Average-Photographer — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

8,211 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$582

$9.47K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-02 20:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 197 days

Categories

Other

97% 82% +$309

Politics

2% 74% +$19

Tech

0% 33% -$11

Crypto

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 580plus	1	$299	300	0	+300	No	+$1	04-18 05:12
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 580plus	1	$224	224	0	+224	No	+$0	04-08 04:44
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 520 539	1	$217	217	0	+217	No	+$0	04-11 07:52
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 340 359	10	$213	310	110	+200	No	-$196	02-16 08:32
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 580plus	2	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	03-31 21:06
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 580plus	2	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	03-31 21:10
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 0 19	84	$124	10,100	6,784	+3,316	No	+$6	02-03 09:24
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 740plus	6	$120	253	133	+120	No	+$0	01-31 09:42
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 440 459	1	$107	110	0	+110	No	+$3	04-04 06:29
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C or below on August 17?	2	$100	102	0	+102	No	+$3	08-17 09:16
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 8?	1	$100	0	100	-100	Yes	$0	06-08 18:12
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 580plus	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-21 09:23
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 580plus	16	$99	170	90	+80	No	+$5	01-12 12:43
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 17?	5	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-17 13:34
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 180 199	28	$89	592	712	-120	No	+$7	02-08 23:57
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 480 499	18	$83	290	102	+188	No	-$1	01-16 05:52
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$79	0	300	-300	No	+$79	05-05 06:50
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 580plus	1	$78	80	0	+80	No	+$2	03-10 18:43
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 560 579	6	$78	115	35	+80	No	-$9	01-13 13:57
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 540 559	8	$77	171	30	+141	Yes	-$34	01-13 13:55
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 20 39	64	$75	8,050	7,794	+256	No	+$9	02-10 20:21
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 440 459	9	$70	170	100	+70	No	+$1	02-24 19:34
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 500 519	14	$66	340	120	+220	No	-$2	01-16 14:40
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	2	$60	79	79	+0	No	+$20	01-24 22:22
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 580plus	2	$60	60	30	+30	No	+$0	03-31 19:56
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 580plus	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	02-28 06:21
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 580plus	1	$59	60	0	+60	No	+$1	02-15 19:31
elon musk 48h tweets january 3 january 5 140plus	5	$58	30	40	-10	Yes	+$12	01-05 14:53
Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.25 on November 30, 2026?	3	$52	30	30	+0	open	—	10-29 21:33
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 500 519	8	$50	110	160	-50	No	+$1	02-13 22:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 20:38:28	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.60 and $0.65 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xe7e1ac…
11-02 10:13:12	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xb6c391…
11-01 10:37:33	Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x97084b…
10-29 21:35:39	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x2faa70…
10-29 21:35:16	Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x1d5c6f…
10-29 21:35:00	Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x4f5cad…
10-29 21:34:39	Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x26d860…
10-29 21:34:31	Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	56¢	$5	0x437014…
10-29 21:34:27	Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	9¢	$2	0xab2f42…
10-29 21:33:51	Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.25 on November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	91¢	$27	0xa3dffc…
10-29 19:27:42	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x32d9c2…
10-29 19:04:40	Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xfef96a…
10-29 19:04:40	Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xb0fc6d…
10-29 14:31:07	Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x225761…
10-29 14:31:07	Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x1d8aa2…
10-29 14:10:07	Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xbc9fa1…
10-29 14:04:25	Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0xcb0e81…
10-29 14:03:53	Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xb3df0a…
10-29 12:31:02	Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xc1cd3e…
10-28 08:08:47	Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xccdf3a…
10-14 05:04:11	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $8.50 and $9.00 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x104a23…
10-08 19:48:57	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x489d39…
10-08 04:59:50	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0xc5cf5d…
10-08 04:56:23	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x844ea9…
10-07 19:58:40	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	22¢	$9	0x072a1f…
10-06 17:24:47	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0x9f1a3f…
10-06 11:04:25	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0xf11f35…
10-04 17:25:37	Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.25 on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x8cf5f1…
10-04 17:08:55	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $8.50 and $9.00 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x5c51c0…
10-04 15:21:53	Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.25 on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x32b565…
09-30 14:21:11	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x547464…
09-30 09:11:30	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xb9e359…
09-29 15:59:50	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xb9593b…
09-29 14:17:33	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x7c687b…
09-29 13:00:56	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x368401…
09-29 08:24:12	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x223740…
