Hard-Recorder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$95

Unrealized P&L

+$11

Hit rate

30.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$239

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$102

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 17:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

62% 25% $-95

Other

37% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	+82	$50	60¢	$50	$-0	05-05 15:37
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	+26	$13	100¢	$26	+$12	05-04 21:54
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	TheMongolz	+24	$18	76¢	$18	+$0	05-05 17:34
LoL: Forsaken vs Lodis (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season	Forsaken	+7	$6	67¢	$5	$-1	05-05 11:25
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	+4	$3	84¢	$3	+$0	05-05 02:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 17:34:54	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	TheMongolz	BUY	24	76¢	$18	0xe919b4…
05-05 15:37:18	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x316b7c…
05-05 11:25:08	LoL: Forsaken vs Lodis (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season	Forsaken	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x6338f8…
05-05 02:50:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x011450…
05-05 02:10:22	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x371f98…
05-05 02:09:56	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	BUY	234	41¢	$96	0x9872ba…
05-05 01:45:14	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xa1c8fe…
05-05 00:05:06	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x72fa5d…
05-04 22:19:46	New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0xa8e0e2…
05-04 21:54:50	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	52¢	$13	0x2c1eed…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63	4	$20.2K	59	05-05 18:43
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	4	$1.47K	16	05-05 02:20
Trim-Tortoise 0x96ca…5a71	3	$788	8	05-05 01:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ducks vs. Golden Knights	2	$97	234	4	+230	Golden Knights	$-94	05-05 02:10
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	1	$50	82	0	+82	open	—	05-05 15:37
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5	1	$45	50	0	+50	Over	+$5	05-05 01:45
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	1	$18	24	0	+24	open	—	05-05 17:34
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$13	26	0	+26	open	—	05-04 21:54
LoL: Forsaken vs Lodis (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	05-05 11:25
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies	1	$5	10	0	+10	New York Mets	$-5	05-04 22:19
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-05 02:50
76ers vs. Knicks	1	$1	5	0	+5	Knicks	$-1	05-05 00:05