Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.2%

Resolved

Trades

170

lifetime

Volume

$692

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-30

last 11-03 18:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

65% 52% -$5

Politics

24% 53% -$10

Tech

8% 40% -$8

Sports

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Fed rate hike in 2026?	84	$249	383	383	+0	Yes	-$4	07-30 13:09
will spacex say trump during earnings call 20260730164309244	4	$31	24	20	+4	No	-$6	08-04 22:22
will spacex say cursor during earnings call 20260730164309238	3	$25	14	14	+0	Yes	$0	08-04 13:54
Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?	1	$25	37	0	+37	Yes	-$25	11-03 18:41
Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee?	7	$24	30	30	+0	Yes	+$3	08-07 01:33
will over 50 senators vote for the clarity act 20260729193533307	4	$22	23	23	+0	open	—	07-31 13:28
Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?	4	$22	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	07-30 21:51
will palantir say warp speed during earnings call 20260730163530770	3	$20	15	15	+0	No	+$10	08-03 22:31
will cava say tariff during earnings call 20260807205722562	1	$18	23	0	+23	No	+$5	08-11 20:30
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	2	$17	15	15	+0	No	-$3	09-23 22:21
Will Ken Welch win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?	2	$17	10	10	+0	No	+$1	09-20 15:20
will airbnb say world cup during earnings call 20260803163357338	3	$14	8	8	+0	Yes	+$0	08-06 19:45
will hims say amazon during earnings call 20260807205625287	2	$12	16	0	+16	No	+$4	08-10 20:07
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?	2	$12	9	9	+0	No	-$2	08-06 07:25
will spacex say tesla during earnings call 20260730164309242	2	$11	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	08-04 15:12
will trump say karoline or leavitt this week 20260731171342121	2	$10	12	0	+12	No	+$2	08-07 06:01
Will LaShonda "L.J." Holloway be the FL-04 Democratic nominee?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	08-18 23:20
will palantir say anthropic or claude during earnings call 20260730163530773	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-03 22:26
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	3	$9	15	0	+15	Yes	+$6	08-12 01:30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$9	11	11	+0	No	+$0	07-30 13:07
will airbnb say domestic during earnings call 20260803163357341	2	$9	6	6	+0	No	+$3	08-06 23:28
Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?	2	$9	11	0	+11	Yes	+$2	08-06 19:13
will home depot say revenue during earnings call	1	$7	12	0	+12	No	+$5	08-17 19:42
will spacex say iss or international space station during earnings call 20260730164309241	2	$7	12	12	+0	No	-$4	08-04 22:10
will trump say ballroom this week 20260807162748312	2	$7	14	0	+14	No	-$7	08-16 15:55
will trump say ai or artificial intelligence during cabinet meeting 20260727172357454	2	$7	5	5	+0	No	+$3	07-31 17:33
will matthew bronco williams advance from the ak al primary election	2	$7	10	0	+10	No	+$3	08-19 23:40
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	2	$6	5	5	+0	No	-$1	09-23 22:34
Will John Williams advance from the AK-AL primary election?	2	$6	10	0	+10	No	+$4	08-27 00:44
will trump say stupid question this week 20260731171342120	3	$6	20	8	+12	No	-$1	08-07 14:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 18:41:15	Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?	No	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xee6d80…
09-23 22:34:14	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xfdea76…
09-23 22:34:05	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xaf1052…
09-23 22:21:59	Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	SELL	15	49¢	$7	0xcd729e…
09-23 22:15:19	Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x728ccd…
09-20 15:20:24	Will Ken Welch win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?	No	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x1a56ea…
08-27 21:59:25	Will Matt Schultz advance from the AK-AL primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe82cec…
08-27 00:44:22	Will John Williams advance from the AK-AL primary election?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf277d6…
08-21 14:36:30	will jd vance say oil gas gasoline during his remarks in ohio	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x59c171…
08-19 23:40:13	will matthew bronco williams advance from the ak al primary election	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xf49a15…
08-19 16:14:24	Will Ken Welch win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x8cb3fd…
08-19 02:00:43	Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x451299…
08-19 01:29:15	Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	13	27¢	$3	0x3ba8db…
08-18 23:20:25	Will LaShonda "L.J." Holloway be the FL-04 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x3715e7…
08-17 21:28:21	will home depot say inflation during earnings call	No	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0x5f0933…
08-17 19:42:21	will home depot say revenue during earnings call	No	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0xd92261…
08-17 15:48:21	will matthew bronco williams advance from the ak al primary election	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x028d79…
08-16 20:17:34	Will Yen Bailey be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x895c5d…
08-16 20:12:06	Will David Burck be the FL-22 Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x96bd80…
08-16 19:32:07	Will Carey Baker be the FL-11 Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xdcd6a2…
08-16 17:56:18	will john williams advance from the ak al primary election	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x9f2a8f…
08-16 15:55:24	will trump say ballroom this week 20260807162748312	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x3f61d5…
08-15 00:02:48	will trump say ballroom this week 20260807162748312	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x8c8238…
08-14 04:37:52	will trump say hottest during remarks in new york 20260811183234691	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x4e638c…
08-14 02:08:15	will anyone say china or chinese during nasa news conference 20260812230553172	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xdd4a60…
08-13 15:44:39	will trump say zohran or mamdani during remarks in new york 20260811183234694	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xeafaee…
08-12 01:30:45	Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0x11d953…
08-12 01:30:43	Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0xe8d9ce…
08-12 01:30:43	Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	63¢	$1	0x002769…
08-11 20:30:45	will cava say tariff during earnings call 20260807205722562	No	BUY	23	79¢	$18	0x0685a1…
08-10 22:42:19	will trump say oil or gas or gasoline during tele rally 20260809153916673	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x516aee…
08-10 20:07:16	will hims say amazon during earnings call 20260807205625287	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xbb746b…
08-10 19:24:01	will hims say longevity during earnings call 20260807205625284	No	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0xd7c630…
08-09 18:54:45	will hims say amazon during earnings call 20260807205625287	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x50ff7e…
08-07 14:16:43	will trump say stupid question this week 20260731171342120	Yes	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0xab395d…