09-28 14:19:23	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x5d9037…
09-28 00:18:32	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0xe0689a…
09-27 22:53:41	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x0c2d71…
09-27 11:27:24	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x14ab28…
09-26 15:54:30	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xab4e4a…
09-26 09:15:42	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9e1d29…
09-25 07:59:18	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xa007ad…
09-25 07:59:17	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xa0bf05…
09-25 07:58:50	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0x2f5b31…
09-25 06:19:30	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	10¢	$2	0xcb338d…
09-25 04:25:11	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x88e96a…
09-25 04:24:54	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xff0f8f…
09-23 09:04:08	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x8882ae…
09-22 21:27:13	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xa726f5…
09-21 20:06:51	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x058634…
09-21 19:41:19	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	43¢	$13	0xeb7ca0…
09-21 19:39:58	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x484a00…
09-21 05:01:30	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x2ac02b…
09-19 08:01:48	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x700b09…
09-19 08:01:21	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x5f50f2…
09-19 08:01:06	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xced752…
09-19 08:00:54	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xd0ab4e…
09-19 08:00:42	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xc37b85…
09-17 11:47:15	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x08225e…
09-17 09:27:43	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xc54395…
09-17 05:00:40	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x6a2652…
09-16 12:58:31	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x5a1881…
08-24 18:58:09	where will it rain on august 24 2026 phoenix az	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x162a0d…
08-24 18:53:13	where will it rain on august 24 2026 phoenix az	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x9c6064…
08-18 04:56:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 18?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x9f9023…
08-17 15:35:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 17?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x11ed4b…
08-17 15:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 17?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x1d6e1f…
08-17 15:33:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 17?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$17	0x3dd0b8…
08-17 13:34:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 17?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xb53bda…
08-17 13:31:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 17?	No	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0x7288da…
08-17 13:30:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 17?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc14ec1…
08-17 13:30:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 17?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x0d5280…
08-17 09:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C or below on August 17?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x330533…
08-17 05:15:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 17?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xaf53df…
08-17 04:56:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 17?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x3b39fe…
08-17 04:56:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 17?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$12	0x642783…
08-17 04:52:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C or below on August 17?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xe98bda…
08-16 23:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on August 17?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xe7f7d9…
08-16 13:46:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0x040be8…
08-16 11:41:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C or higher on August 16?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8d2169…
08-16 11:33:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C or higher on August 16?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x808fca…
08-16 11:32:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C or higher on August 16?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd5c056…
08-16 11:32:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on August 16?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x8d7e0b…
08-16 11:32:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C or higher on August 16?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x793245…
08-16 11:32:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on August 16?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x6b0d69…
08-16 11:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on August 16?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x6f45ec…
08-16 11:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on August 16?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2bf473…
08-16 11:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C or higher on August 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x114255…
08-16 09:43:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on August 16?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x936960…
08-08 09:12:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x33ecb4…
08-08 08:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xce056e…
08-08 08:58:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x6f556b…
08-02 14:37:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x6bbf6c…
08-02 14:27:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 2?	Yes	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0xff360a…
08-02 14:17:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1bbc53…
08-02 13:13:17	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on August 2?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x14c546…
08-02 12:57:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on August 2?	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0xbe72eb…
08-02 11:50:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 2?	Yes	SELL	55	0¢	$0	0x5d3b13…
08-02 10:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on August 2?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x0e905e…