Realized P&L (7d)
+$122
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
64.7%
Resolved (7d)
55
Trades (7d)
56
706 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$504
$3.29K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$103
21 positions
First seen
2026-10-07
last 11-05 18:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
77% 24% +$93
Politics
11% 11% +$13
Crypto
10% 62% +$46
Tech
3% 0% —
Sports
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
nyc mayor of tweets november 3 november 10 2026 20 39 Yes +20 $14 93¢ $19 +$5 10-31 04:15
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026? Yes +16 $7 97¢ $16 +$9 11-03 07:36
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +20 $11 72¢ $14 +$3 11-03 19:36
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026? No +22 $12 60¢ $13 +$1 11-05 12:25
Will White House post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? Yes +19 $12 60¢ $11 $0 11-05 14:29
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +20 $12 56¢ $11 -$1 11-01 22:01
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026? Yes +20 $15 34¢ $7 -$8 11-03 07:26
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? Yes +20 $14 20¢ $4 -$10 11-01 15:49
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +3 -$2 80¢ $3 +$5 11-04 01:11
Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026? Yes +6 $1 24¢ $1 $0 11-03 19:57
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? No +2 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 10-08 00:46
Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +5 $0 22¢ $1 +$1 10-13 10:49
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026? Yes +37 $12 2¢ $1 -$11 11-05 18:25
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? Yes +4 $5 12¢ $0 -$5 10-08 02:54
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +4 -$1 5¢ $0 +$1 11-05 10:54
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +5 $0 2¢ $0 $0 10-12 05:28
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +5 $0 2¢ $0 $0 10-12 11:40
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +5 $3 2¢ $0 -$3 11-04 09:33
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Yes +2 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 10-15 17:33
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-12 12:45
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-13 20:19