08-07 06:01:42	will trump say karoline or leavitt this week 20260731171342121	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x8e645c…
08-07 05:43:07	will trump say karoline or leavitt this week 20260731171342121	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x883e60…
08-07 01:33:37	Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee?	No	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x9f151e…
08-07 01:29:18	Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee?	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x0ad2bd…
08-07 00:58:41	Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee?	No	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x405412…
08-07 00:51:57	Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee?	Yes	SELL	12	70¢	$8	0x5aa4c8…
08-07 00:43:30	Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xd7f0e6…
08-06 23:28:14	will airbnb say domestic during earnings call 20260803163357341	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x745440…
08-06 19:45:56	will airbnb say world cup during earnings call 20260803163357338	Yes	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x843633…
08-06 19:13:54	Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x81df68…
08-06 19:08:41	will trump say stupid question this week 20260731171342120	Yes	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0x59c09d…
08-06 18:54:23	Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x429e23…
08-06 18:38:56	will airbnb say holiday during earnings call 20260803163357343	Yes	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0xd45742…
08-06 18:06:15	will airbnb say world cup during earnings call 20260803163357338	Yes	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x67619b…
08-06 17:23:27	will airbnb say domestic during earnings call 20260803163357341	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xbd97a9…
08-06 15:02:47	will trump say stupid question this week 20260731171342120	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xe98e1e…
08-06 13:19:02	will airbnb say world cup during earnings call 20260803163357338	Yes	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x3fbf47…
08-06 07:25:54	Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee?	No	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x9fd299…
08-06 07:25:50	Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?	Yes	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0x3e54bc…
08-06 07:25:44	Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xcfb509…
08-06 07:25:36	Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	9	73¢	$7	0x355ac4…
08-04 22:31:11	will spacex say weather during earnings call 20260730164309243	No	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xcc85c3…
08-04 22:22:38	will spacex say trump during earnings call 20260730164309244	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb14dfe…
08-04 22:10:59	will spacex say iss or international space station during earnings call 20260730164309241	No	SELL	12	12¢	$1	0xaba85e…
08-04 21:30:09	will spacex say weather during earnings call 20260730164309243	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5d2ed9…
08-04 21:21:48	will spacex say trump during earnings call 20260730164309244	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xbd7675…
08-04 20:42:57	will spacex say trump during earnings call 20260730164309244	No	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x7a1609…
08-04 18:09:53	will spacex say iss or international space station during earnings call 20260730164309241	No	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xc33e66…
08-04 16:07:23	will spacex say trump during earnings call 20260730164309244	No	BUY	14	82¢	$11	0x844337…
08-04 15:12:18	will spacex say tesla during earnings call 20260730164309242	No	SELL	14	42¢	$6	0x8e5445…
08-04 14:40:57	will spacex say tesla during earnings call 20260730164309242	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x055dcd…
08-04 13:54:57	will spacex say cursor during earnings call 20260730164309238	Yes	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0x2e312b…
08-04 13:53:09	will spacex say cursor during earnings call 20260730164309238	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xdc061c…
08-04 06:22:05	will spacex say cursor during earnings call 20260730164309238	Yes	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0xa0c56e…
08-03 22:31:12	will palantir say warp speed during earnings call 20260730163530770	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x706b58…
08-03 22:26:15	will palantir say anthropic or claude during earnings call 20260730163530773	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd48433…
08-03 21:13:35	will palantir say warp speed during earnings call 20260730163530770	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x38c8d5…
08-03 21:13:05	will palantir say warp speed during earnings call 20260730163530770	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xd47714…
08-03 21:10:50	will palantir say anthropic or claude during earnings call 20260730163530773	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x62fb18…
07-31 17:33:30	will trump say ai or artificial intelligence during cabinet meeting 20260727172357454	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x29360d…
07-31 15:41:48	will trump say ai or artificial intelligence during cabinet meeting 20260727172357454	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x35d0b0…
07-31 13:28:50	will over 50 senators vote for the clarity act 20260729193533307	No	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0xacfc91…
07-30 21:51:06	Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x4ce61b…
07-30 21:51:02	Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x9ef410…
07-30 21:12:23	will over 50 senators vote for the clarity act 20260729193533307	No	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x40a0d0…
07-30 21:11:21	will over 50 senators vote for the clarity act 20260729193533307	Yes	SELL	14	48¢	$7	0x900c1f…
07-30 20:47:35	Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x0b7aeb…
07-30 20:44:03	Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xbf47c7…
07-30 14:27:05	will over 50 senators vote for the clarity act 20260729193533307	Yes	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0x805682…
07-30 13:09:41	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0xb9a01a…
07-30 13:07:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	11	41¢	$5	0x676938…
07-30 09:02:45	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xba6f9f…
07-30 08:13:53	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0x881b43…
07-30 08:13:44	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x382188…
07-30 08:12:12	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0x7e6510…
07-30 08:11:48	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xcc8b20…
07-30 08:10:47	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0x2fb69e…
07-30 08:10:35	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x470381…
07-30 08:09:41	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0x3661ba…
07-30 08:09:30	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x479aa4…
07-30 08:08:35	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0x639b77…
07-30 08:08:29	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xa96e07…
07-30 08:07:39	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0xb9cd7f…
07-30 08:07:29	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xf7e559…
07-30 08:06:38	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0x0c2395…