Realized P&L
-$2.21K
Unrealized P&L
-$24
Hit rate
43.9%
Resolved
5,181
Trades
9,000
lifetime
Volume
$25.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$608
15 positions
First seen
2026-03-03
last 10-28 20:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 152 days
Categories
Crypto
62% 59% -$362
Other
32% 44% -$1,895
Sports
5% 21% +$51
Politics
1% 0% -$8
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 171 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +195 $156 79¢ $154 -$2 10-18 17:47
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +100 $49 89¢ $89 +$40 10-07 10:49
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +73 $66 96¢ $69 +$3 10-10 07:57
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +81 $58 76¢ $61 +$3 10-09 08:09
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +71 $61 82¢ $59 -$2 10-09 00:01
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +71 $34 66¢ $47 +$13 10-19 19:54
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +195 $45 21¢ $42 -$3 10-18 17:48
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? No +71 $47 34¢ $24 -$23 10-19 19:59
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? Yes +81 $23 24¢ $20 -$3 10-10 07:55
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +71 $11 18¢ $12 +$1 10-10 07:58
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? Yes +100 $56 11¢ $11 -$44 10-10 07:59
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +17 $6 53¢ $9 +$3 10-08 21:20
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +17 $12 47¢ $8 -$4 10-10 07:58
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? Yes +73 $7 4¢ $3 -$4 10-12 00:48
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes +0 $0 17¢ $0 $0 10-17 18:46