Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$729

Unrealized P&L

-$80

Hit rate

56.0%

Resolved

138

Trades

281

lifetime

Volume

$6.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$238

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-26 17:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Other

49% 45% -$197

Politics

32% 34% -$117

Sports

18% 48% -$415

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+692	$173	18¢	$128	-$45	07-31 11:15
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	-87	-$77	84¢	$-73	+$3	09-08 14:27
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+121	$20	18¢	$22	+$2	09-16 10:39
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+54	$12	10¢	$5	-$7	10-19 22:08
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+318	$24	2¢	$5	-$20	10-23 15:55
situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992	Yes	+79	$15	5¢	$4	-$11	07-31 11:06
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	+63	$3	1¢	$1	-$2	07-06 21:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	3	$489	295	295	+0	Yes	+$89	03-05 19:24
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$340	196	343	-147	Yes	+$163	02-28 19:36
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	6	$338	297	297	+0	Yes	+$168	01-31 14:37
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$334	209	209	+0	Yes	+$84	04-08 19:12
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	9	$230	584	0	+584	No	-$230	03-15 13:41
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08 spread away 4pt5	1	$200	400	0	+400	Seahawks	-$200	02-08 18:53
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	3	$188	149	149	+0	Yes	+$100	03-08 22:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$173	692	0	+692	open	—	07-31 11:15
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	12	$152	966	0	+966	No	-$152	02-13 22:23
nothing ever happens khamenei	4	$141	142	142	+0	No	+$91	02-28 19:38
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	4	$133	289	0	+289	Yes	+$156	07-17 09:09
will ilhan omar be charged with fraud	14	$125	4,463	0	+4,463	No	-$125	02-01 00:19
another us government shutdown by february 14	5	$122	187	0	+187	No	-$122	02-13 23:46
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	7	$121	121	121	+0	Yes	+$81	02-28 19:38
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	6	$116	894	0	+894	No	-$116	01-13 03:30
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	1	$100	312	0	+312	Seahawks	-$100	02-08 19:25
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	1	$100	228	0	+228	No	-$100	03-30 14:17
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	5	$98	87	87	+0	Yes	+$63	02-28 16:21
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	4	$85	190	0	+190	Yes	+$105	02-19 04:36
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	2	$81	928	0	+928	No	-$81	01-23 21:42
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	1	$77	0	87	-87	open	—	09-08 14:27
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	2	$60	148	0	+148	Over	+$88	07-05 23:37
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	3	$60	171	0	+171	No	-$60	03-14 00:02
will the us invade iran by march 31	5	$60	386	0	+386	No	-$60	03-15 14:34
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	4	$55	291	0	+291	No	-$55	01-17 17:58
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	1	$50	85	0	+85	No	-$50	03-04 23:35
Spread: Ravens (-10.5)	2	$42	27	27	+0	Titans	+$12	10-04 20:14
will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	5	$41	190	49	+140	No	-$9	02-28 14:36
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	7	$41	331	0	+331	No	-$41	02-08 18:46
Colorado vs. Baylor	2	$40	59	0	+59	Baylor	+$19	09-26 17:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 17:29:30	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x48dd1d…
10-25 16:29:39	Spread: Browns (-2.5)	Browns	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x3e0439…
10-25 16:10:54	Spread: Jets (-2.5)	Jets	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x5fa9a8…
10-25 15:56:32	Spread: Panthers (-2.5)	Panthers	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x159337…
10-24 15:26:42	West Virginia vs. TCU	TCU	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xe588d2…
10-23 21:32:26	Air Force vs. Wyoming	Air Force	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xf67d7d…
10-23 15:55:20	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	9¢	$10	0x85a50d…
10-20 21:24:29	Spread: South Alabama (-2.5)	South Alabama	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x07771d…
10-20 18:37:29	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xf5464e…
10-20 18:36:32	France declares state of emergency by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	403	1¢	$6	0x92c699…
