Humming-Bribery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$32

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

42.9%

Resolved

Trades

348

lifetime

Volume

$7.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-20

last 06-30 09:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

50% — —

Other

38% 100% +$39

Crypto

7% — —

Sports

4% 0% $-7

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+36	$5	14¢	$5	$-0	06-30 09:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran strike israel on march 8	3	$582	349	349	+0	open	—	03-08 11:00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	5	$451	382	382	+0	open	—	03-08 21:24
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$417	333	333	+0	open	—	03-03 17:29
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	4	$371	468	468	+0	open	—	03-31 11:08
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	4	$272	191	191	+0	open	—	03-08 21:22
nflx up or down on march 12 2026	41	$235	200	200	+0	open	—	03-12 15:45
tsla up or down on march 17 2026	5	$230	200	200	+0	open	—	03-17 14:36
nflx up or down on march 16 2026	37	$226	250	250	+0	open	—	03-16 19:01
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 4 546	1	$200	209	0	+209	open	—	03-04 10:47
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$200	271	0	+271	open	—	02-28 18:23
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$185	234	0	+234	open	—	02-28 18:37
will israel or the us target fordow nuclear facility	3	$183	304	304	+0	open	—	03-31 11:08
will trump visit china by march 31	5	$170	123	123	+0	open	—	03-17 17:29
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$168	485	485	+0	open	—	04-08 20:37
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	6	$164	142	142	+0	open	—	04-14 07:55
pltr up or down on march 16 2026	2	$150	100	100	+0	open	—	03-16 16:56
will iran strike cyprus in march	4	$131	329	329	+0	open	—	03-26 09:55
aapl up or down on march 18 2026	8	$130	200	200	+0	open	—	03-18 16:42
will israel strike 4 countries in march 2026	2	$124	133	133	+0	open	—	03-04 09:32
googl up or down on march 18 2026	5	$122	100	100	+0	open	—	03-18 13:34
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	2	$122	100	100	+0	open	—	03-12 10:45
Iran leadership change by April 30?	3	$117	227	227	+0	open	—	04-24 07:52
will israel strike 3 countries in march 2026	2	$116	111	111	+0	open	—	03-20 06:18
rut up or down on march 13 2026	3	$113	100	100	+0	open	—	03-13 10:50
tsla up or down on march 13 2026	24	$110	100	100	+0	open	—	03-13 14:57
msft up or down on march 12 2026	23	$100	100	100	+0	open	—	03-12 17:18
hezbollah strike on israel by march 31 737 523	1	$100	196	0	+196	open	—	03-01 21:26
bitcoin up or down march 15 2026 7am et	4	$95	100	100	+0	open	—	03-15 11:45
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$93	227	227	+0	No	$-7	04-15 20:45
msft up or down on march 17 2026	1	$90	200	0	+200	open	—	03-17 15:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 09:30:19	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xa17ff8…
06-29 19:12:44	will open dip to 4 25 by june 29 2026	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x509e2f…
06-29 17:08:08	will open dip to 4 25 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb2fbe2…
06-28 11:22:17	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	SELL	37	1¢	$0	0x0ae9be…
06-27 18:51:52	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	45	21¢	$9	0xa44006…
06-26 15:08:50	will amzn dip to 224 by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xdd7f12…
06-26 15:08:01	will nflx dip to 70 by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x3e5451…
06-25 13:35:44	will hood dip to 95 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x03eb8a…
06-25 13:35:43	will amzn dip to 224 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x75a5e3…
06-25 13:30:11	will nflx dip to 70 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xce837f…
06-24 13:08:56	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x7d2fe4…
06-23 09:24:28	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 22 28 2026	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x8124e2…
06-19 09:35:31	will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x4a3361…
06-14 15:13:30	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xd64e7b…
06-12 10:10:52	will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xe67f50…
06-06 21:12:55	will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x163260…
06-06 19:30:54	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0x87af35…
06-06 19:27:28	will aapl reach 320 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	59¢	$30	0x83c700…
06-05 13:45:30	will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0xf27ca8…
06-04 18:38:55	will ethereum dip to 1600 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb2951c…
06-02 09:41:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	30	52¢	$15	0x867833…
06-02 09:38:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf04a5c…
06-02 07:29:59	will rklb reach 144 by june 1 2026	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x007e71…
06-02 07:29:52	will rklb reach 142 by june 1 2026	Yes	SELL	40	22¢	$9	0x8b3d13…
06-01 14:48:03	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 in June?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xa07804…
06-01 14:36:05	will rklb reach 142 by june 1 2026	Yes	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0xb33a71…
06-01 13:37:12	will rklb reach 144 by june 1 2026	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x23227a…
05-28 11:24:27	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	2¢	$1	0xe2797c…
05-26 07:42:46	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	Yes	SELL	25	55¢	$14	0x56afd5…
05-24 08:10:09	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x2367b7…
05-23 19:48:01	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0xc7f371…
05-21 12:02:39	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0x619527…
05-20 09:25:38	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	23	92¢	$22	0x173ada…
05-18 20:32:12	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0x6d989e…
05-18 20:19:20	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0xcf9644…
05-18 15:29:52	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x87e488…
