Linear-Contention — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.2%

Resolved (90d)

113

Trades (90d)

232

277 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.81K

$2.20K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 11-06 21:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 56% -$9

Politics

1% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$80	100	100	+0	Down	+$70	11-02 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	4	$67	52	52	+0	Up	+$7	11-05 11:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	4	$59	104	104	+0	Down	+$2	05-02 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	4	$53	46	46	+0	Up	+$15	05-01 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$52	48	48	+0	Up	+$12	05-02 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	3	$47	44	44	+0	Down	+$3	05-02 10:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	4	$45	35	35	+0	Up	+$5	11-03 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$37	38	38	+0	Up	+$7	11-04 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	3	$36	44	29	+14	Up	+$6	11-03 10:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	6	$35	32	32	+0	Down	+$5	11-06 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$35	39	39	+0	Down	+$5	11-03 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$32	18	18	+0	Up	+$3	11-06 00:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	6	$32	23	23	+0	Down	+$2	11-06 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$31	17	17	+0	Up	+$1	11-06 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$31	32	32	+0	Down	+$1	11-05 10:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	3	$31	33	33	+0	Down	+$1	11-05 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$30	16	16	+0	Up	+$0	11-06 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$30	15	15	+0	Up	+$0	11-05 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$30	25	25	+0	Down	$0	11-05 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	3	$29	20	20	+0	Up	+$9	05-04 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	3	$28	74	56	+19	Down	-$12	11-03 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	3	$27	31	31	+0	Down	+$7	11-03 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$25	26	20	+6	Up	+$0	11-05 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$25	35	35	+0	Down	+$5	11-04 23:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	4	$24	20	20	+0	Up	+$4	11-03 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$24	14	14	+0	Down	+$4	11-06 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	3	$23	108	37	+71	Down	-$17	11-05 12:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	4	$23	22	22	+0	Down	+$3	11-05 00:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$23	22	22	+0	Up	+$3	11-03 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$22	26	26	+0	Down	+$12	11-03 23:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 21:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe7c7d7…
11-06 21:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	9	49¢	$5	0xac4578…
11-06 21:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x8f71ce…
11-06 20:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	60¢	$6	0xe0516e…
11-06 20:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x376d9f…
11-06 20:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	15	38¢	$6	0x73af54…
11-06 20:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xcf8a5e…
11-06 20:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0xc0f7f4…
11-06 20:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xd8b3b6…
11-06 19:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x5aa959…
11-06 19:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0x8da80c…
11-06 19:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xbf341d…
11-06 19:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xc94f81…
11-06 19:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	15	17¢	$3	0x8b80b5…
11-06 19:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xc2cac1…
11-06 18:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x9fd165…
11-06 18:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x5278c9…
11-06 18:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xc64d41…
11-06 18:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	53¢	$6	0x64463e…
11-06 18:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x7e414c…
11-06 10:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x61123c…
11-06 10:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x792c6d…
11-06 10:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x18d8b6…
11-06 10:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xb3441a…
11-06 10:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd3e8de…
11-06 10:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xbfdce1…
11-06 10:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	68¢	$4	0xb6d3d1…
11-06 10:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xeb9da2…
11-06 10:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xca3365…
11-06 10:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	12	54¢	$6	0xb4672b…
11-06 10:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xa5a692…
11-06 10:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x6b39e9…
11-06 10:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x06fae9…
11-06 10:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	15	52¢	$8	0xc597ad…
11-06 10:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x4472fd…
11-06 10:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	11	62¢	$7	0x57d4b1…
11-06 10:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xe90ba9…
11-06 10:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x95eefc…
11-06 10:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xee7356…
11-06 10:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	9	69¢	$7	0x0de52c…
11-06 10:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x508835…
11-06 10:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0xe3c9eb…
11-06 10:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xf8593d…
11-06 09:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x925cde…
11-06 09:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0xc38cab…
11-06 09:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x630d4e…
11-06 01:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x2b6760…
11-06 01:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	23	7¢	$2	0x91a4f5…
11-06 01:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x58db7e…
11-06 01:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0x7d4816…
11-06 01:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x99356d…
11-06 01:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x0725a4…
11-06 01:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x6a3150…
11-06 00:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0xb5e8b5…
11-06 00:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x6d2855…
11-06 00:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	18	45¢	$8	0xc8ab1e…
11-06 00:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xeb2c2d…
11-06 00:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0x9da3bc…
11-06 00:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x4d04eb…
11-06 00:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	18	98¢	$17	0x7a37cb…
11-06 00:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0xdd245f…
11-06 00:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	17	98¢	$16	0x8750e3…
11-06 00:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x72abd3…
11-06 00:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	14	96¢	$14	0x6ffb93…
11-06 00:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x5f01e6…
11-06 00:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0x6ff51b…
11-06 00:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x66e7b5…
11-06 00:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x5ddadd…
11-06 00:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x310f08…
11-05 23:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x4dfe62…
11-05 23:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x5cfd7c…
11-05 19:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	46	33¢	$15	0xc0958b…
11-05 18:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x05b370…
11-05 17:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x35a74b…
11-05 15:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x709280…
11-05 15:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	32	47¢	$15	0xf1262e…
11-05 15:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x472d20…
11-05 15:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0x8f127f…
11-05 15:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0x100851…
11-05 13:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xeeaece…
11-05 13:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x7ab64f…
11-05 12:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xe78faa…
11-05 12:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x9896e4…
11-05 12:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x0dc634…
11-05 12:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	37	9¢	$3	0xb8e1ca…
11-05 12:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x70a07a…
11-05 11:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0x79ff52…
11-05 11:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xaa85f8…
11-05 11:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	28	66¢	$19	0x5cbc86…
11-05 11:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x6e63e6…
11-05 11:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	24	77¢	$19	0xd504ad…
11-05 11:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x1a59a5…
11-05 11:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x518f23…
11-05 11:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0xb3789c…
11-05 11:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x1305ca…
11-05 11:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	31	32¢	$10	0x17742e…
11-05 11:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xaabdf2…
11-05 10:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x6436d9…
11-05 10:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	23	45¢	$10	0xf80342…
11-05 10:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xafb314…