Kaleidoscopic-Brilliant — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$7

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

55.6%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

17 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$64

$64 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-12 03:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 27% $-7

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?	Yes		+47	$1	0¢	$0	$-1	05-11 04:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$29	25	25	+0	Down	+$11	05-11 10:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$13	65	0	+65	Up	$-13	05-11 10:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	3	$7	17	0	+17	Down	$-7	05-11 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	Down	+$8	05-11 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$2	29	0	+29	Down	$-2	05-11 10:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$2	9	0	+9	Up	$-2	05-11 10:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	Down	$-1	05-12 03:24
Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?	1	$1	47	0	+47	open	—	05-11 04:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$1	8	0	+8	Up	$-1	05-11 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-11 10:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-11 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	$-1	05-11 10:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 03:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x75ea1c…
05-11 10:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	25	80¢	$20	0x7dd2b4…
05-11 10:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0x3d9d00…
05-11 10:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xeb8cc9…
05-11 10:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x087e16…
05-11 10:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0x9a6987…
05-11 10:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x82f6b0…
05-11 10:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8a7fbe…
05-11 10:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x446eb8…
05-11 10:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf34367…
05-11 10:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1688fc…
05-11 10:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x69a562…
05-11 10:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x14061f…
05-11 10:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfe438f…
05-11 07:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x4b5e04…
05-11 05:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x28a5ba…
05-11 04:13:55	Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?	Yes	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0x14d7c0…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	11	$6.40K	243	05-12 03:25
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	11	$3.03K	71	05-12 03:23
Outlandish-Dragon-Curler 0x218f…17bc	11	$2.47K	147	05-12 03:23
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	11	$1.62K	336	05-12 03:24
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	11	$1.49K	81	05-12 03:23
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	11	$1.24K	116	05-12 03:23
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	11	$1.18K	85	05-12 03:23
Hard-Counter 0x32e4…beed	11	$1.05K	50	05-12 03:23