Realized P&L
-$37
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
41.5%
Resolved
338
Trades
608
lifetime
Volume
$2.43K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$2
8 positions
First seen
2026-10-07
last 10-26 22:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
79% 13% -$51
Politics
11% 10% +$13
Crypto
7% 38% +$2
Tech
3% 0% —
Sports
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? Yes +4 $5 24¢ $1 -$4 10-08 02:54
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? No +2 $1 44¢ $1 $0 10-08 00:46
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +5 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 10-12 11:40
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +5 $0 3¢ $0 $0 10-12 05:28
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Yes +2 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 10-15 17:33
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-14 10:12
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-12 12:45
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-13 20:19