Realized P&L
+$12.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$144
Hit rate
62.0%
Resolved
2,561
Trades
315,214
lifetime
Volume
$6.14M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$42.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 22:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 195 days
Categories
Other
48%
89%
+$15,957
Politics
31%
92%
+$7,797
Sports
18%
94%
-$776
Crypto
2%
88%
+$1,581
Tech
1%
58%
-$11,834
Pop-Culture
0%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk
• peak 81 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 2,279 | $740.4K | 758,660 | 877,324 | -118,663 | Yes | -$146,794 | 03-04 16:17 |
| no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting | 493 | $310.0K | 0 | 330,527 | -330,527 | Yes | -$20,519 | 01-28 18:59 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | 173 | $231.6K | 32,789 | 235,398 | -202,609 | Yes | -$5,853 | 06-17 18:00 |
| will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting | 148 | $181.1K | 24,115 | 200,548 | -176,434 | Yes | -$21,217 | 03-06 15:07 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 2,252 | $128.9K | 112,990 | 1,523,331 | -1,410,341 | No | +$16,595 | 03-04 16:17 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | 70 | $87.5K | 88,095 | 46,433 | +41,663 | No | +$1,228 | 04-28 12:04 |
| Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 28 | $73.3K | 73,370 | 70,592 | +2,778 | No | +$327 | 05-05 21:02 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | 2,185 | $69.4K | 23,760 | 1,473,271 | -1,449,511 | No | +$37,548 | 03-04 16:17 |
| will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026 | 2,460 | $66.9K | 0 | 183,076 | -183,076 | Yes | -$116,213 | 02-09 02:32 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 28 | $65.1K | 65,157 | 78,805 | -13,648 | No | +$873 | 05-05 21:02 |
| Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? | 2,154 | $63.9K | 59,699 | 1,468,959 | -1,409,260 | No | +$4,479 | 03-04 16:17 |
| will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting | 149 | $58.8K | 41,872 | 183,242 | -141,370 | No | +$18,389 | 03-06 15:07 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | 2,264 | $57.6K | 6,146 | 1,609,104 | -1,602,958 | No | +$51,500 | 03-04 16:18 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | 15 | $57.4K | 64,950 | 0 | +64,950 | No | +$7,524 | 04-12 19:07 |
| will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election | 1,185 | $53.6K | 0 | 77,082 | -77,082 | Yes | -$23,480 | 02-08 18:23 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 161 | $52.6K | 52,230 | 215,957 | -163,727 | No | +$1,441 | 06-17 18:03 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | 2,282 | $46.5K | 14,101 | 1,468,112 | -1,454,011 | No | +$32,452 | 03-04 16:16 |
| Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | 15 | $45.4K | 45,408 | 63,955 | -18,548 | No | +$286 | 06-21 16:38 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | 68 | $44.8K | 43,598 | 90,997 | -47,399 | No | +$2,463 | 04-26 13:12 |
| Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 24 | $43.4K | 43,433 | 78,650 | -35,217 | No | +$153 | 04-28 13:30 |
| Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 23 | $41.0K | 40,997 | 81,087 | -40,090 | No | +$150 | 04-28 13:30 |
| will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026 | 2,380 | $40.0K | 0 | 166,374 | -166,374 | No | +$39,961 | 01-26 01:59 |
| will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026 | 2,470 | $39.5K | 0 | 183,165 | -183,165 | No | +$39,451 | 02-09 02:32 |
| will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026 | 1,648 | $38.7K | 0 | 51,654 | -51,654 | No | +$38,692 | 02-20 16:02 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 162 | $37.6K | 36,232 | 231,955 | -195,723 | No | +$4,024 | 06-17 18:01 |
| will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the 2026 costa rican presidential election | 45 | $35.8K | 0 | 36,165 | -36,165 | Yes | -$398 | 02-02 04:30 |
| will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting | 159 | $33.7K | 32,492 | 191,845 | -159,353 | No | +$1,662 | 03-06 15:07 |
| will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election | 162 | $31.3K | 483 | 53,883 | -53,400 | Yes | -$23,297 | 02-08 21:34 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 28 | $31.3K | 113,612 | 30,350 | +83,261 | Yes | -$2,008 | 05-05 21:02 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | 73 | $30.9K | 30,621 | 103,405 | -72,784 | No | +$626 | 04-28 12:04 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||