Scientific-Appetite — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$360

Unrealized P&L

+$42

Hit rate

56.4%

Resolved

156

Trades

1,790

lifetime

Volume

$27.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$91

6 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 10-27 19:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

94% 37% +$52

Politics

6% 11% -$407

Sports

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	+2,131	$92	1¢	$31	-$61	10-27 19:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+154	$20	14¢	$21	+$1	10-23 18:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	Yes	+1,102	$24	2¢	$18	-$6	10-26 13:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	+36	-$58	30¢	$11	+$68	10-27 17:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	+161	-$35	4¢	$6	+$40	10-27 19:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+556	$5	1¢	$4	-$1	10-23 18:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	19	$2.4K	2,384	1,545	+839	No	-$229	06-09 10:10
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	37	$1.8K	2,806	2,806	+0	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	+$1,760	05-28 13:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	18	$1.8K	2,533	1,493	+1,040	Yes	+$791	04-29 13:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	9	$1.6K	993	980	+14	Yes	+$298	04-28 10:30
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	51	$1.4K	1,907	1,907	+0	Joao Fonseca	+$901	05-29 20:28
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	47	$1.1K	67,129	29,359	+37,770	No	-$873	06-15 13:29
will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	10	$1.1K	1,268	789	+480	Yes	-$243	06-14 09:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	17	$1.0K	4,704	1,704	+3,000	Yes	+$0	05-09 19:20
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul	39	$697	1,105	987	+118	Casper Ruud	+$81	05-29 21:14
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	34	$685	1,940	208	+1,732	Jakub Mensik	-$437	06-02 21:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	14	$590	373	373	+0	No	+$26	05-04 12:43
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	50	$509	1,096	806	+290	Jakub Mensik	+$109	05-31 21:12
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider	11	$501	603	603	+0	Diana Shnaider	+$235	06-03 14:42
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	57	$492	1,613	597	+1,016	Joao Fonseca	-$39	05-31 22:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	23	$382	4,924	0	+4,924	Yes	-$382	05-06 09:09
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Naomi Osaka	51	$359	828	536	+292	Naomi Osaka	+$7	05-30 12:07
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda	42	$352	3,461	2,068	+1,393	Flavio Cobolli	+$130	06-01 12:27
will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	6	$350	1,883	0	+1,883	No	-$350	06-26 21:15
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovic	15	$349	1,450	0	+1,450	Dino Prizmic	-$349	05-08 17:57
atp augeral djokovi 2026 07 07	16	$348	696	0	+696	Novak Djokovic	-$348	07-07 19:44
atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	35	$339	1,755	545	+1,210	Alexander Zverev	-$89	06-07 17:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	4	$328	175	175	+0	Yes	+$22	05-04 12:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	16	$326	964	233	+730	Yes	+$666	04-29 20:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?	3	$325	340	0	+340	Yes	+$15	05-31 22:06
Roland Garros WTA: Kimberly Birrell vs Jessica Pegula	11	$294	290	231	+59	Kimberly Birrell	+$104	05-26 21:11
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesana	52	$284	427	423	+4	Matteo Berrettini	+$92	05-30 16:59
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	28	$264	1,604	0	+1,604	Alexander Zverev	-$264	06-02 14:53
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils	4	$262	142	142	+0	Jannik Sinner	+$22	05-01 17:41
will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	14	$252	1,379	321	+1,058	Yes	-$162	06-12 07:01
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	16	$240	98,400	0	+98,400	Yes	-$240	04-08 12:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 19:59:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	BUY	62	5¢	$3	0x7dd8b3…
10-27 19:59:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xcd923e…
10-27 18:22:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	BUY	144	1¢	$2	0x1d68e5…
10-27 17:21:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xa4af77…
10-27 17:11:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	BUY	99	5¢	$5	0x0bc4ab…
10-26 16:58:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in October?	Yes	BUY	341	1¢	$5	0xa00d70…
10-26 16:07:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	BUY	216	5¢	$10	0x901a2f…
10-26 13:59:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	BUY	116	4¢	$5	0x7bf63f…
10-26 13:13:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x6f0578…
10-26 13:11:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	Yes	BUY	588	2¢	$10	0xfa9467…
10-26 12:27:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	Yes	BUY	295	2¢	$5	0x008abd…
10-25 22:14:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0xa0f9c2…
10-25 22:05:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	SELL	88	22¢	$19	0x974525…
10-25 22:05:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	23	57¢	$13	0x487966…
10-25 20:15:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	BUY	176	6¢	$10	0xa53d7c…
10-25 20:11:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	BUY	90	6¢	$5	0x290b6f…
10-25 19:57:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	Yes	BUY	91	3¢	$3	0xf62348…
10-25 17:46:09	European Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Tallon Griekspoor	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7247e1…
10-25 16:13:06	European Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Tallon Griekspoor	Jan-Lennard Struff	SELL	22	67¢	$15	0x5af45c…
10-25 16:11:54	European Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Tallon Griekspoor	Jan-Lennard Struff	SELL	22	70¢	$16	0xb4eb7a…
10-25 15:52:44	European Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Tallon Griekspoor	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xfbb143…
10-25 15:52:14	European Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Tallon Griekspoor	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xf7fb28…
10-25 14:14:53	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz	Lorenzo Musetti	SELL	10	65¢	$7	0x3ce77e…
10-25 13:59:59	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz	Lorenzo Musetti	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x27c7a3…
10-25 13:54:20	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz	Lorenzo Musetti	SELL	14	58¢	$8	0x2f1012…
10-25 13:48:41	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz	Lorenzo Musetti	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9fda30…
