Bogus-Acre — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$50

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$962

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 06-12 06:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

56% — —

Other

39% 0% $-50

Tech

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx up or down on april 23 2026	2	$184	100	100	+0	open	—	04-23 19:21
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$158	232	0	+232	open	—	04-04 19:40
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	1	$100	141	0	+141	open	—	04-18 15:39
will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 150 high 20260608191407797	2	$60	66	0	+66	open	—	06-12 06:07
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?	1	$50	62	0	+62	open	—	04-19 07:56
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	1	$42	60	0	+60	open	—	04-21 17:41
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	1	$40	132	0	+132	open	—	04-26 08:34
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	1	$30	44	0	+44	open	—	04-19 07:51
Nothing Ever Happens: April	1	$30	42	0	+42	open	—	04-18 15:40
nflx up or down on april 23 2026	1	$24	40	0	+40	open	—	04-23 19:23
will jordan bardella advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	1	$24	30	0	+30	open	—	06-10 08:35
Trump kiss by May 31?	1	$23	28	0	+28	open	—	05-17 07:57
amzn up or down on april 23 2026	1	$22	30	0	+30	open	—	04-23 19:30
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$20	39	0	+39	open	—	04-26 08:35
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	1	$20	69	0	+69	open	—	05-17 07:56
trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	1	$20	24	0	+24	open	—	04-26 08:37
Will Sunoco (SUN) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$15	20	0	+20	Yes	$-15	05-03 13:06
Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$13	20	0	+20	Yes	$-13	05-01 21:30
Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$11	20	0	+20	No	$-11	05-01 22:25
Will Trump say "Autopen" during WHCA Dinner events?	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	04-23 18:56
will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	06-12 06:14
Will CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-01 20:48
Will Trump say "Epstein" during WHCA Dinner events?	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 18:55
Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$8	20	0	+20	Yes	$-8	05-01 21:35
Will Trump say "Trump Force One" in April?	1	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	04-26 08:28
Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" at The Villages on May 1?	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	05-01 20:10
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-23 19:01
Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$4	20	0	+20	No	$-4	05-01 21:00
Will Trump say "Transgender" at The Villages on May 1?	2	$3	10	0	+10	open	—	05-01 20:27
Will Trump say "Ballroom" at The Villages on May 1?	2	$3	10	0	+10	open	—	05-01 20:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 06:14:13	will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xb045e3…
06-12 06:07:55	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 150 high 20260608191407797	Yes	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0xd50298…
06-10 08:35:54	will jordan bardella advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	Yes	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x6d598c…
06-09 20:42:16	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 150 high 20260608191407797	Yes	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x131c10…
05-17 07:57:07	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	BUY	28	83¢	$23	0xa9092c…
05-17 07:56:11	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0xbf31b0…
05-03 13:06:40	Will Sunoco (SUN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xa22d9a…
05-03 06:26:52	Will Sunoco (SUN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0xdbaa30…
05-01 22:25:12	Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x508e68…
05-01 21:35:42	Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xc6bcb0…
05-01 21:30:42	Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x5c62c6…
05-01 21:01:02	Will Sunoco (SUN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xb2b689…
05-01 21:00:36	Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x44f2c5…
05-01 20:48:02	Will CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x395076…
05-01 20:27:54	Will Trump say "Transgender" at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6f2485…
05-01 20:19:22	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x64d23a…
05-01 20:16:46	Will Trump say "Ballroom" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0xe36501…
05-01 20:16:46	Will Trump say "Ballroom" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x064ff4…
05-01 20:14:12	Will Trump say "Transgender" at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x45b8aa…
05-01 20:10:14	Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x05a5ff…
04-26 08:37:38	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	No	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x1a46d6…
04-26 08:35:38	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xf1bd73…
04-26 08:34:12	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	BUY	132	30¢	$40	0xab0cf8…
04-26 08:28:30	Will Trump say "Trump Force One" in April?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x9ae295…
04-23 19:30:00	amzn up or down on april 23 2026	Up	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0xe18c43…
04-23 19:27:32	Will Trump say "Pope" or "Christian" during WHCA Dinner events?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x79370f…
04-23 19:23:20	nflx up or down on april 23 2026	Down	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0xcd61c6…
04-23 19:21:04	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Down	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0xf74b47…
04-23 19:01:46	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x0a10a6…
04-23 18:56:22	Will Trump say "Autopen" during WHCA Dinner events?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x5a33c7…
04-23 18:55:22	Will Trump say "Epstein" during WHCA Dinner events?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xd82f78…
04-23 18:35:12	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Down	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xa7ab42…
04-21 17:41:50	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	BUY	60	70¢	$42	0xc67b13…
04-19 07:56:24	Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?	No	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x2852fe…
04-19 07:51:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	44	69¢	$30	0xca8ce2…
04-18 15:40:52	Nothing Ever Happens: April	Nothing	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x71587f…
04-18 15:39:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	No	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x5902e0…
04-04 19:40:03	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	232	68¢	$158	0x3e83e6…