Sad-Beetle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$771

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

4,723

lifetime

Volume

$68.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 07-24 18:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

55% 100% +$8

Crypto

28% 100% +$0

Other

17% 100% +$763

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	59	$13.4K	21,832	21,038	+794	open	—	05-22 21:59
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	12	$6.7K	5,256	5,256	+0	Yes	+$763	05-12 10:47
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	12	$4.6K	3,812	3,812	+0	open	—	05-15 19:05
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	10	$2.1K	2,964	2,964	+0	open	—	06-29 14:37
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	25	$1.8K	6,184	2,001	+4,182	open	—	03-22 10:42
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	3	$1.8K	1,195	1,195	+0	open	—	04-26 18:17
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	6	$1.5K	1,914	1,914	+0	open	—	04-17 16:11
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$1.2K	1,586	1,586	+0	open	—	05-21 18:33
Will 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	5	$1.2K	1,435	0	+1,435	open	—	04-19 11:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$1.2K	2,194	394	+1,800	open	—	05-22 13:33
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	22	$1.1K	6,337	7,766	-1,429	open	—	06-11 17:20
will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	11	$1.0K	831	831	+0	open	—	07-16 11:21
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	7	$992	1,857	1,857	+0	open	—	07-13 14:16
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	11	$978	2,259	2,259	+0	open	—	07-20 11:37
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	17	$977	966	3,096	-2,130	open	—	06-22 05:49
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	23	$703	2,754	3,679	-925	open	—	06-08 13:47
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	10	$634	8,261	4,261	+4,000	open	—	07-02 18:44
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	10	$622	2,276	1,627	+649	open	—	05-24 12:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	5	$609	1,376	1,376	-0	open	—	07-21 18:37
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969	3	$481	962	40	+922	open	—	07-22 16:45
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	2	$444	334	334	+0	open	—	05-26 17:08
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	3	$337	797	797	+0	open	—	06-12 10:50
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	4	$308	600	600	+0	open	—	04-16 18:26
israel closes its airspace by august 15	3	$296	915	0	+915	open	—	07-22 08:33
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	4	$270	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-18 19:09
israeli parliament dissolved by june 15	3	$257	682	682	+0	open	—	06-04 08:42
will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	3	$238	382	382	+0	open	—	06-08 16:09
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	2	$225	149	389	-239	open	—	07-24 06:12
spy up or down on july 24 2026	7	$221	481	331	+150	open	—	07-24 18:54
Will 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	4	$206	455	455	+0	open	—	04-19 14:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 18:54:57	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0x0f5b22…
07-24 18:54:09	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	SELL	165	47¢	$78	0x06ec46…
07-24 18:36:16	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	SELL	150	46¢	$69	0x8a4eac…
07-24 17:20:43	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	BUY	81	10¢	$8	0x449319…
07-24 17:19:40	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x4f8002…
07-24 17:18:21	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xfa583a…
07-24 17:11:58	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0xf5a835…
07-24 13:16:27	iran military action against a gulf state on july 24 20260708212322949	Yes	SELL	117	59¢	$69	0xea497d…
07-24 06:12:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	SELL	389	44¢	$171	0x6dee2c…
07-23 13:24:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	BUY	149	36¢	$54	0xc5213b…
07-22 19:35:58	spx up or down on july 22 2026	Down	SELL	86	93¢	$80	0x43f964…
07-22 19:35:34	spx up or down on july 22 2026	Down	SELL	17	93¢	$16	0x30fa01…
07-22 19:35:10	spx up or down on july 22 2026	Down	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0xa91c42…
07-22 16:45:55	spx up or down on july 22 2026	Down	BUY	108	18¢	$19	0x81398b…
07-22 16:45:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969	No	SELL	40	51¢	$20	0xa6fa22…
07-22 08:33:00	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	325	30¢	$96	0xe3c2dd…
07-21 18:37:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	357	27¢	$96	0x9b041f…
07-21 18:35:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969	No	BUY	568	53¢	$300	0xea7e3f…
07-21 16:40:09	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x44a7ed…
07-21 16:37:39	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	296	34¢	$100	0x10865b…
07-21 16:35:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0x29099a…
07-21 16:33:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969	No	BUY	394	41¢	$161	0x1656ef…
07-20 11:38:34	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	Yes	SELL	271	14¢	$37	0xbc7939…
07-20 11:38:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,019	21¢	$214	0x6164ed…
07-20 11:37:48	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	1,096	10¢	$110	0x116998…
07-18 14:41:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	519	19¢	$100	0x07db5f…
07-18 08:05:18	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	166	17¢	$28	0xc188b7…
07-16 11:21:31	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	No	SELL	56	60¢	$33	0xdb2d98…
07-16 11:19:23	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	No	SELL	255	61¢	$156	0xc349e9…
07-16 11:18:55	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	No	SELL	9	62¢	$6	0x97284e…
07-16 11:18:44	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	No	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x53d3b7…
07-16 11:13:53	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	No	SELL	415	65¢	$270	0x509c50…
