Realized P&L
-$788
Unrealized P&L
-$44
Hit rate
66.3%
Resolved
618
Trades
1,530
lifetime
Volume
$14.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$26
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 10-25 23:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Other
50% 37% -$72
Crypto
41% 41% -$597
Sports
6% 49% -$81
Tech
2% — —
Politics
1% 0% -$38
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +556 $5 2¢ $9 +$4 07-12 23:29
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +96 $5 4¢ $4 -$1 07-12 23:30
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,250 $10 0¢ $3 -$7 07-12 23:29
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +1,500 $6 0¢ $2 -$4 07-30 19:41
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +1,250 $6 0¢ $2 -$4 07-30 19:53
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,180 $8 0¢ $2 -$7 07-30 19:48
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +966 $5 0¢ $1 -$4 07-12 23:21
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +792 $5 0¢ $1 -$4 07-12 23:20
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +366 $7 0¢ $1 -$7 07-12 23:23
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +278 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 07-12 23:21
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +328 $8 0¢ $0 -$7 07-12 23:21