Grand-Notice — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.3%

Resolved

Trades

480

lifetime

Volume

$6.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 08-08 13:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

44% 88% +$2

Other

31% 60% +$2

Sports

15% 100% +$6

Politics

10% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026 812	3	$146	77	77	+0	open	—	07-19 12:02
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	3	$123	64	64	+0	open	—	06-30 19:21
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 1pt5	2	$103	86	86	+0	open	—	07-09 21:38
will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	2	$91	57	56	+0	open	—	07-08 09:30
bitcoin above 60k on july 17 2026	2	$82	43	43	+0	open	—	07-17 14:13
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	2	$82	77	77	+0	open	—	06-15 15:45
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$81	44	44	+0	open	—	05-12 11:50
will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	2	$81	41	41	+0	open	—	06-13 11:45
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	3	$76	41	41	+0	open	—	07-27 10:07
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	2	$71	40	40	+0	open	—	08-08 13:49
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$69	38	38	+0	open	—	07-03 21:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	4	$63	40	40	+0	open	—	06-30 19:21
bitcoin above 62k on august 10 2026	2	$62	32	32	+0	open	—	08-08 13:49
will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	2	$62	32	32	+0	open	—	06-27 17:13
bitcoin above 66k on june 13 2026	2	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	06-13 11:45
btc updown 5m 1771941600	2	$56	37	37	+1	open	—	02-24 14:05
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	1	$53	59	0	+59	open	—	02-27 11:00
bitcoin above 62k on july 23 2026	2	$53	28	28	+0	open	—	07-22 17:13
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	1	$50	65	0	+65	open	—	07-09 14:54
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 1pt5	1	$50	68	0	+68	open	—	06-13 11:43
iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	1	$50	56	0	+56	open	—	07-26 11:19
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	6	$50	170	0	+170	open	—	08-06 20:33
bitcoin above 60k on august 6 2026	1	$50	55	0	+55	open	—	08-01 10:21
will canada reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120739	2	$47	27	27	+0	open	—	06-28 21:18
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	2	$47	27	27	+0	open	—	08-03 16:52
nba min den 2026 04 18	2	$47	27	27	+0	open	—	04-18 22:15
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	2	$47	27	27	+0	open	—	07-21 14:15
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	2	$46	27	27	+0	open	—	04-26 21:53
lol al we 2026 02 24	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	02-24 12:49
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$45	25	25	+0	open	—	06-21 06:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 13:49:22	bitcoin above 62k on august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0xb5cde9…
08-08 13:49:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x896cca…
08-08 13:09:51	bitcoin up or down on august 8 2026	Up	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xffa112…
08-07 04:01:57	bitcoin above 62k on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x964f19…
08-06 20:34:30	bitcoin above 62k on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x0854bc…
08-06 20:33:50	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xc72045…
08-03 16:52:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x53c23a…
08-03 16:35:14	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x81274b…
08-03 12:42:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x5eee03…
08-03 12:41:27	bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xde95a6…
08-03 12:37:15	the polymarket classic winner 20260731043547423	John/Paige	SELL	19	90¢	$17	0x72c265…
08-01 14:23:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x33d968…
08-01 14:22:33	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xd7010d…
08-01 13:45:33	the polymarket classic winner 20260731043547423	John/Paige	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x708784…
08-01 12:53:11	btc updown 5m 1785588600	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xd66517…
08-01 10:21:02	bitcoin above 60k on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xf5cde8…
07-27 10:08:00	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x467aef…
07-27 10:07:06	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xef2de3…
07-26 11:38:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	19	70¢	$13	0x75af94…
07-26 11:19:39	wwd quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 27 2026 2pt42	Yes	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0xf5deb0…
07-26 11:19:12	iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x2ac796…
07-25 12:35:43	over 32pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xb3178f…
07-24 14:21:24	will ethereum dip to 1600 in july 2026 from july 6	No	SELL	23	93¢	$21	0x2c62a5…
07-23 13:01:34	will ethereum dip to 1700 in july 2026 from july 6	No	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x5888f5…
07-23 13:01:22	bitcoin above 64k on july 27 2026	Yes	SELL	24	69¢	$16	0x2df0e3…
07-22 22:43:22	Will Pump.fun reach $0.0034 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x3db1c4…
07-22 17:13:46	bitcoin above 62k on july 23 2026	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xbd3bbd…
07-21 14:38:31	cs2 nem ast10 2026 07 21	Astralis	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x31cd37…
07-21 14:37:24	bitcoin above 64k on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x9b9c72…
07-21 14:22:06	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0x917a0a…
07-21 14:21:43	bitcoin above 62k on july 21 2026	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x8b07e3…
07-21 14:15:09	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	21	89¢	$19	0xd0cf01…
07-21 14:15:03	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	27	79¢	$22	0x318617…
07-19 16:49:51	bitcoin above 62k on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x330f82…
07-19 12:02:18	will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026 812	No	SELL	77	99¢	$76	0x04cf22…
07-18 08:19:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x7fca9c…
