Realized P&L (90d)
-$26
Unrealized P&L
+$100
Hit rate
33.2%
Resolved (90d)
7
Trades (90d)
21
476 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$484
$4.69K lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$593
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-12 00:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
67% 93% +$778
Politics
26% 88% +$36
Crypto
4% 100% +$184
Sports
3% 96% +$69
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? No +213 $107 78¢ $167 +$60 11-01 17:48
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +300 $81 55¢ $165 +$84 05-28 17:12
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -300 -$88 54¢ $-162 -$74 11-12 00:38
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? Yes -100 -$53 56¢ $-56 -$4 09-21 17:59
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -110 -$20 17¢ $-19 +$1 11-04 15:59
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -250 -$7 3¢ $-8 -$1 11-01 19:22
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -200 -$7 3¢ $-7 +$1 11-12 00:39
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -112 -$15 4¢ $-5 +$10 05-01 16:29
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? No +7 $5 44¢ $3 -$2 05-19 17:24
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -140 -$6 1¢ $-1 +$6 10-29 14:42
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -52 -$7 0¢ $-0 +$6 05-26 06:40
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -150 -$8 0¢ $-0 +$7 04-28 12:33
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -25 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 07-26 21:02
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -36 -$5 0¢ $-0 +$5 08-20 14:49