Sinful-Awe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-17 12:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

65% 97% -$2

Crypto

21% 90% $0

Politics

12% 88% -$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 8	1	$88	88	0	+88	No	+$0	03-08 01:24
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	1	$87	88	0	+88	No	+$0	02-15 07:13
will the us next strike iran on february 10 2026 et	1	$87	87	0	+87	No	+$0	02-11 06:21
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 180 199	1	$87	87	0	+87	No	+$0	02-03 10:37
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 165 189	1	$87	87	0	+87	No	+$0	04-12 03:49
will ethereum reach 4000 in january 2026	1	$87	87	0	+87	No	+$0	01-31 07:47
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	1	$87	87	0	+87	No	+$0	05-25 06:16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	1	$87	87	0	+87	No	+$0	05-28 06:30
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$87	87	0	+87	No	+$0	05-05 03:41
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$87	87	0	+87	No	+$0	06-05 06:33
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$87	87	0	+87	No	+$0	01-26 11:00
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$87	87	0	+87	No	+$0	05-17 03:37
will grok 4pt20 be released on january 21 2026	1	$87	87	0	+87	No	+$0	01-22 02:59
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 215 239	1	$87	87	0	+87	No	+$0	03-27 08:28
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 200 219	1	$86	86	0	+86	No	+$0	01-17 08:47
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 220 239	1	$86	86	0	+86	No	+$0	01-08 09:50
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	1	$86	86	0	+86	No	+$0	03-23 06:32
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 500 519	1	$86	86	0	+86	No	+$0	03-17 07:59
bitcoin above 80k on april 17	1	$85	85	0	+85	No	+$0	04-17 07:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?	1	$85	85	0	+85	Yes	+$0	05-09 09:40
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 215 239	1	$85	85	0	+85	No	+$0	03-13 03:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	1	$85	85	0	+85	No	+$0	05-14 09:43
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 280 299	1	$84	84	0	+84	No	+$0	03-31 08:15
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 320 339	1	$83	83	0	+83	No	+$0	04-23 06:30
will project hail mary 3rd weekend box office be between 35m and 38m	1	$81	81	0	+81	No	+$0	04-06 11:26
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 25-31?	1	$74	74	0	+74	No	+$0	05-31 06:56
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	1	$42	42	0	+42	No	+$0	06-10 09:16
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$0	09-21 14:48
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	06-10 08:51
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	1	$18	18	0	+18	Yes	+$0	06-10 08:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 12:21:33	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x268dfe…
10-17 12:08:51	Georgia State vs. James Madison	Georgia State	BUY	18	23¢	$4	0xbf82f9…
09-21 14:49:02	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x3a11df…
09-21 14:48:23	Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$15	0xb0c6c7…
08-04 10:09:17	Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x0895b3…
07-24 07:14:04	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0xe9b993…
06-14 06:38:46	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb1098b…
06-14 06:38:31	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc8761f…
06-14 06:38:15	Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4a3e3b…
06-14 06:37:58	Will Meituan have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x80ee1f…
06-14 06:37:51	Will Alibaba have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8a1ede…
06-14 06:37:45	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd51900…
06-14 06:37:39	Will Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x92cc1a…
06-14 06:37:33	Will Moonshot have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd52102…
06-14 06:37:13	Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 June 8-14?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x12ec95…
06-14 06:36:52	Starmer out by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5df21b…
06-10 09:16:16	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x85bbe7…
06-10 08:59:42	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc501ec…
06-10 08:51:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x84ef33…
06-05 06:33:34	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x8f0e8b…
05-31 06:56:16	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x6f2e5f…
05-31 06:39:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$2	0x2bebce…
05-31 06:38:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdeece8…
05-28 06:30:05	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xb34c0e…
05-25 06:16:53	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x3cd251…
05-17 03:37:16	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x3bdd08…
05-14 09:43:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xb8d372…
05-09 09:40:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x24af26…
05-09 09:40:23	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x10534b…
05-09 09:40:09	Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd61ac9…
05-05 03:41:18	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x88f399…
04-23 06:30:00	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 320 339	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x8ccb34…
04-23 06:29:46	highest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 80forhigher	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8f79ee…
04-23 06:29:30	Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x50adf9…
04-23 06:29:12	highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 14c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x789c7e…
04-23 06:29:00	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe184ce…
04-17 07:13:44	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xb7ece0…
04-17 07:13:30	ethereum above 2100 on april 17	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xefcba1…
04-17 07:13:12	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xae6c65…
04-12 03:49:55	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 165 189	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x9e706a…
04-06 11:26:41	will project hail mary 3rd weekend box office be between 35m and 38m	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x2c325c…
04-06 11:21:29	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2600 on april 8	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x57c84a…
04-06 11:20:39	bitcoin above 58k on april 8	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcb38cc…
03-31 08:15:05	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 280 299	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x631ce3…
03-31 08:14:53	will skyview be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x44fa76…
03-31 08:14:39	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x694454…
03-27 08:28:13	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 215 239	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x168a44…
03-23 06:32:09	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x83cd02…
03-17 07:59:49	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 500 519	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xbea79e…
03-13 03:56:21	elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 215 239	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x9827a1…
03-13 03:56:11	will ankimobile flashcards be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 13	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdaa48c…
03-13 03:56:01	will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfa4476…
03-08 01:24:27	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 8	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xd6905c…
02-15 07:13:41	us strikes iran by february 15 2026	No	BUY	88	100¢	$87	0x8e6234…
02-11 06:21:13	will the us next strike iran on february 10 2026 et	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x6ad9a5…
02-03 10:37:54	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 180 199	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x5ebb32…
01-31 07:47:30	will ethereum reach 4000 in january 2026	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x0283c7…
01-26 11:00:23	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xa6bd64…
01-22 02:59:54	will grok 4pt20 be released on january 21 2026	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xfbdafd…
01-17 08:47:04	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 200 219	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x8922eb…
01-08 09:50:23	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 220 239	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xac6872…