Private-Evidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$38

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

222 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$2.65K

$29.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

$132

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 11-10 07:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Other

49% 97% +$111

Crypto

30% 100% +$19

Politics

15% 100% +$30

Tech

6% 100% +$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.00 Week of May 4 2026?	4	$1.6K	799	799	+0	No	+$17	05-08 15:29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	3	$865	589	300	+289	No	+$5	09-03 06:55
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$802	810	0	+810	No	+$8	05-18 09:19
US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?	7	$801	806	0	+806	No	+$4	05-13 10:09
Will XRP reach $1.70 May 11-17?	1	$800	802	0	+802	No	+$2	05-16 09:46
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 11?	1	$799	800	0	+800	No	+$1	05-09 16:29
donald trump of truth social posts april 7 april 14 60 79	1	$739	740	0	+740	No	+$1	04-11 10:00
will xrp dip to 1 march 30 april 5	1	$739	740	0	+740	No	+$1	04-04 15:29
will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt80 on april 22	2	$644	645	0	+645	No	+$1	04-20 13:00
xrp above 1pt9 on april 8	1	$524	525	0	+525	No	+$1	04-07 00:40
trump out as president by march 31	12	$520	527	0	+527	No	+$7	03-09 10:34
will the price of xrp be between 1pt60 1pt70 on april 10	1	$519	520	0	+520	No	+$1	04-09 09:08
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?	4	$516	300	300	+0	No	+$12	06-14 15:32
will xrp reach 2pt1 march 2 8	1	$500	501	0	+501	No	+$1	03-06 11:32
donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 200plus	1	$429	430	0	+430	No	+$1	04-15 00:29
will solana reach 110 on april 19	1	$428	428	0	+428	No	+$0	04-19 13:01
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 140 159	1	$427	427	0	+427	No	+$0	04-18 01:33
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in May?	1	$400	402	0	+402	No	+$2	05-30 08:00
iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	2	$399	200	200	+0	No	+$1	08-01 07:12
will open dip to 1 50 in june 2026	2	$396	400	0	+400	No	+$4	06-22 01:37
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	3	$393	200	200	+0	No	-$3	08-02 18:43
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	2	$392	200	200	+0	No	-$6	08-02 18:43
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	4	$391	200	200	+0	No	+$2	07-27 05:52
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 Week of April 20 2026?	1	$380	388	0	+388	No	+$8	04-23 05:27
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	5	$366	200	200	+0	No	+$2	06-01 08:05
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	1	$366	369	0	+369	Yes	+$3	06-02 15:04
will ethena reach 0pt2 in june	2	$302	305	0	+305	No	+$3	06-18 06:13
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	06-01 14:15
will the price of xrp be between 1pt50 1pt60 on april 12	1	$298	298	0	+298	No	+$0	04-12 09:03
dtrump out as president by september 30	1	$296	301	0	+301	No	+$5	09-04 06:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 07:50:39	Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x3009f2…
11-10 07:50:12	Will CZ post 200+ posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x663fc4…
11-10 07:49:19	Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x29326f…
11-10 07:48:30	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of November 9 above $0.50?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x098870…
11-10 07:47:33	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $3.00-$4.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 9 – Nov 13?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa24e35…
11-10 07:46:54	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of November 9 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd44581…
11-02 09:44:24	Will XRP reach $2.00 November 2-8?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x17cf19…
11-02 09:43:36	Will Solana reach $160 November 2-8?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x0a2e23…
11-02 09:43:00	Will Solana dip to $20 November 2-8?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe5de4d…
10-23 22:02:50	Will Chainlink dip to $4 in October?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xee4a77…
10-23 22:02:36	Will Chainlink dip to $6 in October?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xfae420…
10-23 22:02:12	Will Ethena reach $0.40 in October?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x4ddf4b…
10-23 21:26:29	Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $190 end of October?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x3da22e…
10-23 21:26:03	Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $190 end of October?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x50e954…
10-23 21:25:50	Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $190 end of October?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xde8fc3…
10-23 21:24:53	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 in October?	No	BUY	94	99¢	$93	0xab2b45…
10-19 09:39:15	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x594772…
10-19 09:37:47	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $0.75 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	224	98¢	$220	0x841f4d…
10-12 09:24:49	Will Solana dip to $40 October 12-18?	No	BUY	203	100¢	$203	0x493ccd…
10-11 22:13:14	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of October 12 above $4.00?	No	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x112d3e…
09-04 06:02:37	dtrump out as president by september 30	No	BUY	301	98¢	$296	0x4bce99…
09-03 20:50:37	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	289	99¢	$287	0xb83cef…
09-03 06:55:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	289	99¢	$287	0x28a721…
08-24 06:37:12	Will Ethena reach $0.32 in August?	No	BUY	262	98¢	$256	0xe2a077…
08-17 11:21:46	will xrp dip to 0pt3 august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xf4eeb8…
08-17 11:21:24	will xrp reach 1pt7 august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0e32e5…
08-17 09:07:04	nflx above 40 on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3a24d7…
08-16 02:20:06	will ethena reach 0pt2 in august	No	BUY	138	99¢	$137	0x4b3859…
08-15 14:26:22	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xa3de9c…
08-15 14:25:48	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe210c1…