07-16 11:13:22	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x0358a9…
07-16 11:10:31	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	No	SELL	30	67¢	$20	0xf123ec…
07-16 11:08:40	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x7d2134…
07-16 11:04:08	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	No	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0x3d4fd5…
07-16 11:03:29	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	No	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x96b9b2…
07-16 08:21:46	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	No	BUY	831	60¢	$500	0x1ee24b…
07-15 10:29:44	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	Yes	BUY	271	37¢	$100	0x1abb0d…
07-15 10:27:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	519	19¢	$99	0x4fea5b…
07-15 07:30:02	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	412	25¢	$103	0x28541a…
07-14 21:39:08	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	586	35¢	$202	0x4cf3d7…
07-13 19:44:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x63d891…
07-13 19:03:02	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	SELL	676	15¢	$103	0x20069e…
07-13 16:09:38	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	299	34¢	$103	0x656c18…
07-13 15:00:53	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	287	35¢	$100	0xf63256…
07-13 14:59:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	676	15¢	$100	0xb5ff8c…
07-13 14:16:52	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	535	57¢	$305	0xd6c804…
07-12 20:15:01	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	535	37¢	$198	0x27c234…
07-12 14:28:13	btc updown 5m 1783866300	Down	BUY	72	44¢	$32	0x00dc21…
07-12 14:26:17	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	Yes	SELL	851	4¢	$32	0xfb5978…
07-12 14:07:10	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	Yes	BUY	851	10¢	$82	0x174305…
07-12 06:19:16	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	6	41¢	$3	0x12dea4…
07-12 06:19:11	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	SELL	299	19¢	$58	0x7fceed…
07-12 06:18:47	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	406	41¢	$168	0x3a587e…
07-12 06:18:01	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	348	23¢	$80	0xc7a059…
07-12 06:17:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	400	18¢	$72	0x5e22bb…
07-10 18:06:31	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	Yes	SELL	58	3¢	$1	0x84f4af…
07-10 14:37:52	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	Yes	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0xeb171a…
07-08 12:40:31	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	348	29¢	$100	0x8765c4…
07-08 11:42:35	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0xbae568…
07-08 08:22:17	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	BUY	299	33¢	$100	0xbd34c1…
07-08 08:19:22	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	412	24¢	$100	0x04eba4…
07-04 18:22:56	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0xf417a5…
07-02 18:44:38	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4,000	2¢	$60	0x1f66bf…
07-02 08:49:20	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,969	3¢	$61	0x3e3cdf…
07-01 20:50:22	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	200	48¢	$95	0x62d80e…
07-01 14:12:10	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,969	2¢	$36	0xf5c44f…
07-01 10:15:59	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	360	3¢	$11	0x14a8ae…
07-01 10:15:44	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	28	3¢	$1	0x6ca8fd…
07-01 10:15:40	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	96	3¢	$3	0x33e205…
07-01 10:15:25	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	794	3¢	$21	0x0fd7a1…
07-01 06:30:40	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,278	2¢	$23	0xc18fc8…
06-30 21:51:59	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 goals michael olise gte1	Yes	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0xbbf53f…
06-30 21:35:25	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x68a6a0…
06-29 14:47:20	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,014	24¢	$243	0x7d7ee7…
06-29 14:37:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	400	50¢	$200	0x15d8d1…
06-29 13:40:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0xd5d928…
06-29 12:19:01	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,014	17¢	$175	0xf3fca5…
06-29 12:16:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	697	68¢	$471	0xbfd7a3…
06-29 12:12:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	299	67¢	$200	0x4b7b0c…
06-29 12:09:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	398	75¢	$300	0x2a7c1e…
06-25 11:35:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	1,867	19¢	$355	0x9e6a0f…
06-25 11:25:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	1,000	20¢	$200	0x50b7fe…
06-25 05:54:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0xf8fe9a…
06-24 16:21:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	141	34¢	$48	0x7058a2…
06-24 16:20:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	SELL	176	17¢	$30	0xe5e82d…
06-24 16:20:13	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	909	13¢	$118	0xa70eb9…
06-24 16:15:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x288817…
06-23 11:27:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	176	17¢	$30	0xff001e…
06-23 11:25:56	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	909	11¢	$100	0x74beb4…
06-22 20:51:26	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x5dec17…
06-22 05:49:41	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	293	34¢	$100	0x10755a…
06-22 05:48:37	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0x1bb250…
06-22 05:40:01	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	130	38¢	$49	0x9551c0…
06-22 05:32:55	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	260	37¢	$96	0xa4d895…
06-22 05:30:20	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	62	37¢	$23	0x5f1e45…
06-22 05:29:46	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	22	38¢	$8	0xf40c98…
06-22 05:29:32	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	12	38¢	$5	0x23e372…
06-22 05:29:10	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x5c78cf…