Delectable-Census — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$880

Unrealized P&L

+$29

Hit rate

44.3%

Resolved

607

Trades

3,418

lifetime

Volume

$85.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$22

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 08:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 165 days

Categories

Other

43% 53% +$21

Crypto

42% 53% +$686

Sports

10% 55% -$142

Politics

5% 48% +$319

Tech

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	-53	-$39	19¢	$-10	+$29	06-04 12:12
Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	-10	-$6	94¢	$-10	-$3	04-28 22:54
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	-21	-$6	10¢	$-2	+$4	06-07 21:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?	22	$4.4K	2,206	2,206	+0	Yes	-$2	04-14 07:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	20	$4.2K	2,081	2,081	+0	No	-$2	05-04 21:16
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	46	$3.9K	4,460	4,460	+0	Yes	-$4	07-08 23:46
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	30	$3.6K	1,865	1,865	+0	No	-$1	05-04 21:11
Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	44	$2.4K	1,188	1,188	+0	Yes	-$1	04-14 06:11
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?	25	$1.7K	1,186	1,469	-282	Yes	-$51	01-05 01:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	10	$1.6K	1,301	1,301	+0	No	-$3	09-16 17:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?	9	$1.6K	807	807	+0	No	-$1	09-16 17:33
OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch?	79	$1.5K	1,403	1,521	-119	No	+$130	04-10 20:02
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	20	$1.5K	950	950	+0	No	+$79	01-16 03:34
Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2027?	21	$1.3K	862	862	+0	open	—	10-18 18:56
Space FDV above $15M one day after launch?	38	$1.1K	1,027	1,027	+0	No	+$48	04-30 17:44
will kylian mbappe score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup copy	22	$1.1K	869	869	+0	Yes	-$11	07-18 22:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	17	$919	1,134	1,134	+0	Yes	-$21	09-13 09:20
Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	36	$913	656	656	+0	No	+$88	04-30 04:31
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?	17	$833	496	496	+0	No	+$6	03-16 11:12
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?	42	$766	750	738	+12	Yes	-$5	04-14 20:00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$728	1,935	1,935	+0	No	+$2	07-03 23:35
Elsa FDV above $50M one day after launch?	10	$698	379	379	+0	Yes	+$56	01-21 15:47
Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	18	$681	407	407	+0	Yes	+$49	08-15 04:12
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	5	$679	454	454	+0	No	+$92	01-15 17:02
Yellow FDV above $100M one day after launch?	24	$672	497	497	+0	Yes	+$158	03-09 20:05
Superform FDV above $50M one day after launch?	28	$652	861	861	+0	No	-$21	02-10 22:03
LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?	10	$638	324	324	-0	Yes	$0	09-09 18:11
tread fdv above 500m one day after launch	10	$598	326	326	+0	No	-$3	09-16 17:26
laso finance fdv above 50m one day after launch	4	$543	289	289	+0	No	-$23	06-23 23:18
will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	21	$541	441	441	+0	No	+$8	07-28 21:31
Will Trove launch a token by March 31, 2026?	7	$509	272	272	+0	Yes	+$34	01-19 20:34
LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch?	11	$504	290	290	+0	Yes	+$11	09-10 19:55
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	6	$500	329	328	+0	No	+$25	01-18 12:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 08:29:29	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	68	23¢	$16	0x98908c…
10-28 08:21:16	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0xc1e474…
10-28 08:20:47	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0xbce6c2…
10-28 08:16:41	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	61¢	$28	0x785555…
10-28 07:38:23	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	85¢	$14	0x0b985b…
10-28 07:37:38	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x50e2d2…
10-28 07:29:40	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	63	61¢	$38	0x5e7420…
10-27 11:39:30	Jumper listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	No	SELL	98	70¢	$69	0x57a08b…
10-25 15:38:02	1win FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	23	84¢	$20	0xf4590b…
10-24 02:16:39	1win FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xcefce5…
10-22 16:05:06	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	53	71¢	$37	0xba36d1…
10-22 08:12:47	1win FDV above $30M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x6fe60c…
10-21 19:12:48	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x7cc8e8…
10-21 19:12:05	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x2e44d6…
10-20 21:30:09	1win FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	43	62¢	$27	0x65af6c…
10-20 21:27:35	1win FDV above $30M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x0f14ce…
10-20 13:06:12	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	Pakistan	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x48f782…
10-20 12:39:23	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	Pakistan	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x14e559…
10-20 12:39:05	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	England	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0xd75144…
10-20 11:36:33	UAE Tri-Nations ODIs: Afghanistan vs Bangladesh	Bangladesh	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x8ba244…
10-20 11:32:06	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0x02d8e5…
10-20 09:47:12	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	England	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x630ba8…
10-20 09:38:23	Will Australia win?	Yes	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x610e66…
10-20 08:27:37	Will Axis Robotics launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x14b4a8…
10-20 08:18:56	Will Australia win?	Yes	SELL	40	43¢	$17	0x97ef13…
10-20 07:51:13	UAE Tri-Nations ODIs: Afghanistan vs Bangladesh	Bangladesh	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xd97d3f…
10-19 18:17:03	Will AlloX launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	57	78¢	$44	0xa5b62f…
10-19 15:29:47	Will Australia win?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x577f15…
10-19 14:30:36	Will Australia win?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xc979dc…
10-19 13:39:33	Will the match end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	42	55¢	$23	0xcdbb43…
10-19 12:54:51	Will StripChain launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	55¢	$7	0x2b62f3…
10-19 10:38:30	Will Axis Robotics launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x88396a…
10-19 09:35:59	Will the match end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xaf90fb…
10-19 09:22:50	Will the match end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xd08f4f…
10-19 07:03:51	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x172c43…
