Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

-$27

Hit rate

49.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$114

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$55

7 positions

First seen

2026-11-10

last 11-10 18:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

93% 50% -$10

Politics

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	No	+37	$12	38¢	$14	+$3	11-10 14:18
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $187.5B by November 30?	Yes	+22	$12	53¢	$12	-$1	11-10 16:18
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $118B by November 30?	Yes	+22	$16	50¢	$11	-$5	11-10 18:19
Will Geraldo Alckmin be the next Brazilian Minister of Finance?	Yes	+22	$9	35¢	$8	-$1	11-10 17:33
Will EH Bildu win exactly 8 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	+13	$8	54¢	$7	-$1	11-10 14:20
Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+52	$22	4¢	$2	-$20	11-10 15:48
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.02% in November?	Yes	+22	$4	8¢	$2	-$2	11-10 14:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 18:19:49	Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $118B by November 30?	Yes	BUY	22	72¢	$16	0xad8087…
11-10 17:33:19	Will Geraldo Alckmin be the next Brazilian Minister of Finance?	Yes	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0xe5ff75…
11-10 16:18:19	Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $187.5B by November 30?	Yes	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0x1eacd7…
11-10 15:48:27	Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xde6ba8…
11-10 15:48:27	Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	42¢	$19	0x65b26e…
11-10 15:34:10	Will there be no Codex weekly usage limit reset in the week of November 9?	No	BUY	22	73¢	$16	0xb8df09…
11-10 14:48:09	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.02% in November?	Yes	BUY	22	16¢	$4	0xbda9ad…
11-10 14:20:42	Will EH Bildu win exactly 8 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x54b09c…
11-10 14:18:12	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	37	31¢	$12	0xd92c15…
11-10 14:04:16	Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.80% in November?	No	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x62baa2…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026?	2	$22	52	+52	open	—	11-10 15:48
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.80% in November?	1	$16	21	+21	Yes	-$16	11-10 14:04
Will there be no Codex weekly usage limit reset in the week of November 9?	1	$16	22	+22	No	+$6	11-10 15:34
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $118B by November 30?	1	$16	22	+22	open	—	11-10 18:19
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $187.5B by November 30?	1	$12	22	+22	open	—	11-10 16:18
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	1	$12	37	+37	open	—	11-10 14:18
Will Geraldo Alckmin be the next Brazilian Minister of Finance?	1	$9	22	+22	open	—	11-10 17:33
Will EH Bildu win exactly 8 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	1	$8	13	+13	open	—	11-10 14:20
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.02% in November?	1	$4	22	+22	open	—	11-10 14:48