Realized P&L
-$542
Unrealized P&L
-$16
Hit rate
50.2%
Resolved
777
Trades
1,628
lifetime
Volume
$12.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$130
27 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 10-29 12:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 138 days
Categories
Other
55% 45% -$249
Sports
29% 38% -$153
Politics
12% 36% +$60
Crypto
3% 41% -$166
Tech
1% 14% -$35
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +23 $5 30¢ $7 +$2 10-28 01:53
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 86¢ $6 +$1 10-27 00:25
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +12 $5 48¢ $6 +$1 10-27 19:00
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +16 $5 36¢ $6 +$1 10-27 14:49
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +12 $5 48¢ $6 +$1 10-28 22:24
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $5 40¢ $5 +$0 10-27 00:01
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +7 $5 75¢ $5 +$0 10-27 18:29
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +8 $5 64¢ $5 +$0 10-26 23:50
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +11 $5 46¢ $5 +$0 10-28 07:30
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +12 $5 44¢ $5 +$0 10-28 17:58
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +7 $5 75¢ $5 +$0 10-29 09:36
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +7 $5 70¢ $5 +$0 10-28 16:19
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +8 $5 67¢ $5 +$0 10-29 12:38
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +6 $5 79¢ $5 +$0 10-28 13:42
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +7 $5 68¢ $5 +$0 10-29 09:42
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +7 $5 70¢ $5 +$0 10-29 11:55
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +7 $5 70¢ $5 +$0 10-27 17:37
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +7 $5 72¢ $5 +$0 10-29 11:55
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +7 $5 72¢ $5 $0 10-29 06:06
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? No +8 $5 62¢ $5 $0 10-29 00:05
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +8 $5 62¢ $5 $0 10-27 00:12
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +6 $5 72¢ $5 $0 10-28 09:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +11 $5 38¢ $4 -$1 10-27 16:05
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +7 $5 57¢ $4 -$1 10-26 23:33
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? No +7 $5 46¢ $3 -$2 10-28 19:42
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +4 $2 60¢ $2 +$0 10-27 00:17
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? No +0 $19 2¢ $0 -$19 10-09 00:58