10-20 18:35:41	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x366a26…
10-19 22:11:03	Commanders vs. 49ers: O/U 53.5	Under	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0xa0340f…
10-19 22:09:01	France declares state of emergency by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	129	3¢	$4	0xace4e8…
10-19 22:08:24	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	23¢	$12	0x1dd8f9…
10-19 18:04:57	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x41b911…
10-18 14:52:26	Panthers vs. Eagles	Panthers	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xbe1087…
10-18 14:45:33	Ravens vs. Browns	Ravens	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x53c65d…
10-18 14:42:57	Spread: Colts (-7.5)	Titans	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x95ceca…
10-18 14:39:51	Jets vs. Patriots: O/U 44.5	Under	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x92c055…
10-17 17:38:53	Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan	Toledo	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x183158…
10-17 15:25:59	Spread: Northwestern (-6.5)	Northwestern	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x885763…
10-17 14:43:30	Spread: Buffalo (-4.5)	Buffalo	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xd531ac…
10-16 20:43:47	Memphis vs. Tulane: O/U 49.5	Over	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0xef486e…
10-16 20:37:50	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x375149…
10-15 21:27:41	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	68	59¢	$40	0xa02bc6…
10-13 18:46:15	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x5dc0ab…
10-12 21:05:23	Bills vs. Rams: O/U 50.5	Over	BUY	45	64¢	$29	0x45aeda…
10-12 21:03:50	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x704af6…
10-11 14:46:58	Vikings vs. Saints	Vikings	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xe1624c…
10-11 14:45:16	Spread: Bengals (-10.5)	Dolphins	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x84676c…
10-11 14:38:36	Bears vs. Packers	Bears	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x43d3b6…
10-11 00:56:43	Spread: Arizona State (-20.5)	Hawai'i	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1f1007…
10-11 00:56:07	Spread: Arizona State (-20.5)	Hawai'i	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xf92e59…
10-11 00:30:33	Spread: Nevada (-14.5)	UTEP	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xc6ca3b…
10-10 15:44:28	Spread: Arizona (-3.5)	West Virginia	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0x3d7327…
10-10 15:41:19	Spread: Ole Miss (-10.5)	Vanderbilt	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xd9c7b0…
10-10 15:36:48	Spread: Oregon (-13.5)	UCLA	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x3c6f39…
10-10 15:34:07	Spread: Florida (-14.5)	South Carolina	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x813611…
10-10 15:27:00	Spread: Florida (-10.5)	South Carolina	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0x22b939…
10-10 15:04:28	Sacramento State vs. Bowling Green	Bowling Green	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xa0f990…
10-09 02:28:30	Spread: Cowboys (-10.5)	Buccaneers	SELL	18	98¢	$17	0x61a244…
10-08 19:42:17	Buccaneers vs. Cowboys: O/U 45.5	Over	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x278b09…
10-08 19:29:51	Spread: Cowboys (-10.5)	Buccaneers	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xcdb33d…
10-08 19:28:57	Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)	Chicago White Sox	BUY	43	63¢	$27	0xc3c4e4…
10-07 21:52:16	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	68	59¢	$40	0xd25abc…
10-07 19:12:07	Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xdedda3…
10-06 22:48:42	Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xaff9e6…
10-06 01:14:49	Falcons vs. Saints	Falcons	BUY	53	66¢	$35	0x9475e9…
10-05 22:09:47	Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 48.5	Under	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xfa1ef0…
10-04 20:23:28	Lions vs. Panthers	Lions	BUY	32	66¢	$21	0x339e2e…
10-04 20:16:34	Spread: Bills (-3.5)	Patriots	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xf0c787…
10-04 20:14:14	Spread: Ravens (-10.5)	Titans	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x598a18…
10-04 19:44:46	Lions vs. Panthers	Lions	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x86dbcd…
10-04 19:43:26	Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)	Raiders	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xd0a867…
10-04 17:32:26	Spread: Bills (-3.5)	Patriots	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x008d8e…
