Empty-Weasel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.9%

Resolved

Trades

908

lifetime

Volume

$19.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 06-26 06:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

56% — —

Crypto

37% 12% $-40

Politics

5% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	15	$4.0K	3,010	2,406	+604	open	—	05-24 05:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	11	$1.9K	1,202	876	+326	open	—	05-24 08:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	7	$1.8K	986	1,222	-236	open	—	05-23 13:52
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	6	$1.0K	598	598	+0	open	—	06-18 20:01
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	9	$844	1,700	1,800	-100	open	—	06-03 06:27
Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	6	$738	409	408	+1	open	—	03-29 19:00
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?	27	$723	704	693	+11	open	—	04-14 17:57
Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$693	376	376	+1	open	—	03-31 11:00
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?	8	$591	492	484	+8	open	—	04-13 15:53
over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	5	$573	688	105	+582	open	—	06-26 06:07
P2P FDV above $20M one day after launch?	4	$430	200	300	-100	open	—	04-01 16:49
j2100 oit mon 2026 06 07 total 1pt5	7	$375	400	394	+6	open	—	06-07 08:54
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	5	$272	313	313	+0	open	—	04-10 22:53
Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?	5	$262	680	679	+1	open	—	04-14 08:45
bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 9am et	11	$252	300	286	+14	open	—	04-01 13:11
fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 1pt5	2	$209	111	111	+0	open	—	06-12 21:02
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	5	$204	160	160	+0	open	—	06-12 16:13
btc updown 15m 1775241900	20	$198	300	300	+0	open	—	04-03 18:49
btc updown 15m 1775212200	8	$193	300	283	+17	open	—	04-03 10:37
bitcoin up or down april 2 2026 6am et	13	$182	310	306	+4	open	—	04-02 10:36
btc updown 15m 1775322000	24	$174	300	300	+0	open	—	04-04 17:12
btc updown 15m 1775320200	41	$174	300	300	+0	open	—	04-04 16:36
bitcoin up or down april 4 2026 6am et	7	$161	340	240	+100	open	—	04-04 10:41
bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 7am et	11	$154	177	177	+0	open	—	04-01 11:24
btc updown 15m 1775246400	19	$135	204	204	+0	open	—	04-03 20:10
bitcoin up or down april 4 2026 12pm et	2	$132	200	200	+0	open	—	04-04 16:31
bitcoin up or down april 3 2026 2pm et	7	$126	200	200	+0	open	—	04-03 18:22
btc updown 15m 1775241000	17	$124	200	200	+0	open	—	04-03 18:37
will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	3	$117	346	346	+0	open	—	06-09 16:01
btc updown 15m 1775372400	16	$104	550	0	+550	open	—	04-05 07:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 06:07:07	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	SELL	48	80¢	$38	0x18633e…
06-26 06:00:10	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	SELL	47	80¢	$38	0xd0360f…
06-26 05:59:41	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xf3e3f7…
06-26 05:59:37	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xced993…
06-24 16:35:59	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	688	71¢	$488	0x144bfc…
06-23 10:12:37	btc updown 15m 1782208800	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x445c5c…
06-23 10:12:34	btc updown 15m 1782208800	Down	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0xc56f50…
06-23 10:12:34	btc updown 15m 1782208800	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x78d153…
06-23 10:12:34	btc updown 15m 1782208800	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x404e36…
06-23 10:12:29	btc updown 15m 1782208800	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xc65b5b…
06-23 10:12:28	btc updown 15m 1782208800	Down	BUY	61	4¢	$2	0x261393…
06-23 10:12:14	btc updown 15m 1782208800	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xdc5bc8…
06-23 10:12:10	btc updown 15m 1782208800	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x7be159…
06-23 10:12:08	btc updown 15m 1782208800	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x4ded1e…
06-23 10:12:08	btc updown 15m 1782208800	Down	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x138187…
06-23 10:12:05	btc updown 15m 1782208800	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x4e2688…
06-23 10:12:04	btc updown 15m 1782208800	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xe31c0e…
06-23 10:12:04	btc updown 15m 1782208800	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x2183fc…
06-23 10:11:58	btc updown 15m 1782208800	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xe3db15…
06-23 10:11:55	btc updown 15m 1782208800	Down	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x0a5190…
06-23 07:43:04	btc updown 5m 1782200400	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xd6e7de…
06-23 07:43:04	btc updown 5m 1782200400	Up	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x62d68a…
06-23 07:32:56	btc updown 5m 1782199800	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xfd9fc6…
06-23 07:32:56	btc updown 5m 1782199800	Up	BUY	24	2¢	$0	0xbcc508…
06-23 07:32:55	btc updown 5m 1782199800	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xfdff92…
06-23 07:32:55	btc updown 5m 1782199800	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xe90548…
06-23 07:32:55	btc updown 5m 1782199800	Up	BUY	139	2¢	$3	0xc24fd0…
06-23 07:32:55	btc updown 5m 1782199800	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x921a95…
06-23 07:32:55	btc updown 5m 1782199800	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x6fabd5…
06-23 07:32:55	btc updown 5m 1782199800	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x53bf67…
06-23 07:32:55	btc updown 5m 1782199800	Up	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x247ef4…
06-22 14:08:47	btc updown 5m 1782137100	Up	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0xd1cec1…
06-18 20:01:56	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	598	99¢	$592	0x995b9e…
