Sad-Beetle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$771

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

4,770

lifetime

Volume

$71.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 08-12 08:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

56% 100% +$8

Crypto

27% 100% +$0

Other

17% 100% +$763

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	59	$13.4K	21,832	21,038	+794	open	—	05-22 21:59
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	12	$6.7K	5,256	5,256	+0	Yes	+$763	05-12 10:47
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	12	$4.6K	3,812	3,812	+0	open	—	05-15 19:05
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	10	$2.1K	2,964	2,964	+0	open	—	06-29 14:37
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	25	$1.8K	6,184	2,001	+4,182	open	—	03-22 10:42
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	3	$1.8K	1,195	1,195	+0	open	—	04-26 18:17
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	6	$1.5K	1,914	1,914	+0	open	—	04-17 16:11
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$1.2K	1,586	1,586	+0	open	—	05-21 18:33
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	9	$1.2K	1,379	1,379	+0	open	—	08-01 23:55
Will 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	5	$1.2K	1,435	0	+1,435	open	—	04-19 11:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$1.2K	2,194	394	+1,800	open	—	05-22 13:33
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	22	$1.1K	6,337	7,766	-1,429	open	—	06-11 17:20
will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	11	$1.0K	831	831	+0	open	—	07-16 11:21
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	7	$992	1,857	1,857	+0	open	—	07-13 14:16
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	11	$978	2,259	2,259	+0	open	—	07-20 11:37
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	17	$977	966	3,096	-2,130	open	—	06-22 05:49
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	11	$799	1,586	1,586	+0	open	—	08-12 08:50
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	23	$703	2,754	3,679	-925	open	—	06-08 13:47
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	10	$634	8,261	4,261	+4,000	open	—	07-02 18:44
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	10	$622	2,276	1,627	+649	open	—	05-24 12:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	5	$609	1,376	1,376	-0	open	—	07-21 18:37
foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	6	$492	785	785	+0	open	—	08-08 20:11
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	3	$488	322	322	+0	open	—	08-07 16:22
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	5	$475	2,141	2,141	+0	open	—	08-04 06:41
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	2	$444	334	334	+0	open	—	05-26 17:08
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	3	$376	339	339	+0	open	—	08-01 21:51
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	3	$337	797	797	+0	open	—	06-12 10:50
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	4	$308	600	600	+0	open	—	04-16 18:26
israel closes its airspace by august 15	3	$296	915	0	+915	open	—	07-22 08:33
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	4	$270	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-18 19:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 08:50:04	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	250	2¢	$4	0x2e4a65…
08-11 17:30:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	250	6¢	$15	0xc1e7d8…
08-11 08:26:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	250	6¢	$15	0x6230a8…
08-10 18:00:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	250	7¢	$18	0xedf58a…
08-08 20:11:49	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	Yes	SELL	785	33¢	$256	0x4fed6d…
08-08 12:49:10	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x6da709…
08-08 12:07:09	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0xbb8e4b…
08-08 10:56:01	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xf83216…
08-08 04:07:58	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	Yes	BUY	714	30¢	$214	0x8d461b…
08-08 00:18:07	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x897394…
08-07 16:22:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	322	90¢	$291	0xac384b…
08-05 13:12:26	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	163	61¢	$100	0xb6023b…
08-05 13:06:32	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	159	61¢	$97	0x19b418…
08-05 11:34:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	461	21¢	$97	0x968947…
08-04 21:47:23	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	461	27¢	$125	0x0530d1…
08-04 09:35:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	513	44¢	$226	0x06eb9b…
08-04 06:41:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	1,643	12¢	$197	0x9ec634…
08-03 17:42:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0xcc4cb5…
08-03 16:38:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0xd396f7…
08-03 13:07:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	643	10¢	$64	0x0c3e20…
08-03 12:01:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	498	13¢	$64	0x58f42b…
08-03 08:00:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x8b7ec6…
08-03 07:59:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	498	10¢	$50	0x2fe204…
08-02 16:51:54	btc updown 5m 1785689400	Up	BUY	21	17¢	$3	0x34e338…
08-02 16:44:57	btc updown 5m 1785689100	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xc82a0d…
08-02 16:43:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	112	47¢	$52	0xc33966…
08-02 07:38:20	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	112	43¢	$48	0x09541f…
08-01 23:55:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	231	40¢	$93	0xabb57d…
08-01 23:54:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	251	41¢	$103	0xec749f…
08-01 23:46:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	482	49¢	$236	0x1090c9…
08-01 23:32:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	37	56¢	$21	0x6c4474…
08-01 22:11:48	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	Yes	SELL	53	26¢	$14	0x66f995…
08-01 22:11:29	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	Yes	SELL	192	26¢	$50	0xa42037…
08-01 22:11:23	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	Yes	SELL	192	26¢	$50	0x8550c7…