10-04 17:31:11	Spread: Ravens (-10.5)	Titans	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x0d57b7…
10-03 22:30:41	Spread: Georgia Southern (-2.5)	Coastal Carolina	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x6cee46…
10-03 22:28:44	Cincinnati vs. Arizona	Arizona	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xf9b4c1…
10-03 22:27:05	Texas Tech vs. Colorado	Texas Tech	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x530c5f…
10-03 19:43:51	Eastern Michigan vs. UMass	UMass	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x17ff96…
10-03 19:37:51	Michigan State vs. Wisconsin	Wisconsin	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x311c39…
10-03 14:59:47	Michigan State vs. Wisconsin	Wisconsin	BUY	21	77¢	$16	0xd9edc1…
10-03 14:55:54	Michigan vs. Minnesota	Michigan	BUY	53	69¢	$36	0xef4fd2…
10-03 00:09:39	Penn State vs. Northwestern	Penn State	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0x43200a…
10-02 00:13:47	Steelers vs. Browns	Steelers	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x64968a…
10-01 20:18:15	Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico State: O/U 55.5	Over	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x421b59…
09-27 14:53:53	Panthers vs. Browns	Panthers	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x96ba3c…
09-27 14:46:27	nfl cin pit 2026 09 27	Bengals	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x6de17a…
09-27 14:43:33	Jets vs. Lions	Lions	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x2bd60b…
09-27 00:21:24	Florida Atlantic vs. Louisiana-Monroe	Florida Atlantic	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x9e1e73…
09-26 23:43:06	Arizona vs. Washington State	Arizona	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xa41fe4…
09-26 17:59:59	Colorado vs. Baylor	Baylor	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xddf740…
09-26 16:25:44	Colorado vs. Baylor	Baylor	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x0f273e…
09-26 15:24:33	Ball State vs. Kent State	Ball State	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x6f9fed…
09-26 14:48:17	Spread: Ohio State (-26.5)	Illinois	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x6f74cd…
09-24 12:32:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	44	56¢	$25	0xe24f64…
09-20 12:14:13	Eagles vs. Titans	Eagles	BUY	29	76¢	$22	0x3b4192…
09-20 12:13:16	Spread: Eagles (-7.5)	Eagles	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0x2a6773…
09-20 12:09:30	Spread: Patriots (-5.5)	Steelers	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc24757…
09-20 07:54:49	Eagles vs. Titans	Eagles	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x0c606e…
09-19 12:50:26	cfb ga ark 2026 09 19 total 54pt5	Over	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x6fa18f…
09-19 12:48:20	Arizona State vs. Kansas	Arizona State	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xf4444b…
09-19 12:47:15	North Texas vs. Texas State	Texas State	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xa52c4a…
09-19 12:41:48	Spread: Louisville (-1.5)	SMU	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xfd9a1e…
09-19 12:26:18	cfb arzst kan 2026 09 19 spread away 5pt5	Arizona State	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2595c7…
09-19 12:24:17	cfb arzst kan 2026 09 19 spread away 5pt5	Arizona State	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x42dfdd…
09-19 12:14:44	cfb ncst vand 2026 09 19 spread home 3pt5	NC State	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xb2ae3c…
09-16 10:39:21	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	121	17¢	$20	0x6fe770…
09-13 16:13:31	Bears vs. Panthers	Bears	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x3a2b48…
09-13 10:57:36	Saints vs. Lions: O/U 49.5	Over	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xf29ad2…
09-08 14:27:55	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	87	88¢	$77	0x253058…
07-31 11:15:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	92	25¢	$23	0x306617…
07-31 11:13:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	600	25¢	$150	0xaef02c…
07-31 11:06:35	situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992	Yes	BUY	79	19¢	$15	0x7827f8…
07-17 09:09:13	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	71	48¢	$34	0x0e527c…
07-17 09:08:09	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	18	47¢	$8	0x18eea6…
07-17 09:06:57	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xcdc151…
07-17 08:55:22	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	145	45¢	$65	0xccbe20…
07-11 14:08:53	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0xe08d38…
07-10 13:33:08	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	41	60¢	$25	0x97568d…