Secret-Rain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$461

Unrealized P&L

+$305

Hit rate

57.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$268.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$3.31K

Open exposure

$21.5K

1 position

First seen

2026-05-11

last 11-01 15:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

74% 67% +$1,084

Politics

23% 33% -$1,164

Crypto

3% 79% -$381

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No		+21,690	$21,223	99¢	$21.5K	+$305	11-01 15:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	3	$40.4K	22,470	22,470	+0	open	—	05-22 08:29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	4	$36.0K	18,698	18,698	+0	No	+$143	05-18 08:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	4	$29.9K	15,254	15,254	+0	No	-$119	05-22 08:29
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	6	$24.9K	13,046	13,046	+0	No	+$126	05-22 08:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	3	$21.2K	21,690	0	+21,690	open	—	11-01 15:46
will wti dip to 85 in september 2026	2	$20.0K	20,543	0	+20,543	No	+$573	09-30 06:25
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	2	$19.5K	10,124	10,124	+0	No	-$599	05-22 08:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$15.9K	8,165	8,165	+0	No	-$94	05-22 08:30
Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?	3	$13.0K	7,436	7,436	+0	Yes	-$986	05-22 08:30
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	4	$12.9K	8,991	8,991	+0	open	—	05-22 08:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	13	$7.4K	8,000	0	+8,000	No	+$620	10-02 13:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?	2	$5.4K	5,512	0	+5,512	No	+$94	10-29 17:37
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	1	$5.0K	5,276	0	+5,276	No	+$256	05-17 18:01
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	3	$5.0K	5,330	0	+5,330	No	+$340	05-12 19:02
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	8	$3.6K	6,881	6,881	+0	Yes	-$435	05-20 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$1.0K	641	641	+0	Down	+$44	05-18 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	1	$500	507	0	+507	Down	+$7	05-18 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	1	$500	505	0	+505	Up	-$500	05-20 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$500	517	0	+517	Up	+$17	05-20 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	1	$500	556	0	+556	Up	+$56	05-19 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	1	$500	520	0	+520	Down	+$20	05-19 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	1	$500	505	0	+505	Down	+$5	05-19 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	1	$500	505	0	+505	Down	+$5	05-20 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	1	$500	505	0	+505	Up	+$5	05-20 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	1	$500	505	0	+505	Down	+$5	05-19 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	1	$500	506	0	+506	Down	+$6	05-19 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	1	$500	507	0	+507	Down	+$7	05-18 16:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$500	510	0	+510	Up	+$10	05-18 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	1	$500	511	0	+511	Up	+$11	05-19 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$174	180	180	+0	Down	-$26	06-01 17:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 15:46:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	BUY	1,690	98¢	$1,653	0x90694b…
10-31 15:58:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	BUY	10,000	98¢	$9,770	0x452c28…
10-29 17:37:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?	No	BUY	3,078	98¢	$3,026	0x6e0fcb…
10-29 17:35:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?	No	BUY	2,434	98¢	$2,393	0x283db6…
10-02 13:02:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	No	BUY	1,232	90¢	$1,109	0x383106…
10-02 13:01:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	No	BUY	176	90¢	$158	0xe7121f…
10-02 13:01:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	No	BUY	176	90¢	$158	0x9898be…
10-02 13:01:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	No	BUY	176	90¢	$158	0x22e3e6…
10-02 13:01:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	No	BUY	176	90¢	$158	0x63c91d…
10-02 12:05:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	No	BUY	64	90¢	$58	0x7d6e5a…
10-01 19:21:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	No	BUY	3,257	93¢	$3,029	0x2aced9…
10-01 18:31:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0xcfa0b3…
10-01 17:13:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	No	BUY	800	93¢	$744	0x71b20d…
10-01 17:09:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	No	BUY	600	93¢	$558	0xa5097f…
10-01 16:41:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	No	BUY	300	93¢	$279	0x2af312…
10-01 16:30:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	No	BUY	950	93¢	$884	0xf9e644…
10-01 15:28:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xbb1adf…
09-30 06:25:27	will wti dip to 85 in september 2026	No	BUY	10,249	97¢	$9,970	0x665ace…
09-30 06:24:30	will wti dip to 85 in september 2026	No	BUY	10,294	97¢	$10,000	0x2b6b58…
06-01 17:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	180	41¢	$74	0xb4a2c6…
06-01 17:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	180	55¢	$100	0xf06e2b…