10-19 07:03:23	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0x8ba5b4…
10-18 18:58:32	Will Axis Robotics launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xd19233…
10-18 18:56:05	Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	110	83¢	$91	0x0e2bed…
10-16 22:20:23	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	34	23¢	$8	0x77c331…
10-16 22:11:03	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x0d1d44…
10-16 22:05:51	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x23446a…
10-15 07:05:34	Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	36	74¢	$27	0x2c83b2…
10-15 07:05:08	allox fdv above 50m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	40	69¢	$28	0x9c57e2…
10-15 07:04:50	Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xe64a2f…
10-15 07:04:23	Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x68d17c…
10-15 06:30:02	Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x6d76be…
10-14 20:54:37	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x69e790…
10-14 20:00:49	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x9ff7b1…
10-14 19:35:45	crint pak lka 2026 10 18	Sri Lanka	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x491277…
10-14 17:08:28	crint ind wst 2026 10 14	West Indies	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0x8188a7…
10-13 19:02:28	World Championship of Legends: India Champions vs West Indies Champions	West Indies Champions	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x198c08…
10-11 22:22:26	Will StripChain launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xac3e06…
10-11 20:53:28	World Championship of Legends: India Champions vs West Indies Champions	West Indies Champions	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xce0a15…
10-11 18:31:51	World Championship of Legends: India Champions vs West Indies Champions	West Indies Champions	BUY	14	46¢	$6	0x4d1acd…
10-11 18:30:22	West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies	West Indies	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x635600…
10-11 18:01:51	Jumper listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x140866…
10-11 18:01:33	Jumper listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	No	BUY	13	58¢	$7	0x180ccc…
10-11 15:16:25	West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies	West Indies	SELL	40	38¢	$15	0x2c0aa5…
10-11 14:36:37	Will AlloX FDV be above $65M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	63	55¢	$35	0xf9f39f…
10-11 14:35:28	West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies	West Indies	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0x000902…
10-11 14:34:57	Will AlloX FDV be above $65M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	21	55¢	$12	0x449176…
10-10 17:32:25	Will AlloX launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	55	78¢	$43	0x2ac8e4…
10-10 16:33:13	Will the match end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	45	38¢	$17	0xb0db28…
10-10 16:33:12	Will the match end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0xfbdb5e…
10-10 16:33:12	Will the match end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x42de6b…
10-10 15:31:36	Will the match end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x19ed30…
10-09 14:12:00	West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies	West Indies	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x3c0b1c…
10-07 18:08:15	Will AlloX FDV be above $65M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	17	50¢	$9	0x3b36b7…
10-07 18:04:43	West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies	West Indies	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x284da9…
10-07 11:09:26	Will AlloX FDV be above $65M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x14ba4b…
10-07 08:00:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	15¢	$30	0xc93b81…
10-06 20:34:33	allox fdv above 65m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	47	65¢	$31	0x15d452…
10-06 20:34:14	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	30	71¢	$21	0xd1c00e…
10-06 20:32:41	Will AlloX FDV be above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0x464be6…
10-06 14:02:29	West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies	West Indies	SELL	30	18¢	$5	0x04df34…
10-05 15:10:01	World Championship of Legends: Bangladesh Champions vs England Champions	Bangladesh Champions	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x8f8b17…
10-05 15:03:56	West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies	West Indies	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0xc08ec3…
10-04 17:30:20	World Championship of Legends: Australia Champions vs Pakistan Champions	Pakistan Champions	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x87cce6…
10-04 14:36:02	LAPTOP listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	SELL	39	1¢	$0	0x8c320c…
10-04 14:35:56	LAPTOP listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	SELL	63	1¢	$0	0xefdeb3…
10-04 13:19:05	Will the match end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x19344b…
10-03 02:38:53	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0x39f392…
10-03 01:41:02	Asian Games Men: Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka	Bangladesh	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x5c683b…
10-02 19:26:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0x579b1d…
10-02 10:16:15	Over $45M committed to the Jumper public sale?	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x050c6e…
10-01 21:00:14	Steelers vs. Browns	Steelers	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xa3ea6d…
10-01 20:29:02	Asian Games Men: Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka	Bangladesh	BUY	43	57¢	$24	0x9e5d02…
10-01 20:01:42	Concrete FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9e5e79…
10-01 20:01:18	Concrete FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xbc46f6…
10-01 18:08:56	over 45m committed to the jumper public sale	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd410e4…
10-01 08:12:27	LAPTOP listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	SELL	117	2¢	$2	0x358b7d…
10-01 08:12:02	LAPTOP listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xc60e10…
10-01 08:11:50	LAPTOP listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x0c2271…
10-01 08:11:38	LAPTOP listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	SELL	90	2¢	$2	0xb53531…
10-01 08:10:51	LAPTOP listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	SELL	74	1¢	$1	0x002174…
10-01 08:10:38	LAPTOP listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	SELL	150	1¢	$2	0xcbb655…
10-01 05:05:20	crint ind lka 2026 10 01	Sri Lanka	SELL	34	15¢	$5	0x23eea1…
10-01 05:05:14	crint ind lka 2026 10 01	Sri Lanka	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0x103b89…
10-01 05:03:51	crint ind lka 2026 10 01	Sri Lanka	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xec9d22…
10-01 05:03:00	crint ind lka 2026 10 01	Sri Lanka	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x723cd3…