10-25 13:45:11	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz	Lorenzo Musetti	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x5e8f37…
10-25 13:42:21	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz	Lorenzo Musetti	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x2193aa…
10-25 13:40:11	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz	Lorenzo Musetti	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x3b4c16…
10-25 12:54:05	European Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Tallon Griekspoor	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xe0fcb3…
10-24 21:19:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in October?	Yes	BUY	66	3¢	$2	0x27861c…
10-24 20:28:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0x2c3707…
10-24 19:01:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	BUY	93	11¢	$10	0xa3dbb7…
10-24 18:59:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0x350f7c…
10-24 18:58:27	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Arthur Fils	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x741670…
10-24 18:57:29	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	SELL	4	58¢	$3	0x3ee63d…
10-24 18:57:06	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x564bfe…
10-24 18:56:38	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7617d8…
10-24 18:55:17	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x8c821a…
10-24 18:54:35	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb997d0…
10-24 18:53:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0x9f408e…
10-24 18:49:24	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x922387…
10-24 18:46:57	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	SELL	22	52¢	$11	0x5269f1…
10-24 18:43:36	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9b7768…
10-24 18:41:08	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x21a337…
10-24 18:40:18	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7ac8bd…
10-24 18:28:21	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0xd31fa4…
10-24 18:23:56	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe29ddc…
10-24 18:23:24	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x03629a…
10-24 17:09:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	Yes	BUY	36	6¢	$2	0x6adb11…
10-24 16:55:24	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	SELL	32	40¢	$13	0x3e9e0a…
10-24 16:53:20	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	SELL	45	42¢	$19	0x5b3699…
10-24 16:48:03	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x9286bd…
10-24 16:47:54	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xccba36…
10-24 16:46:44	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0xc4c81d…
10-24 16:46:24	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Arthur Fils	SELL	13	78¢	$10	0x76dae8…
10-24 16:43:53	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Arthur Fils	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x369f1d…
10-24 16:42:11	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Arthur Fils	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xf6d940…
10-24 16:37:59	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1dd3cc…
10-23 19:49:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	25	81¢	$21	0xc423ce…
10-23 18:07:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x84d763…
10-23 18:07:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	556	1¢	$5	0x1e963b…
10-23 15:52:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	Yes	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0xc985f1…
10-23 13:55:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	Yes	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0x8382fe…
10-23 13:50:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	49	70¢	$34	0x462322…
10-22 08:21:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	97	44¢	$43	0x0cc4b7…
10-21 13:55:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x2eb56a…
10-21 13:35:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x1bf0bd…
10-20 16:42:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xd6789c…
10-20 16:42:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xa34b3d…
10-18 21:47:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xf51d58…
10-18 21:43:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x59b516…
10-16 18:48:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	45	49¢	$22	0x59b578…
10-16 18:47:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	SELL	165	24¢	$40	0x2b2ced…
10-06 13:48:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb044a2…
10-06 13:48:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	BUY	264	4¢	$10	0xb7d8e2…
10-06 13:47:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x79634c…
10-06 13:47:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xf58229…
10-02 16:39:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	BUY	126	8¢	$10	0xdf921c…
09-20 12:41:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0x8021ba…
09-20 12:33:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 in September?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x7aa08c…
09-20 12:33:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 in September?	Yes	BUY	68	1¢	$1	0xb91d27…
09-20 12:30:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?	No	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0x981694…
09-18 16:00:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xa8cb5d…
09-18 15:03:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?	No	BUY	9,042	0¢	$10	0xff4c5a…
09-18 13:38:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?	No	BUY	116	1¢	$1	0x6d483b…
09-18 11:25:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?	No	BUY	9,747	0¢	$10	0x4d9eac…
09-18 11:10:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?	No	BUY	120,000	0¢	$120	0x37b8fd…
09-17 20:43:48	will wti dip to 100 in september 2026 from september 14	No	BUY	25,891	0¢	$28	0x7cb344…
09-17 20:23:22	will wti dip to 100 in september 2026 from september 14	No	BUY	19,000	0¢	$19	0x06b3dd…
09-17 16:14:09	will wti dip to 100 in september 2026 from september 14	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x684626…
09-17 16:06:24	will wti dip to 100 in september 2026 from september 14	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x0fc334…
09-17 16:04:18	will wti dip to 100 in september 2026 from september 14	No	BUY	18,000	0¢	$18	0x8873a0…
07-29 16:15:02	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3a9d3e…
07-29 16:14:02	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe23664…
07-29 16:13:45	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xfc39f6…
07-08 16:27:22	atp cobolli fery 2026 07 08	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x2380fc…
07-08 16:25:11	James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xde94fb…
07-08 16:04:52	atp cobolli fery 2026 07 08	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x34366c…
07-08 16:04:49	atp cobolli fery 2026 07 08	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x9e26fb…