06-18 18:27:31	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	192	69¢	$133	0xb1bada…
06-18 18:27:08	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x973af6…
06-18 18:23:02	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x51953b…
06-18 18:22:13	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x9727fc…
06-18 16:47:05	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	340	77¢	$262	0x4c98a5…
06-13 19:28:28	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	46	66¢	$30	0x1d44a1…
06-13 19:28:22	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	49	66¢	$32	0xf3592d…
06-12 21:02:27	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x920f34…
06-12 19:34:37	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	111	89¢	$98	0x4c69d8…
06-12 16:13:58	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	139	70¢	$97	0x3f966e…
06-12 15:59:45	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	138	65¢	$90	0xaed657…
06-12 15:52:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0x872068…
06-12 15:33:30	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	SELL	21	42¢	$9	0x959d13…
06-12 15:32:16	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0xc12501…
06-12 02:36:58	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc2702f…
06-12 02:36:54	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	39	78¢	$30	0x080476…
06-09 16:01:01	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	SELL	15	14¢	$2	0x10b2ff…
06-09 16:00:51	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	SELL	331	15¢	$49	0xead0fe…
06-09 15:00:46	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	BUY	346	19¢	$66	0x870d36…
06-09 11:43:16	fif chn tha 2026 06 09 btts	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x92fdb8…
06-08 09:42:30	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	SELL	22	71¢	$16	0xfd018f…
06-08 04:27:00	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	BUY	22	66¢	$15	0x5cd495…
06-07 10:05:57	btc updown 15m 1780826400	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xa708db…
06-07 10:05:57	btc updown 15m 1780826400	Up	BUY	45	16¢	$7	0x8eb259…
06-07 10:05:54	btc updown 15m 1780826400	Up	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0xbf1078…
06-07 10:05:54	btc updown 15m 1780826400	Up	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x757d61…
06-07 08:54:21	j2100 oit mon 2026 06 07 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	94	13¢	$12	0xa18528…
06-07 08:41:48	j2100 oit mon 2026 06 07 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0xb5ca3f…
06-07 08:41:42	j2100 oit mon 2026 06 07 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	70	45¢	$32	0xfac274…
06-07 08:41:40	j2100 oit mon 2026 06 07 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	19	45¢	$9	0xf7d54a…
06-07 08:41:30	j2100 oit mon 2026 06 07 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xc36b28…
06-07 08:37:19	j2100 oit mon 2026 06 07 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	300	49¢	$147	0xf6409b…
06-07 08:29:04	j2100 oit mon 2026 06 07 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	300	57¢	$171	0x1d7a9e…
06-07 08:22:28	j2100 oit mon 2026 06 07 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x2d3eae…
06-07 08:22:01	j2100 oit mon 2026 06 07 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	90	11¢	$10	0x595fc3…
06-07 08:21:48	j2100 oit mon 2026 06 07 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x3fe46e…
06-06 10:33:16	btc updown 5m 1780741800	Up	BUY	98	4¢	$4	0x7aa984…
06-06 10:33:15	btc updown 5m 1780741800	Up	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xea767d…
06-06 09:43:01	btc updown 5m 1780738800	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xf67682…
06-06 09:42:54	btc updown 5m 1780738800	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x2b379c…
06-06 09:07:36	btc updown 5m 1780736700	Up	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x211090…
06-06 09:07:33	btc updown 5m 1780736700	Up	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0xe2a574…
06-06 09:07:33	btc updown 5m 1780736700	Up	SELL	13	39¢	$5	0xdb4092…
06-06 09:07:33	btc updown 5m 1780736700	Up	SELL	25	39¢	$10	0x941e52…
06-06 09:07:33	btc updown 5m 1780736700	Up	SELL	11	39¢	$4	0x8dc742…
06-06 09:07:33	btc updown 5m 1780736700	Up	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x8b064a…
06-06 09:07:33	btc updown 5m 1780736700	Up	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x58a18c…
06-06 09:07:33	btc updown 5m 1780736700	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x539ff7…
06-06 09:07:33	btc updown 5m 1780736700	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x4e688e…
06-06 09:07:25	btc updown 5m 1780736700	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x9d5e11…
06-06 09:07:25	btc updown 5m 1780736700	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x9d224a…
06-06 09:07:04	btc updown 5m 1780736700	Up	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0xb29a78…
06-06 09:07:04	btc updown 5m 1780736700	Up	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x6c7a1a…
06-06 09:07:04	btc updown 5m 1780736700	Up	BUY	90	19¢	$17	0x110df7…
06-03 19:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xedd6e3…
06-03 07:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6b05c7…
06-03 06:27:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$3	0xfd0a6a…
06-02 11:54:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xa19860…
06-01 17:00:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	295	99¢	$292	0xd8d973…
06-01 17:00:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1bdab2…
06-01 16:48:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x4cd969…
06-01 16:48:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x0ac0fc…
06-01 16:48:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	190	45¢	$86	0xa1c35e…
06-01 15:07:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	45¢	$225	0xef80fc…
06-01 15:00:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	44¢	$218	0x37cd70…
05-31 11:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x788f4a…
05-31 11:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xdc57d8…