08-01 21:51:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	300	60¢	$180	0xf917a2…
08-01 18:12:15	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	Yes	BUY	54	14¢	$8	0x0496e4…
08-01 18:11:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	39	67¢	$26	0xc93277…
08-01 18:09:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	339	55¢	$186	0x2f2da9…
08-01 14:00:26	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x3e9de0…
07-31 08:58:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x692b88…
07-26 07:13:00	iran military action against a gulf state on july 25 20260708212322950	Yes	BUY	76	2¢	$2	0xc12fd5…
07-25 22:03:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	339	50¢	$170	0x8c62b6…
07-25 18:47:33	iran military action against a gulf state on july 25 20260708212322950	Yes	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xa2ae15…
07-25 18:34:13	iran military action against a gulf state on july 25 20260708212322950	Yes	BUY	67	25¢	$17	0xf73644…
07-25 18:10:16	iran military action against a gulf state on july 25 20260708212322950	Yes	BUY	73	25¢	$18	0xd3e675…
07-24 22:14:45	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xa2b483…
07-24 22:14:45	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	Yes	BUY	332	30¢	$100	0x6f2f05…
07-24 18:54:57	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0x0f5b22…
07-24 18:54:09	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	SELL	165	47¢	$78	0x06ec46…
07-24 18:36:16	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	SELL	150	46¢	$69	0x8a4eac…
07-24 17:20:43	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	BUY	81	10¢	$8	0x449319…
07-24 17:19:40	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x4f8002…
07-24 17:18:21	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xfa583a…
07-24 17:11:58	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0xf5a835…
07-24 13:16:27	iran military action against a gulf state on july 24 20260708212322949	Yes	SELL	117	59¢	$69	0xea497d…
07-24 06:12:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	SELL	389	44¢	$171	0x6dee2c…
07-23 13:24:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	BUY	149	36¢	$54	0xc5213b…
07-22 19:35:58	spx up or down on july 22 2026	Down	SELL	86	93¢	$80	0x43f964…
07-22 19:35:34	spx up or down on july 22 2026	Down	SELL	17	93¢	$16	0x30fa01…
07-22 19:35:10	spx up or down on july 22 2026	Down	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0xa91c42…
07-22 16:45:55	spx up or down on july 22 2026	Down	BUY	108	18¢	$19	0x81398b…
07-22 16:45:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969	No	SELL	40	51¢	$20	0xa6fa22…
07-22 08:33:00	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	325	30¢	$96	0xe3c2dd…
07-21 18:37:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	357	27¢	$96	0x9b041f…
07-21 18:35:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969	No	BUY	568	53¢	$300	0xea7e3f…
07-21 16:40:09	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x44a7ed…
07-21 16:37:39	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	296	34¢	$100	0x10865b…
07-21 16:35:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0x29099a…
07-21 16:33:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969	No	BUY	394	41¢	$161	0x1656ef…
07-20 11:38:34	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	Yes	SELL	271	14¢	$37	0xbc7939…
07-20 11:38:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,019	21¢	$214	0x6164ed…
07-20 11:37:48	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	1,096	10¢	$110	0x116998…
07-18 14:41:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	519	19¢	$100	0x07db5f…
07-18 08:05:18	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	166	17¢	$28	0xc188b7…
07-16 11:21:31	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	No	SELL	56	60¢	$33	0xdb2d98…
07-16 11:19:23	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	No	SELL	255	61¢	$156	0xc349e9…
07-16 11:18:55	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	No	SELL	9	62¢	$6	0x97284e…
07-16 11:18:44	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	No	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x53d3b7…
07-16 11:13:53	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	No	SELL	415	65¢	$270	0x509c50…
07-16 11:13:22	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x0358a9…
07-16 11:10:31	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	No	SELL	30	67¢	$20	0xf123ec…
07-16 11:08:40	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x7d2134…
07-16 11:04:08	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	No	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0x3d4fd5…
07-16 11:03:29	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	No	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x96b9b2…
07-16 08:21:46	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	No	BUY	831	60¢	$500	0x1ee24b…
07-15 10:29:44	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	Yes	BUY	271	37¢	$100	0x1abb0d…
07-15 10:27:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	519	19¢	$99	0x4fea5b…
07-15 07:30:02	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	412	25¢	$103	0x28541a…
07-14 21:39:08	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	586	35¢	$202	0x4cf3d7…
07-13 19:44:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x63d891…
07-13 19:03:02	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	SELL	676	15¢	$103	0x20069e…
07-13 16:09:38	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	299	34¢	$103	0x656c18…
07-13 15:00:53	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	287	35¢	$100	0xf63256…
07-13 14:59:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	676	15¢	$100	0xb5ff8c…
07-13 14:16:52	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	535	57¢	$305	0xd6c804…
07-12 20:15:01	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	535	37¢	$198	0x27c234…
07-12 14:28:13	btc updown 5m 1783866300	Down	BUY	72	44¢	$32	0x00dc21…
07-12 14:26:17	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	Yes	SELL	851	4¢	$32	0xfb5978…
07-12 14:07:10	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	Yes	BUY	851	10¢	$82	0x174305…
07-12 06:19:16	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	6	41¢	$3	0x12dea4…