Empty-Weasel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.9%

Resolved

Trades

859

lifetime

Volume

$17.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 06-09 16:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

58% — —

Crypto

42% 12% $-40

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 169 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	15	$4.0K	3,010	2,406	+604	open	—	05-24 05:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	11	$1.9K	1,202	876	+326	open	—	05-24 08:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	7	$1.8K	986	1,222	-236	open	—	05-23 13:52
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	9	$844	1,700	1,800	-100	open	—	06-03 06:27
Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	6	$738	409	408	+1	open	—	03-29 19:00
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?	27	$723	704	693	+11	open	—	04-14 17:57
Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$693	376	376	+1	open	—	03-31 11:00
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?	8	$591	492	484	+8	open	—	04-13 15:53
P2P FDV above $20M one day after launch?	4	$430	200	300	-100	open	—	04-01 16:49
j2100 oit mon 2026 06 07 total 1pt5	7	$375	400	394	+6	open	—	06-07 08:54
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	5	$272	313	313	+0	open	—	04-10 22:53
Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?	5	$262	680	679	+1	open	—	04-14 08:45
bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 9am et	11	$252	300	286	+14	open	—	04-01 13:11
btc updown 15m 1775241900	20	$198	300	300	+0	open	—	04-03 18:49
btc updown 15m 1775212200	8	$193	300	283	+17	open	—	04-03 10:37
bitcoin up or down april 2 2026 6am et	13	$182	310	306	+4	open	—	04-02 10:36
btc updown 15m 1775322000	24	$174	300	300	+0	open	—	04-04 17:12
btc updown 15m 1775320200	41	$174	300	300	+0	open	—	04-04 16:36
bitcoin up or down april 4 2026 6am et	7	$161	340	240	+100	open	—	04-04 10:41
bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 7am et	11	$154	177	177	+0	open	—	04-01 11:24
btc updown 15m 1775246400	19	$135	204	204	+0	open	—	04-03 20:10
bitcoin up or down april 4 2026 12pm et	2	$132	200	200	+0	open	—	04-04 16:31
bitcoin up or down april 3 2026 2pm et	7	$126	200	200	+0	open	—	04-03 18:22
btc updown 15m 1775241000	17	$124	200	200	+0	open	—	04-03 18:37
will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	3	$117	346	346	+0	open	—	06-09 16:01
btc updown 15m 1775372400	16	$104	550	0	+550	open	—	04-05 07:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	7	$99	114	114	+0	open	—	05-14 13:11
btc updown 15m 1775022300	3	$98	100	96	+4	open	—	04-01 05:54
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$98	92	92	+0	open	—	03-30 04:54
bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 8am et	12	$92	200	200	+0	open	—	04-01 12:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 16:01:01	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	SELL	15	14¢	$2	0x10b2ff…
06-09 16:00:51	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	SELL	331	15¢	$49	0xead0fe…
06-09 15:00:46	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	BUY	346	19¢	$66	0x870d36…
06-09 11:43:16	fif chn tha 2026 06 09 btts	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x92fdb8…
06-08 09:42:30	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	SELL	22	71¢	$16	0xfd018f…
06-08 04:27:00	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	BUY	22	66¢	$15	0x5cd495…
06-07 10:05:57	btc updown 15m 1780826400	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xa708db…
06-07 10:05:57	btc updown 15m 1780826400	Up	BUY	45	16¢	$7	0x8eb259…
06-07 10:05:54	btc updown 15m 1780826400	Up	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0xbf1078…
06-07 10:05:54	btc updown 15m 1780826400	Up	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x757d61…
06-07 08:54:21	j2100 oit mon 2026 06 07 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	94	13¢	$12	0xa18528…
06-07 08:41:48	j2100 oit mon 2026 06 07 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0xb5ca3f…
06-07 08:41:42	j2100 oit mon 2026 06 07 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	70	45¢	$32	0xfac274…
06-07 08:41:40	j2100 oit mon 2026 06 07 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	19	45¢	$9	0xf7d54a…
06-07 08:41:30	j2100 oit mon 2026 06 07 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xc36b28…
06-07 08:37:19	j2100 oit mon 2026 06 07 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	300	49¢	$147	0xf6409b…
06-07 08:29:04	j2100 oit mon 2026 06 07 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	300	57¢	$171	0x1d7a9e…
06-07 08:22:28	j2100 oit mon 2026 06 07 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x2d3eae…
06-07 08:22:01	j2100 oit mon 2026 06 07 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	90	11¢	$10	0x595fc3…
06-07 08:21:48	j2100 oit mon 2026 06 07 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x3fe46e…
06-06 10:33:16	btc updown 5m 1780741800	Up	BUY	98	4¢	$4	0x7aa984…
06-06 10:33:15	btc updown 5m 1780741800	Up	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xea767d…
06-06 09:43:01	btc updown 5m 1780738800	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xf67682…
06-06 09:42:54	btc updown 5m 1780738800	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x2b379c…
06-06 09:07:36	btc updown 5m 1780736700	Up	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x211090…
06-06 09:07:33	btc updown 5m 1780736700	Up	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0xe2a574…
06-06 09:07:33	btc updown 5m 1780736700	Up	SELL	13	39¢	$5	0xdb4092…
06-06 09:07:33	btc updown 5m 1780736700	Up	SELL	25	39¢	$10	0x941e52…
06-06 09:07:33	btc updown 5m 1780736700	Up	SELL	11	39¢	$4	0x8dc742…
06-06 09:07:33	btc updown 5m 1780736700	Up	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x8b064a…
06-06 09:07:33	btc updown 5m 1780736700	Up	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x58a18c…
