Realized P&L
+$12.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.20K
Hit rate
62.0%
Resolved
312
Trades
3,395
lifetime
Volume
$400.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$118
Open exposure
$16.0K
29 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 10-27 22:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 97 days
Categories
Politics
51% 68% +$10,136
Other
45% 52% +$2,828
Crypto
2% 33% -$743
Tech
1% 60% +$69
Sports
0% 60% -$17
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -6,108 -$5,188 82¢ $-4978 +$210 06-30 11:35
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +5,000 $2,900 72¢ $3.6K +$675 10-27 20:09
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +2,548 $1,647 62¢ $1.6K -$55 10-26 21:02
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +986 $385 97¢ $956 +$571 09-22 20:30
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,584 $811 59¢ $936 +$125 10-27 22:03
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +1,000 $710 72¢ $715 +$5 10-26 23:55
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +690 $521 97¢ $671 +$150 10-26 15:41
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +700 $293 62¢ $438 +$145 10-26 21:22
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No -338 -$271 86¢ $-293 -$22 06-14 21:39
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +300 $286 97¢ $291 +$4 10-26 13:13
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? No -300 -$252 94¢ $-280 -$28 06-16 07:14
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -250 -$156 92¢ $-231 -$76 06-27 20:42
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +254 -$184 65¢ $165 +$349 09-25 10:53
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $108 66¢ $133 +$25 10-21 23:58
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +357 $71 34¢ $120 +$48 10-14 04:03
ilhan omar federally charged by december 31 2026 No +159 $112 72¢ $114 +$1 10-13 20:24
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? No +133 $104 82¢ $109 +$4 10-26 16:08
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +300 $60 35¢ $104 +$45 10-11 20:29
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +244 $102 42¢ $102 $0 10-18 18:26
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +254 $204 35¢ $89 -$115 10-03 12:31
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? No +200 -$363 34¢ $67 +$430 10-26 16:01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +986 $373 3¢ $30 -$344 10-21 01:02
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +6 $5 92¢ $6 +$1 09-21 16:06
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +70 $3 3¢ $2 -$1 10-22 18:01
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +53 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 10-16 13:04
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +2 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 07-07 09:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +0 $5 94¢ $0 -$5 10-24 17:39
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 -$58 68¢ $0 +$58 10-27 06:37
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 No +0 $0 86¢ $0 +$0 07-21 08:37