Realized P&L
-$69
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
64.1%
Resolved
141
Trades
9,634
lifetime
Volume
$171.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$47
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 06-10 03:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
53% 42% $-45
Sports
43% 56% $-19
Politics
3% 50% $-5
Crypto
1%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 455 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? Yes +23 $22 98¢ $22 +$1 06-06 05:50
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +14 $10 72¢ $10 +$0 05-31 20:41
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +7 $4 62¢ $4 +$0 05-31 20:44
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +8 $4 48¢ $4 $-0 06-10 02:08
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +13 $4 30¢ $4 +$0 05-28 12:42
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +4 $3 64¢ $3 $-0 06-10 03:51