Excitable-Composer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.3%

Resolved

111

Trades

254

lifetime

Volume

$1.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 06-29 08:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

96% 63% -$22

Politics

4% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	06-21 16:32
Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$28	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	05-12 21:15
Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?	2	$27	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	06-24 01:49
Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$1	05-14 21:18
Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 5?	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-21 06:49
Will MrBeast's next video get between 63.5 and 64 million views in week 1?	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	06-06 15:25
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	06-29 02:51
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	06-25 12:57
Will Kevin Lincoln II advance from the CA-13 primary election?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	06-04 05:09
Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	06-03 13:02
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-16 19:31
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,800,000 and 2,100,000 voters?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-31 16:07
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 29?	2	$16	32	0	+32	No	+$0	05-29 09:13
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 11?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-11 07:41
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 8?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-07 22:18
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 12?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-12 07:02
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 27?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-26 22:41
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on May 12?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-11 14:41
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on June 9?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-09 04:50
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 28?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-27 22:14
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 11?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-11 07:09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 17?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-17 02:53
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on June 5?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-05 06:58
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 9?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-09 06:30
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on May 7?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-07 00:11
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 12?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-12 00:52
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 11?	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-11 07:01
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on May 8?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-07 16:41
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 31?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-31 03:39
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 7?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-06 22:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 08:10:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x119941…
06-29 07:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 29?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x7032e8…
06-29 02:51:02	Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x091eef…
06-28 20:40:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 40°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x05aabb…
06-28 18:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 40°C on June 29?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x1b5428…
06-27 22:14:44	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xc2170e…
06-27 21:23:05	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 28?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x968a92…
06-27 02:30:35	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x8f99ac…
06-27 01:36:46	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 27?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x5334e9…
06-26 02:50:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 26?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xcc0484…
06-26 01:27:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 26?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xe396ff…
06-25 12:57:49	US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xf000f8…
06-25 03:26:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x4050eb…
06-25 01:10:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 25?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xbf4972…
06-24 06:06:19	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 24?	No	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x48999c…
06-24 05:12:50	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xe70919…
06-24 01:49:13	Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xc24a59…
06-22 19:41:41	Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?	Yes	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0xf61b66…
06-22 19:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or below on June 23?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2c0d52…
06-21 16:32:35	Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xf723ac…
06-21 06:56:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 21?	No	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xd2ee18…
06-21 06:50:29	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x869bca…
06-20 06:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xfb90bc…
06-20 06:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 20?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x041c22…
06-18 08:14:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x7e531c…
06-18 08:09:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x915b35…
06-18 07:55:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 18?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x0d96c9…
06-16 10:53:52	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 16?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x050425…
06-16 10:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xbbec11…
06-15 06:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xa869ec…
06-15 05:38:19	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on June 15?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x3db89c…
06-14 06:29:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdb4ff2…
06-14 06:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x01d85f…
06-14 06:12:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 14?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xf65760…
06-13 12:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 13?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x2132c3…
06-13 08:43:21	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 13?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xae9266…
06-12 07:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x945921…
06-12 07:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 12?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xef5af0…
06-11 13:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xd0a24a…
06-11 13:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xbe5c11…
06-11 12:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on June 12?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xae9805…
06-10 13:53:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x059c30…
06-10 13:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 11?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xb96169…
06-09 04:50:21	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on June 9?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xdf6f2a…
06-08 12:09:31	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on June 9?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc3767b…
06-08 09:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x9b7d3a…
06-07 21:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 8?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x44a649…
06-07 07:37:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xa15c70…
06-07 07:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 7?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x3fb803…
06-06 15:25:36	Will MrBeast's next video get between 63.5 and 64 million views in week 1?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x8127f0…
06-06 14:40:24	Will MrBeast's next video get between 63.5 and 64 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x0ca91f…
06-05 23:52:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x72cedf…
06-05 23:49:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xe4c0c2…
06-05 23:00:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 6?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x40f955…
06-05 06:58:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x404509…
06-05 06:57:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xd92328…
06-05 04:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on June 5?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x740778…
06-04 06:18:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xa57b87…
06-04 06:17:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on June 4?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xedc55d…
06-04 05:09:15	Will Kevin Lincoln II advance from the CA-13 primary election?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x2a49ea…
06-03 13:02:30	Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x23bf0b…
06-02 22:33:11	Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x6da8b8…
06-02 16:04:01	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xc2f174…
06-02 12:04:04	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on June 3?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x38dbfa…
06-02 03:33:26	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x74b927…
06-02 02:39:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x08b94a…
06-02 01:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 2?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd4c422…
06-01 20:48:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x00171f…
06-01 13:22:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 2?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x051b5c…
06-01 06:33:46	Will Kevin Lincoln II advance from the CA-13 primary election?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x48ea2b…
05-31 16:07:11	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,800,000 and 2,100,000 voters?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x257796…
05-31 15:07:31	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3ee266…
05-31 15:03:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 1?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe8d9af…
05-31 04:12:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xc6b43b…
05-31 03:39:28	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xc4b556…
05-31 03:39:00	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 31?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xd7eaa5…
05-30 14:30:29	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb8a7fe…
05-30 05:19:47	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x499fbe…
05-30 05:02:23	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xeb24ac…
05-30 04:11:32	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 30?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xc5617d…
05-29 09:13:06	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x702ab1…
05-29 08:34:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 29?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x225438…
05-28 23:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 29?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x30293f…
05-28 12:31:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xbc14b4…
05-28 12:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on May 29?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x6cdd54…
05-28 06:28:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0a6779…
05-27 22:49:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x4d802f…
05-27 19:43:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 28?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x5bf9c7…
05-27 12:13:56	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 28?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8982cc…
05-27 04:18:31	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xefcb80…
05-26 22:41:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x96ab3c…
05-26 20:23:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 27?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xec59ef…
05-26 14:12:54	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on May 27?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xab4ac9…
05-25 07:33:08	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,800,000 and 2,100,000 voters?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x896230…
05-21 06:49:57	Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 5?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x24122f…
05-20 17:41:33	Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 5?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x886865…
05-17 02:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xd66bdd…
05-17 02:50:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x0d37e6…
05-17 01:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 17?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xb61a01…
05-16 21:43:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C or higher on May 17?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x98ee82…