06-06 09:07:33	btc updown 5m 1780736700	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x539ff7…
06-06 09:07:33	btc updown 5m 1780736700	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x4e688e…
06-06 09:07:25	btc updown 5m 1780736700	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x9d5e11…
06-06 09:07:25	btc updown 5m 1780736700	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x9d224a…
06-06 09:07:04	btc updown 5m 1780736700	Up	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0xb29a78…
06-06 09:07:04	btc updown 5m 1780736700	Up	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x6c7a1a…
06-06 09:07:04	btc updown 5m 1780736700	Up	BUY	90	19¢	$17	0x110df7…
06-03 19:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xedd6e3…
06-03 07:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6b05c7…
06-03 06:27:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$3	0xfd0a6a…
06-02 11:54:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xa19860…
06-01 17:00:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	295	99¢	$292	0xd8d973…
06-01 17:00:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1bdab2…
06-01 16:48:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x4cd969…
06-01 16:48:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x0ac0fc…
06-01 16:48:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	190	45¢	$86	0xa1c35e…
06-01 15:07:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	45¢	$225	0xef80fc…
06-01 15:00:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	44¢	$218	0x37cd70…
05-31 11:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x788f4a…
05-31 11:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xdc57d8…
05-31 11:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x974d11…
05-31 11:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0x941c68…
05-31 11:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xea4bf0…
05-31 11:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa3e667…
05-31 11:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x4af10c…
05-31 11:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	32	2¢	$1	0x0f4493…
05-31 11:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	123	2¢	$2	0x7f1b78…
05-31 11:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	15¢	$3	0xefc438…
05-31 11:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	15¢	$3	0xe63eef…
05-31 11:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	15¢	$3	0xc35515…
05-31 11:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	35	15¢	$5	0xb3d48e…
05-31 11:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x9d9eb1…
05-31 11:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	35	15¢	$5	0x97ed48…
05-31 11:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x95837d…
05-31 11:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0x7c393b…
05-31 11:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	35	15¢	$5	0x78b868…
05-31 02:57:48	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x3595f3…
05-30 19:57:20	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd8b657…
05-30 14:13:18	UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xb86c2e…
05-29 14:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xd27f51…
05-29 14:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xc64ce9…
05-29 14:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	23	3¢	$1	0xc3b3df…
05-29 14:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xbcfb92…
05-29 14:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xbb3bb5…
05-29 14:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x8fe102…
05-29 14:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x32f2dd…
05-29 14:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	44	6¢	$3	0xb18ac4…
05-29 14:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0x745a04…
05-29 14:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x06b5b2…
05-29 14:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x689e82…
05-29 14:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x0dc777…
05-29 14:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xcc507b…
05-29 14:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	24	6¢	$1	0x1c0245…
05-29 10:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xf72fbb…
05-29 10:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x07a565…
05-29 10:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xabb2d2…
05-29 10:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	270	1¢	$3	0x01d55a…
05-29 10:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xfbaa6f…
05-29 10:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xf639e8…
05-29 10:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xee4a38…
05-29 10:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xeb7aca…
05-29 10:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xe77358…
05-29 10:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xaa7b32…
05-29 10:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xa68f1d…
05-29 10:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x938ea2…
05-29 10:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x8d4a47…
05-29 10:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x880ce0…
05-29 10:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x8285c4…
05-29 10:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x822a2a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	95	$335.8K	12,386	06-07 10:14
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	94	$68.5K	4,119	05-31 11:39
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	89	$30.2K	5,797	06-07 10:07
Tangible-Friendship 0x21d0…e8d7	87	$13.7K	1,178	06-07 10:00
(anonymous) 0x0428…85b1	84	$239.2K	9,024	04-16 17:25
(anonymous) 0x7347…3d35	80	$8.05K	1,029	04-16 17:20
Peaceful-Identification 0x4b8e…05a9	79	$873	369	05-31 11:26
Idolized-Scallops 0xe1d6…907c	76	$302.4K	7,645	04-16 17:24