Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$568
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
225
lifetime
Volume
$23.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$103
Open exposure
$4.23K
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 06-09 23:31
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
60%
Other
18%
Crypto
17%
Tech
5%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -2,608 $-2,195 82¢ $-2152 +$43 06-08 12:21
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +900 $184 75¢ $675 +$491 06-09 20:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +400 $364 94¢ $374 +$10 06-05 15:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +1,100 $334 32¢ $358 +$24 06-08 01:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +1,000 $324 32¢ $315 $-9 06-08 01:43
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes +300 $195 64¢ $190 $-4 06-09 10:02
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +350 $150 47¢ $164 +$14 06-05 21:04