05-18 13:32:59	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xa5894e…
05-18 11:33:58	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0x41f155…
05-18 11:18:39	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	Yes	SELL	14	60¢	$8	0x09a57e…
05-17 05:13:33	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	36¢	$28	0x5db3d8…
05-13 11:08:06	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xfb286f…
05-13 06:47:35	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $256 in May?	Yes	SELL	62	2¢	$1	0x669631…
05-08 09:52:32	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	Yes	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x0d7fed…
05-08 09:52:13	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x31a8c9…
05-06 17:55:25	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x6cfff7…
05-04 20:11:08	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x7f258f…
05-04 01:05:14	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,600 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9592a9…
05-03 22:08:12	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x18ab1b…
05-03 08:19:26	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $256 in May?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xe43cf4…
05-02 18:52:20	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in May?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x86b4f9…
04-30 14:09:30	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x35ddfe…
04-30 14:09:00	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x158cb5…
04-24 07:52:54	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0x154cb5…
04-24 07:52:34	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	127	5¢	$7	0x247233…
04-23 13:59:24	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0xad2a24…
04-23 08:11:08	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0xf65e43…
04-15 20:45:44	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	227	19¢	$43	0xdff456…
04-14 08:38:59	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 14	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x04253a…
04-14 07:55:29	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x8a3e7b…
04-13 04:35:19	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x3475a9…
04-13 02:16:45	will qqq reach 620 by april 13 2026	Yes	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0x1648af…
04-12 19:39:01	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	34	47¢	$16	0x91abc7…
04-12 18:48:33	will fidesz kdnp win 40 44 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x3d16cd…
04-12 18:44:47	will fidesz kdnp win 40 44 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x059fc1…
04-12 13:43:25	nba chi dal 2026 04 12 total 245pt5	Under	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0xc485c6…
04-12 13:37:57	nba chi dal 2026 04 12 total 245pt5	Under	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xc0e922…
04-12 13:36:53	nba chi dal 2026 04 12 total 245pt5	Under	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x2fa09f…
04-11 19:29:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xaefd9a…
04-09 16:34:57	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	SELL	40	47¢	$19	0xf66032…
04-09 16:29:19	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x9e07cc…
04-09 13:55:27	aapl up or down on april 9 2026	Up	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x70f875…
04-09 13:50:55	aapl up or down on april 9 2026	Down	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x062dc0…
04-09 13:28:07	aapl up or down on april 9 2026	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa9b32a…
04-09 11:13:59	aapl up or down on april 9 2026	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x02de60…
04-08 20:37:15	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x67a5ed…
04-08 19:43:19	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xa54012…
04-08 18:45:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x2d52d9…
04-07 23:45:57	Will Netflix reach $105 in April?	Yes	SELL	19	78¢	$15	0x788e2b…
04-07 13:30:05	nvda up or down on april 7 2026	Up	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0xc9ec4c…
04-07 08:05:33	nvda up or down on april 7 2026	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x437b17…
04-06 18:21:47	will trump say biden during monday news conference	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x92e34a…
04-06 18:19:27	will trump say biden during monday news conference	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x10e549…
04-06 17:41:21	Will Netflix reach $105 in April?	Yes	SELL	16	78¢	$13	0xeb6f92…
04-03 06:15:21	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x28f523…
04-02 20:06:35	will aapl close between 255 and 260 week april 3 2026	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x8430d1…
04-02 19:56:39	will aapl close between 255 and 260 week april 3 2026	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8a1768…
04-02 19:56:05	will aapl close between 250 and 255 week april 3 2026	Yes	SELL	19	3¢	$1	0xfc9f71…
04-02 19:39:55	will aapl close between 250 and 255 week april 3 2026	Yes	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0xcf7d85…
03-31 11:10:43	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x18d388…
03-31 11:08:21	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	234	1¢	$2	0x628b4e…
03-31 11:08:01	will israel or the us target fordow nuclear facility	Yes	SELL	304	1¢	$3	0xda4972…
03-31 05:33:13	Will Netflix reach $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xff0a83…
03-28 23:51:02	Will Netflix reach $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xed53f6…
03-27 16:58:17	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x1ee5d6…
03-27 16:45:17	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xd1e8ca…
03-27 16:34:37	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x1e3fba…
03-27 13:05:39	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x267e3f…
03-26 21:21:43	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	SELL	93	60¢	$56	0x35736f…
03-26 18:17:07	pltr above 150 on march 27 2026	Yes	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x770cc2…
03-26 10:00:35	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	234	8¢	$19	0x7a84f1…