06-01 14:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x1da730…
05-28 13:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x634e83…
05-22 08:30:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	8,165	97¢	$7,906	0xe952de…
05-22 08:30:20	Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?	Yes	SELL	7,436	81¢	$6,014	0x52b90e…
05-22 08:30:15	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	SELL	6,798	56¢	$3,803	0x86799e…
05-22 08:30:15	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	SELL	2,193	81¢	$1,785	0x641d65…
05-22 08:30:06	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	SELL	10,124	93¢	$9,451	0xf07da6…
05-22 08:29:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	SELL	10,342	98¢	$10,132	0xf8ecc8…
05-22 08:29:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	SELL	4,912	96¢	$4,739	0xf434bb…
05-22 08:29:31	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22,470	91¢	$20,447	0x4f8c4d…
05-22 08:27:48	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	13,046	96¢	$12,536	0xdf95d0…
05-20 14:38:00	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1,650	96¢	$1,580	0xb80851…
05-20 14:36:14	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	SELL	3,941	21¢	$829	0x6894f1…
05-20 12:31:01	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	SELL	732	26¢	$190	0x4b7b56…
05-20 12:27:48	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	SELL	115	26¢	$30	0xc89133…
05-20 12:07:39	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	SELL	12	26¢	$3	0xcc32d7…
05-20 12:06:50	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	SELL	1,857	26¢	$483	0xae974a…
05-20 12:01:33	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	SELL	225	26¢	$58	0x70097f…
05-20 08:43:33	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1,944	94¢	$1,830	0x9492c3…
05-20 08:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0x7a789a…
05-20 08:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	133	99¢	$131	0x643901…
05-20 07:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	517	97¢	$500	0x66d780…
05-20 07:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0x5f4e33…
05-20 07:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0x9d1dc8…
05-19 15:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	556	90¢	$500	0x8b5820…
05-19 13:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0x82e470…
05-19 10:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	506	99¢	$500	0x0ad3ef…
05-19 10:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	511	98¢	$500	0xbbe362…
05-19 10:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	520	96¢	$500	0x353128…
05-19 07:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0x0477e7…
05-19 07:38:24	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xcaac87…
05-19 07:27:45	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	6,781	29¢	$2,000	0xc8cf28…
05-19 07:25:48	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1,031	97¢	$1,000	0x8170e6…
05-18 18:57:28	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	BUY	10,124	99¢	$10,050	0xf6ebd9…
05-18 16:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	507	99¢	$500	0x74a470…
05-18 16:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x74023f…
05-18 15:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	510	98¢	$500	0xe6f97d…
05-18 14:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	641	85¢	$544	0x716cd1…
05-18 14:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	641	78¢	$500	0x1cc7b4…
05-18 09:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	507	99¢	$500	0x405f78…
05-18 08:33:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	8,165	98¢	$8,000	0xef2a6a…
05-18 08:16:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	18,698	97¢	$18,093	0xaa261e…
05-17 18:01:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	5,276	95¢	$5,020	0x2454f8…
05-16 07:25:41	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	2,842	95¢	$2,700	0xa64e7b…
05-16 07:25:12	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	2,769	83¢	$2,298	0xd246fd…
05-16 07:20:33	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	5,579	95¢	$5,300	0x90e5f3…
05-13 14:19:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x5fcfa2…
05-13 14:18:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	15,233	98¢	$14,970	0xb0955e…
05-12 19:02:04	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,055	94¢	$990	0x0ec93f…
05-12 19:01:20	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2,136	94¢	$2,000	0xf036e1…
05-12 19:00:52	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2,139	93¢	$2,000	0xede4ad…
05-12 11:21:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x5edfe1…
05-12 11:18:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	8,229	96¢	$7,900	0xac6a29…
05-12 11:17:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	10,417	96¢	$10,000	0x14b614…
05-12 11:15:31	Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?	Yes	BUY	2,127	94¢	$2,000	0x8f04fe…
05-12 07:33:56	Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?	Yes	BUY	5,309	94¢	$5,000	0xec52f4…
05-12 07:33:12	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	6,222	80¢	$5,000	0x6426f8…
05-11 14:21:52	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11,234	89¢	$9,998	0x2f23e0…
05-11 14:19:27	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11,236	89¢	$10,000	0x2d9ffd…