Burdensome-Editor — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

49.8%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

666 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$198 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 11-12 11:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Politics

72% 51% -$8

Other

19% 84% +$0

Sports

8% 67% -$1

Crypto

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No		+9	$1	8¢	$1	$0	11-04 17:01
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No		+1	$1	34¢	$0	$0	11-12 11:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	9	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	04-01 20:22
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	24	$4	3	3	+0	No	$0	03-27 15:09
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	10	$4	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	04-07 21:32
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	11	$4	8	8	+0	No	$0	04-30 22:00
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	37	$3	38	38	+0	Yes	-$1	03-11 13:22
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$3	5	2	+3	No	-$1	07-10 15:02
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	2	$3	7	7	+0	Yes	+$1	03-20 21:45
military action against iran ends on march 22 2026	2	$3	275	275	+0	No	+$1	03-21 10:09
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	17	$3	12	12	+0	No	+$1	04-24 14:15
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	31	$3	12	12	+0	No	+$0	03-10 19:08
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$3	1	1	+0	No	+$0	04-12 21:02
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	2	$2	8	8	+0	Yes	+$0	04-18 11:49
military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	39	$2	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	03-25 08:38
Iran leadership change by April 30?	24	$2	2	2	+0	No	+$0	03-17 09:57
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	19	$2	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	03-13 07:56
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	3	$2	7	6	+0	No	+$0	04-21 15:34
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	03-15 08:17
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	03-13 08:03
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	04-15 15:57
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-09 19:31
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	2	$2	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	03-15 20:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$2	6	6	+0	No	+$0	04-23 20:37
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	3	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	11-05 13:38
Iran leadership change by March 13?	16	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-11 11:02
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-18 22:29
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-19 10:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	5	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	04-10 07:45
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	12	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	04-19 18:43
Netanyahu out by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-20 22:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	30	$2	3	3	+0	No	+$0	04-20 19:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 11:28:48	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0xba5012…
11-11 11:18:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0xa77371…
11-11 10:48:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x8c066f…
11-10 19:56:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x215c93…
11-10 14:40:46	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0xf2fe6f…
11-10 13:54:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0xd0955b…
11-07 23:08:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0xae0b4b…
11-06 21:29:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x30f5d6…
11-06 17:36:07	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x0be29a…
11-06 16:57:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x26b113…
11-06 16:16:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x2a46b9…
11-05 23:16:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	75	0¢	$0	0xf04d85…
11-05 13:40:18	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 5, 2026?	No	BUY	67	2¢	$1	0xb0a37f…
11-05 13:38:25	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x6c305c…
11-04 18:14:31	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$0	0x70d76a…
11-04 17:06:15	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x691467…
11-04 17:01:13	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x8ac1eb…
11-04 17:00:48	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0xae2d51…
11-04 16:59:24	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x62bbf1…
08-18 13:27:03	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	114	1¢	$1	0x145dc3…
07-19 10:27:03	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x5822c6…
07-19 09:02:48	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf3e21b…
07-10 19:58:32	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	52	2¢	$1	0x5568f5…
07-10 18:31:41	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x290059…
07-10 16:39:26	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x592a03…
07-10 15:02:47	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x28b752…
07-09 20:28:38	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x8670bf…
07-09 20:27:55	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	63¢	$0	0x31d6a4…
07-09 20:26:58	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x6e0bc5…
07-09 20:26:46	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x46f0b7…
07-09 11:46:56	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xa30ce8…
07-08 20:04:49	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x94b22a…
07-08 14:42:31	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x296806…
07-07 18:04:26	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xc4d129…
07-07 17:58:37	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x82fc17…
07-07 17:58:31	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x0216be…
07-07 17:58:23	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x2ebfc8…
07-07 17:56:16	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x9bbe9e…
07-07 17:56:05	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x506cfa…
07-07 17:55:19	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x417192…
07-07 17:52:31	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0x7d8dcd…
07-07 17:52:22	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0xab41a9…
07-07 17:51:49	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x11e03f…
07-07 17:51:14	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0x867334…
07-07 17:47:59	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xb93dd4…
05-24 08:48:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x3937f5…
05-24 08:41:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0xba3317…
05-23 21:31:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0xe924be…
05-23 21:27:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0x437904…
05-23 21:27:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0x54bb78…
05-23 21:27:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0x47708b…
05-23 20:46:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0x83de61…
05-23 16:52:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0xcdd4c1…
05-23 16:30:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0xd27e32…
05-23 16:17:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0xc6831e…
05-23 16:16:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0xd88324…
05-23 14:42:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x729501…
05-23 14:39:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0xd70352…
05-23 10:04:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0xec92c5…
05-23 09:56:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0x6dac4b…
05-23 07:32:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x388c53…
05-23 07:14:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0xe95de6…
05-23 06:26:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x3828e7…
05-22 21:54:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0xc89091…
05-22 16:47:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0xc39614…
05-22 16:29:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x7c31a8…
05-22 16:27:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x6871e2…
05-22 15:36:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0x710001…
05-22 10:40:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x6e1248…
05-22 10:40:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x38a03f…
05-22 10:09:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x92831a…
05-21 17:41:41	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0xb7537a…
05-21 14:03:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0xc29beb…
05-18 21:58:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0xbedacb…
05-18 15:38:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0xc9b040…
05-18 15:30:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0xa88be5…
05-18 15:24:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x9766d6…
05-18 15:10:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x6a71de…
05-18 15:09:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x86208f…
05-18 15:09:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0xd02acf…
05-18 15:08:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0xf41bcf…
04-30 22:00:40	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xabf960…
04-28 08:54:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0xc75073…
04-28 01:55:10	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7291e6…
04-27 07:24:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0xe3feaf…
04-27 07:05:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0xe28cff…
04-26 22:58:48	Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe464a2…
04-26 16:57:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0xc05843…
04-26 15:51:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x78e460…
04-26 14:28:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x2a22ed…
04-26 09:38:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x58f7c1…
04-26 07:40:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x8402e5…
04-25 18:17:14	Manchester City FC leading at halftime?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc33215…
04-25 17:25:56	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xbfbda0…
04-24 22:40:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x3970ed…
04-24 20:51:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa1ba79…
04-24 20:27:00	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0x893609…
04-24 19:41:54	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0xa4b2fa…
04-24 19:05:24	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xe58f3f…
04-24 18:04:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0xc7850c…