07-17 14:13:39	bitcoin above 60k on july 17 2026	Yes	SELL	43	100¢	$42	0x1d3640…
07-16 17:54:50	will ethereum dip to 1700 in july 2026 from july 6	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x61e921…
07-16 17:54:43	will ethereum dip to 1600 in july 2026 from july 6	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xdb8a19…
07-16 17:53:56	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x038560…
07-16 17:53:49	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xc5cb59…
07-16 17:53:43	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xb02bdd…
07-16 17:47:05	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x37a692…
07-15 13:34:29	bitcoin above 62k on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x6ee4bb…
07-15 11:06:31	bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0x83abc6…
07-13 17:22:31	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread home 2pt5	France	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xf20d06…
07-13 17:22:14	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xe77abc…
07-11 20:39:05	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xbc9736…
07-11 20:38:55	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xf811be…
07-11 20:38:29	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x0bd86b…
07-11 17:32:32	bitcoin above 60k on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x0ee2a6…
07-11 12:55:22	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x836ab5…
07-10 20:31:04	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x1097bc…
07-10 18:12:41	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x5a4757…
07-10 13:14:26	xrp above 1pt1 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xbb9e02…
07-09 21:38:19	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 1pt5	France	SELL	86	84¢	$73	0xc2d820…
07-09 14:54:26	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x6b216a…
07-09 14:54:11	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	86	35¢	$30	0x593f84…
07-08 20:34:25	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026 918	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x791fa8…
07-08 20:34:16	will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026 812	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x06076a…
07-08 20:34:07	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0xa92915…
07-08 09:30:52	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	SELL	56	73¢	$41	0x42c2f8…
07-07 06:26:47	will england reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149753	No	SELL	35	35¢	$12	0xadf83d…
07-06 19:11:26	btc updown 4h 1783353600	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x94e5b7…
07-06 15:12:13	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 spread away 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xdd6a9b…
07-06 10:52:43	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Benoît Saint Denis	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x77462a…
07-06 10:42:55	bitcoin above 62k on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x2b5483…
07-05 12:02:10	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x36beb8…
07-04 23:30:04	will england reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149753	No	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x6a2bf3…
07-04 23:29:05	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x2abf79…
07-04 20:23:16	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 goals michael olise gte1	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xbf835b…
07-04 15:07:29	Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x55aa4c…
07-03 21:07:41	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	38	90¢	$34	0x3a6555…
07-03 17:15:22	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x0dbb48…
07-03 17:15:01	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x5f1029…
07-02 17:28:35	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x53ebbb…
07-02 17:28:23	will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x2e21b0…
07-02 10:51:22	bitcoin above 60k on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x9d9280…
07-01 16:44:50	will norway reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134501	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xf5bdc8…
06-30 19:21:25	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	40	84¢	$33	0xfab64c…
06-30 19:21:02	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	SELL	64	99¢	$63	0xa90701…
06-30 15:55:41	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x0a4b3c…
06-30 13:29:05	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	SELL	22	87¢	$20	0x1276d9…
06-30 12:05:59	will norway reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120769	Yes	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0x7b9355…
06-30 12:05:35	will norway reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120769	Yes	SELL	15	64¢	$10	0xc3776e…
06-30 12:04:47	will mexico reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120735	Yes	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xd9f6d9…
06-30 12:03:04	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xda6552…
06-30 10:41:10	bitcoin above 58k on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x3ac274…
06-29 20:15:19	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x923448…
06-29 18:00:16	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	38	91¢	$35	0xa82f84…
06-29 17:52:28	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xed86a2…
06-29 17:34:20	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xa4e152…
06-29 12:05:35	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 29	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x817b02…
06-29 12:04:59	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x6a3d5f…
06-28 21:55:32	btc updown 5m 1782683700	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x2fa526…
06-28 21:18:40	will canada reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120739	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xe903f2…
06-28 21:07:50	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x6c2cc1…
06-28 21:06:13	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xa4abe3…
06-28 21:06:07	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xd12837…
06-27 17:13:25	will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0xdd69de…