050	Up	+$50	03-12 02:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 09:15 UTC	1	$5.0K	5,050	0	+5,050	Down	+$50	03-14 09:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 03:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x4f2bd8…
11-13 03:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x26fba5…
11-13 02:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$2	0xb9c216…
11-13 01:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xeeed66…
11-13 01:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xd55c79…
11-13 01:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x706b7e…
11-13 01:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x4215b9…
11-13 01:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x09c6a6…
11-13 00:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x2834a4…
11-13 00:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0xa2dfff…
11-13 00:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xc6238f…
11-12 23:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x00c29e…
11-12 22:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x5dd64a…
11-12 22:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x570545…
11-12 22:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x676d65…
11-12 22:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x16c850…
11-12 22:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x997438…
11-12 22:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xaea9ff…
11-12 22:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x469a71…
11-12 22:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x66f2a4…
11-12 21:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0xe0f75d…
11-12 21:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x819205…
11-12 21:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x629b88…
11-12 20:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x8ad1f3…
11-12 20:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x5cfa98…
11-12 20:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0x3ecfc2…
11-12 20:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x777247…
11-12 20:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x212837…
11-12 19:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0x7ff283…
11-12 19:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xfcca98…
11-12 19:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x33e2f2…
11-12 18:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x59541c…
11-12 18:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xde96f7…
11-12 17:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0xadabe5…
11-12 17:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xcb26a7…
11-12 17:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x4a2c8e…
11-12 16:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x189e4f…
11-12 16:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$2	0x33dad4…
11-12 16:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xcd80a0…
11-12 16:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xe4c796…
11-12 16:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xc6aa93…
11-12 16:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$2	0xb3dec6…
11-12 16:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0xfe7612…
11-12 15:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x702009…
11-12 15:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xda836d…
11-12 15:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xe06eea…
11-12 15:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x342d63…
11-12 15:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$2	0x0e7f03…
11-12 14:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x7698ab…
11-12 14:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0x0809b0…
11-12 14:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x9755dc…
11-12 14:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$2	0x47a94c…
11-12 14:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x585ba2…
11-12 14:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb8426d…
11-12 13:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x5285af…
11-12 13:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x803f86…
11-12 13:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x0bab90…
11-12 13:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xeef6ae…
11-12 13:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$2	0xa0b35c…
11-12 13:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x9b67f4…
11-12 13:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0xf2fa66…
11-12 12:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x53eaa3…
11-12 12:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x8e10bf…
11-12 12:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x9fc4be…
11-12 11:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xe6206b…
11-12 11:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x1ec99a…
11-12 10:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x94af70…
11-12 10:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xb2034b…
11-12 09:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x628ad5…
11-12 09:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xd60881…
11-12 09:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x058d37…
11-12 09:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x0d646d…
11-12 09:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xd5a933…
11-12 09:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x6b9982…
11-12 09:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x8f9e2f…
11-12 09:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0x403273…
11-12 09:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7072f6…
11-12 09:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0xcd8d5c…
11-12 09:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x372e7b…
11-12 08:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x6d5740…
11-12 08:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x86664b…
11-12 08:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x803537…
11-12 07:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xcd044b…
11-12 07:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0xdf0129…
11-12 07:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0xac70cc…
11-12 06:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0xe5416c…
11-12 06:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xf2e1e1…
11-12 05:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x9b32de…
11-12 05:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x2130ce…
11-12 05:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xb73e89…
11-12 04:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xdc3d1f…
11-12 04:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x9901d9…
11-12 04:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0x5eb68d…
11-12 03:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x0cd460…
11-12 02:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x5899d8…
11-12 02:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x4e7f4c…
11-12 02:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$2	0xf54618…
11-12 01:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8152ad…
11-12 01:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x9b1846…
11-12 01:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x13292b…