08-15 14:22:58	will xrp dip to 0pt3 august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc399a2…
08-12 10:57:01	will wti dip to 50 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xf060c8…
08-12 10:56:19	will ng dip to 2 00 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa06f93…
08-10 11:23:16	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x4dae6c…
08-10 11:21:37	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xc63404…
08-10 11:21:12	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xd0be1f…
08-10 11:20:12	Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x741046…
08-10 11:06:03	will xrp dip to 0pt3 august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0xf79728…
08-03 06:15:24	will solana dip to 0 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x2f1c36…
08-03 06:00:36	will xrp dip to 0pt4 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x4128c7…
08-03 06:00:06	will xrp reach 1pt8 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x0b50ae…
08-03 05:54:51	open above 1 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x27aba1…
08-02 18:43:47	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$195	0x293022…
08-02 18:43:17	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	SELL	200	97¢	$193	0x03549a…
08-01 10:48:08	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xf83dae…
08-01 10:10:38	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xae4353…
08-01 10:09:41	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf800f7…
08-01 09:48:21	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0x3de154…
08-01 07:12:32	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x18adf4…
07-27 14:39:42	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xa008d1…
07-27 05:52:46	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$197	0x4618a8…
07-27 04:07:54	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0x37ec7f…
07-27 01:04:34	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x325ca8…
07-27 01:04:09	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	75	97¢	$73	0x603594…
07-27 00:55:22	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	91	97¢	$88	0xb7aaa7…
07-26 16:32:30	will xrp reach 2 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ef362…
07-26 10:31:04	will xrp reach 2 in july 2026	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x2a0a84…
07-26 10:29:27	will xrp reach 2 in july 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc0a3fc…
07-25 08:23:58	will xrp reach 2 in july 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x36d616…
07-19 18:48:09	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	77	98¢	$75	0xe0f472…
07-19 08:16:01	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	203	98¢	$198	0x72766c…
07-18 09:45:19	Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x16f527…
07-18 09:42:43	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$20 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0xe68003…
07-18 09:42:19	nflx above 30 on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x925cd0…
07-18 09:41:48	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0x77b0f1…
07-18 09:41:25	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $1.00-$2.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x471e39…
07-15 02:02:26	nflx above 110 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x805ea5…
07-15 02:01:56	open above 7pt5 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd425dd…
07-15 02:01:40	open above 3 on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x06aa26…
07-15 02:00:59	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x978332…
07-15 02:00:35	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa3adca…
07-13 14:39:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	300	97¢	$291	0x821e76…
07-12 01:35:11	will wti dip to 40 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	171	100¢	$171	0x227fae…
07-12 01:31:41	nflx above 20 on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x98d766…
07-12 01:31:11	nflx above 10 on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x3e84d4…
07-12 01:30:55	nflx above 30 on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0x2764cb…
07-07 11:05:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	300	96¢	$288	0x42ab37…
07-07 10:28:16	Will Khamenei post 35-39 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x436727…
07-07 10:26:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x5a417e…
07-01 14:58:32	open above 7pt5 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x15d1e2…
07-01 14:57:58	will open dip to 2 75 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x40bf58…
07-01 14:57:34	will ng dip to 2 70 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb29819…
07-01 14:57:19	will ng dip to 2 60 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xccac3f…
07-01 14:56:19	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 29 – Jul 3?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x636df9…
07-01 14:55:49	nflx above 130 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x11a840…
07-01 14:55:17	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $1.00-$2.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 29 – Jul 3?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x302281…
07-01 14:54:35	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	162	98¢	$159	0x9e2d1a…
06-22 01:37:44	will open dip to 1 50 in june 2026	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0xc567b1…
06-22 01:37:22	will open dip to 1 50 in june 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x897883…
06-20 13:11:07	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x0a008d…
06-20 13:08:10	nflx above 180 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb07b5c…
06-20 11:51:07	nflx above 140 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	138	99¢	$137	0xb7a84f…
06-20 11:50:49	nflx above 140 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb552b0…
06-18 06:28:59	open above 6pt5 on june 19 2026	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x916ad2…
06-18 06:28:19	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x17a3b9…
06-18 06:28:08	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x958bfa…
06-18 06:27:19	open above 2pt5 on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x3a25e4…
06-18 06:15:29	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x7e6764…
06-18 06:13:28	will ethena reach 0pt2 in june	No	BUY	231	99¢	$229	0x2c58b8…
06-18 06:12:59	will ethena reach 0pt2 in june	No	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0x860137…